Vitality vs Natus Vincere at ESL Pro League Season 24 — Match breakdown

Bo3 · ESL Pro League Season 24✓ Correct call16:30 UTC · 2026-10-04

◇ Pre-game prediction

Vitality

75%vs25%

Natus Vincere

Top scenarioVitality 2-0 · 46%

Map advantageSc 1 (16%): leads 3 of 3 · 76%

Ranking edge+18 (#2 vs #20)

Player rating1.11 vs 1.03

◆ Actual result

Vitality

2–1

Natus Vincere

Map by map

Anubis13–5Vitality

Nuke5–13Natus Vincere

Mirage13–4Vitality

Predicted maps

Veto scenario 1 · 16% of outcomes

Sc 116%of outcomesDust2 / Mirage / InfernoSc 212%of outcomesDust2 / Inferno / NukeSc 312%of outcomesDust2 / Mirage / Nuke

top 3 of 10 veto outcomes · 40% coverage

Dust2

VitalityNatus Vincere

74%26%

Win prob · OT 3%13–5

▾

Mirage

VitalityNatus Vincere

63%37%

Win prob · OT 9%13–8

▾

Inferno

VitalityNatus Vincere

68%32%

Win prob · OT 7%13–7

▾

All Maps

4 maps · Key factors + Recent

Nuke

VitalityNatus Vincere

68%32%

Win prob · OT 6%13–7

▾

Cache

VitalityNatus Vincere

65%35%

Win prob · OT 7%13–8

▾

Anubis

VitalityNatus Vincere

65%35%

Win prob · OT 9%13–8

▾

Ancient

VitalityNatus Vincere

63%37%

Win prob · OT 9%13–8

▾