Nemesis vs ASTRAL at Stake Ranked Episode 4 Closed Qualifier — Match breakdown

Bo3 · Stake Ranked Episode 4 Closed Qualifier✓ Correct call17:30 UTC · 2026-09-04

◇ Pre-game prediction

Nemesis

63%vs37%

ASTRAL

Top scenarioNemesis 2-0 · 36%

Map advantageSc 1 (19%): leads 3 of 3 · 64%

Ranking edge+34 (#44 vs #78)

Player rating1.06 vs 1.05

◆ Actual result

Nemesis

2–1

ASTRAL

Map by map

Cache7–13ASTRAL

Ancient13–7Nemesis

Dust213–11Nemesis

Predicted maps

Veto scenario 1 · 19% of outcomes

Sc 119%of outcomesNuke / Ancient / Dust2Sc 212%of outcomesNuke / Ancient / MirageSc 311%of outcomesNuke / Dust2 / Mirage

top 3 of 10 veto outcomes · 42% coverage

Nuke

NemesisASTRAL

60%40%

Win prob · OT 9%13–9

▾

Ancient

NemesisASTRAL

64%36%

Win prob · OT 9%13–8

▾

Dust2

NemesisASTRAL

55%45%

Win prob · OT 11%13–10

▾

All Maps

4 maps · Key factors + Recent

Anubis

NemesisASTRAL

68%32%

Win prob · OT 7%13–8

▾

Mirage

NemesisASTRAL

58%42%

Win prob · OT 10%13–10

▾

Cache

NemesisASTRAL

57%43%

Win prob · OT 11%13–10

▾

Inferno

NemesisASTRAL

56%44%

Win prob · OT 10%13–10

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