ex-Zero Tenacity vs STATE at Exort Fiesta Series 2 — Match breakdown

Bo3 · Exort Fiesta Series 2✕ Wrong call11:00 UTC · 2026-09-23

◇ Pre-game prediction

ex-Zero Tenacity

80%vs20%

STATE

Top scenarioex-Zero Tenacity 2-0 · 50%

Map advantageSc 1 (27%): leads 3 of 3 · 80%

Ranking edge+32 (#85 vs #117)

Player rating1.10 vs 1.03

◆ Actual result

ex-Zero Tenacity

1–2

STATE

Map by map

Inferno13–9ex-Zero Tenacity

Nuke10–13STATE

Mirage2–13STATE

Predicted maps

Veto scenario 1 · 27% of outcomes

Sc 127%of outcomesCache / Nuke / InfernoSc 214%of outcomesCache / Nuke / AnubisSc 311%of outcomesCache / Nuke / Mirage

top 3 of 10 veto outcomes · 52% coverage

Cache

ex-Zero TenacitySTATE

73%27%

Win prob · OT 4%13–6

▾

Nuke

ex-Zero TenacitySTATE

68%32%

Win prob · OT 6%13–7

▾

Inferno

ex-Zero TenacitySTATE

72%28%

Win prob · OT 5%13–7

▾

All Maps

4 maps · Key factors + Recent

Mirage

ex-Zero TenacitySTATE

72%28%

Win prob · OT 5%13–7

▾

Anubis

ex-Zero TenacitySTATE

71%29%

Win prob · OT 5%13–7

▾

Dust2

ex-Zero TenacitySTATE

75%25%

Win prob · OT 3%13–6

▾

Ancient

ex-Zero TenacitySTATE

67%33%

Win prob · OT 7%13–7

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