Butterfly vs Black Phoenix at NODWIN Clutch Series 11 — Match breakdown

Bo3 · NODWIN Clutch Series 11✓ Correct call11:00 UTC · 2026-08-22

◇ Pre-game prediction

Butterfly

69%vs31%

Black Phoenix

Top scenarioButterfly 2-0 · 40%

Map advantageSc 2 (17%): leads 2 of 3 · 70%

Ranking edge+27 (#63 vs #90)

Player rating1.06 vs 1.01

◆ Actual result

Butterfly

2–1

Black Phoenix

Map by map

Dust210–13Black Phoenix

Nuke13–7Butterfly

Inferno13–9Butterfly

Predicted maps

Veto scenario 2 · 17% of outcomes

Sc 119%of outcomesNuke / Dust2 / CacheSc 217%of outcomesNuke / Dust2 / InfernoSc 313%of outcomesNuke / Dust2 / Mirage

top 3 of 10 veto outcomes · 49% coverage

Nuke

ButterflyBlack Phoenix

68%32%

Win prob · OT 6%13–7

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Dust2

ButterflyBlack Phoenix

72%28%

Win prob · OT 5%13–7

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Inferno

ButterflyBlack Phoenix

50%50%

Win prob · OT 12%14–16

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All Maps

4 maps · Key factors + Recent

Cache

ButterflyBlack Phoenix

46%54%

Win prob · OT 12%11–13

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Mirage

ButterflyBlack Phoenix

77%23%

Win prob · OT 2%13–5

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Ancient

ButterflyBlack Phoenix

73%27%

Win prob · OT 3%13–6

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Anubis

ButterflyBlack Phoenix

64%36%

Win prob · OT 8%13–8

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