Spirit vs MOUZ at ESL Pro League Season 24 — Match breakdown

Bo3 · ESL Pro League Season 2450/5017:10 UTC · 2026-10-10

◇ Pre-game prediction

Spirit

50%vs50%

MOUZ

Top scenarioSpirit 2-1 · 26%

Map advantageSc 1 (20%): leads 1 of 3 · 48%

Ranking edge+1 (#1 vs #2)

Player rating1.11 vs 1.10

◆ Actual result

Spirit

1–2

MOUZ

Map by map

Dust27–13MOUZ

Mirage13–5Spirit

Nuke11–13MOUZ

Predicted maps

Veto scenario 1 · 20% of outcomes

Sc 120%of outcomesMirage / Dust2 / NukeSc 216%of outcomesMirage / Dust2 / AncientSc 314%of outcomesNuke / Dust2 / Ancient

top 3 of 10 veto outcomes · 49% coverage

Mirage

SpiritMOUZ

41%59%

Win prob · OT 10%11–13

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Dust2

SpiritMOUZ

56%44%

Win prob · OT 11%13–11

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Nuke

SpiritMOUZ

48%52%

Win prob · OT 12%11–13

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All Maps

4 maps · Key factors + Recent

Ancient

SpiritMOUZ

57%43%

Win prob · OT 10%13–11

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Cache

SpiritMOUZ

50%50%

Win prob · OT 12%13–11

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Inferno

SpiritMOUZ

39%61%

Win prob · OT 9%11–13

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Anubis

SpiritMOUZ

52%48%

Win prob · OT 12%13–11

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