STATE vs ENCE at Exort Fiesta Series 1 — Match breakdown

Bo3 · Exort Fiesta Series 1✓ Correct call18:15 UTC · 2026-08-27

◇ Pre-game prediction

STATE

62%vs38%

ENCE

Top scenarioSTATE 2-0 · 34%

Map advantageSc 1 (15%): leads 3 of 3 · 66%

Ranking edge+25 (#88 vs #113)

Player rating1.08 vs 1.05

◆ Actual result

STATE

2–1

ENCE

Map by map

Cache13–8STATE

Mirage10–13ENCE

Nuke13–7STATE

Predicted maps

Veto scenario 1 · 15% of outcomes

Sc 115%of outcomesNuke / Mirage / CacheSc 214%of outcomesNuke / Inferno / CacheSc 313%of outcomesNuke / Mirage / Inferno

top 3 of 10 veto outcomes · 41% coverage

Nuke

STATEENCE

67%33%

Win prob · OT 8%13–8

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Mirage

STATEENCE

58%42%

Win prob · OT 10%13–9

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Cache

STATEENCE

60%40%

Win prob · OT 10%13–9

▾

All Maps

4 maps · Key factors + Recent

Ancient

STATEENCE

60%40%

Win prob · OT 10%13–9

▾

Anubis

STATEENCE

46%54%

Win prob · OT 12%11–13

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Inferno

STATEENCE

46%54%

Win prob · OT 12%10–13

▾

Dust2

STATEENCE

43%57%

Win prob · OT 12%10–13

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