HOTU vs Nemesis at Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Closed Qualifier — Match breakdown

Bo3 · Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Closed Qualifier50/5011:45 UTC · 2026-09-10

◇ Pre-game prediction

HOTU

54%vs46%

Nemesis

Top scenarioHOTU 2-0 · 29%

Map advantageSc 1 (15%): leads 1 of 3 · 55%

Ranking edge+20 (#24 vs #44)

Player rating1.10 vs 1.05

◆ Actual result

HOTU

2–1

Nemesis

Map by map

Cache2–13Nemesis

Nuke13–8HOTU

Ancient13–3HOTU

Predicted maps

Veto scenario 1 · 15% of outcomes

Sc 115%of outcomesCache / Nuke / AncientSc 214%of outcomesCache / Ancient / Dust2Sc 313%of outcomesCache / Nuke / Dust2

top 3 of 10 veto outcomes · 42% coverage

Cache

HOTUNemesis

63%37%

Win prob · OT 8%13–8

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Nuke

HOTUNemesis

50%50%

Win prob · OT 12%16–14

▾

Ancient

HOTUNemesis

49%51%

Win prob · OT 12%14–16

▾

All Maps

4 maps · Key factors + Recent

Inferno

HOTUNemesis

62%38%

Win prob · OT 10%13–8

▾

Anubis

HOTUNemesis

49%51%

Win prob · OT 12%14–16

▾

Dust2

HOTUNemesis

51%49%

Win prob · OT 12%16–14

▾

Mirage

HOTUNemesis

50%50%

Win prob · OT 12%16–14

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