Phantom vs G2 Ares at Stake Ranked Episode 5 Open Qualifier — Match breakdown

Bo3 · Stake Ranked Episode 5 Open Qualifier✓ Correct call14:00 UTC · 2026-09-15

◇ Pre-game prediction

Phantom

70%vs30%

G2 Ares

Top scenarioPhantom 2-0 · 40%

Map advantageSc 1 (18%): leads 3 of 3 · 67%

Ranking edge+43 (#73 vs #116)

Player rating1.06 vs 1.00

◆ Actual result

Phantom

2–0

G2 Ares

Map by map

Inferno13–9Phantom

Ancient13–4Phantom

Predicted maps

Veto scenario 1 · 18% of outcomes

Sc 118%of outcomesAncient / Inferno / MirageSc 215%of outcomesAncient / Inferno / AnubisSc 313%of outcomesAncient / Inferno / Dust2

top 3 of 10 veto outcomes · 46% coverage

Ancient

PhantomG2 Ares

67%33%

Win prob · OT 7%13–7

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Inferno

PhantomG2 Ares

60%40%

Win prob · OT 10%13–8

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Mirage

PhantomG2 Ares

59%41%

Win prob · OT 10%13–9

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All Maps

4 maps · Key factors + Recent

Nuke

PhantomG2 Ares

70%30%

Win prob · OT 6%13–6

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Anubis

PhantomG2 Ares

69%31%

Win prob · OT 6%13–7

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Dust2

PhantomG2 Ares

65%35%

Win prob · OT 7%13–7

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Cache

PhantomG2 Ares

63%37%

Win prob · OT 9%13–8

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