BIG vs paiN at IEM Beijing 2026 Closed Qualifier — Match breakdown

Bo3 · IEM Beijing 2026 Closed Qualifier✓ Correct call18:00 UTC · 2026-09-02

◇ Pre-game prediction

BIG

53%vs47%

paiN

Top scenarioBIG 2-0 · 30%

Map advantageSc 1 (16%): leads 2 of 3 · 52%

Ranking edge+21 (#14 vs #35)

Player rating1.07 vs 1.02

◆ Actual result

BIG

2–0

paiN

Map by map

Dust213–6BIG

Cache13–8BIG

Predicted maps

Veto scenario 1 · 16% of outcomes

Sc 116%of outcomesNuke / Inferno / MirageSc 212%of outcomesNuke / Cache / MirageSc 312%of outcomesNuke / Mirage / Anubis

top 3 of 10 veto outcomes · 40% coverage

Nuke

BIGpaiN

58%42%

Win prob · OT 11%13–10

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Inferno

BIGpaiN

52%48%

Win prob · OT 12%16–14

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Mirage

BIGpaiN

42%58%

Win prob · OT 11%9–13

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All Maps

4 maps · Key factors + Recent

Cache

BIGpaiN

59%41%

Win prob · OT 10%13–9

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Dust2

BIGpaiN

57%43%

Win prob · OT 11%13–10

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Ancient

BIGpaiN

54%46%

Win prob · OT 11%13–10

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Anubis

BIGpaiN

46%54%

Win prob · OT 12%9–13

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