HOTU vs paiN at IEM Beijing 2026 Closed Qualifier — Match breakdown

Bo3 · IEM Beijing 2026 Closed Qualifier50/5012:00 UTC · 2026-09-02

◇ Pre-game prediction

HOTU

55%vs45%

paiN

Top scenarioHOTU 2-0 · 29%

Map advantageSc 1 (15%): leads 2 of 3 · 62%

Ranking edge+13 (#22 vs #35)

Player rating1.10 vs 1.02

◆ Actual result

HOTU

2–0

paiN

Map by map

Cache13–11HOTU

Nuke13–4HOTU

Predicted maps

Veto scenario 1 · 15% of outcomes

Sc 115%of outcomesDust2 / Nuke / CacheSc 213%of outcomesDust2 / Nuke / AnubisSc 312%of outcomesCache / Nuke / Anubis

top 3 of 10 veto outcomes · 39% coverage

Dust2

HOTUpaiN

62%38%

Win prob · OT 9%13–8

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Nuke

HOTUpaiN

49%51%

Win prob · OT 12%14–16

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Cache

HOTUpaiN

64%36%

Win prob · OT 7%13–7

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All Maps

4 maps · Key factors + Recent

Inferno

HOTUpaiN

63%37%

Win prob · OT 9%13–8

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Ancient

HOTUpaiN

60%40%

Win prob · OT 10%13–9

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Mirage

HOTUpaiN

45%55%

Win prob · OT 12%11–13

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Anubis

HOTUpaiN

49%51%

Win prob · OT 12%14–16

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