HOTU vs FOKUS at Stake Ranked Episode 4 Closed Qualifier — Match breakdown

Bo3 · Stake Ranked Episode 4 Closed Qualifier✕ Wrong call12:10 UTC · 2026-09-05

◇ Pre-game prediction

HOTU

74%vs26%

FOKUS

Top scenarioHOTU 2-0 · 39%

Map advantageSc 3 (11%): leads 2 of 3 · 67%

Ranking edge+25 (#24 vs #49)

Player rating1.10 vs 1.04

◆ Actual result

HOTU

1–2

FOKUS

Map by map

Ancient6–13FOKUS

Dust213–4HOTU

Nuke10–13FOKUS

Predicted maps

Veto scenario 3 · 11% of outcomes

Sc 115%of outcomesAncient / Cache / Dust2Sc 211%of outcomesAncient / Cache / NukeSc 311%of outcomesAncient / Dust2 / Nuke

top 3 of 10 veto outcomes · 37% coverage

Ancient

HOTUFOKUS

50%50%

Win prob · OT 12%14–16

▾

Dust2

HOTUFOKUS

55%45%

Win prob · OT 11%13–10

▾

Nuke

HOTUFOKUS

76%24%

Win prob · OT 2%13–6

▾

All Maps

4 maps · Key factors + Recent

Cache

HOTUFOKUS

76%24%

Win prob · OT 3%13–5

▾

Anubis

HOTUFOKUS

73%27%

Win prob · OT 4%13–6

▾

Mirage

HOTUFOKUS

70%30%

Win prob · OT 6%13–7

▾

Inferno

HOTUFOKUS

63%37%

Win prob · OT 8%13–8

▾