Bo3 · NODWIN Clutch Series 7
ursa
vs
mouz nxt
✓
34%
66%
Series win probability
MN
2–1
37%
MN
2–0
29%
URSA
2–0
19%
URSA
2–1
16%
Actual result
Dust2
16–14
MN
Mirage
13–4
MN
Model Insights
mouz nxt has a moderate edge at 66%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#89 vs #79), a strong nuke (73% win probability). ursa's best shot is anubis where they hold a 62% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
Dust2 · Anubis · Nuke
Dust2
URSA
11
–
13
MN
32%
68%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
MN
After First Kill
URSA
MN
Round Win Rate
URSA
MN
Head-to-Head
URSA
MN
Experience
URSA
MN
Recent on Dust2
ursa
13-4
vs Acend
Apr 15
13-11
vs Leo
Apr 12
3-13
vs Phantom
Apr 10
8-13
vs ASTRAL
Apr 9
16-14
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 7
mouz nxt
13-7
vs GenOne
Apr 14
8-13
vs ARCRED
Apr 12
13-11
vs zajezdzacze
Apr 8
3-13
vs aimclub
Mar 29
13-8
vs Nexus
Mar 24
Anubis
URSA
13
–
10
MN
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
MN
After First Death
URSA
MN
CT 4v5
URSA
MN
Head-to-Head
URSA
MN
After First Kill
URSA
MN
Recent on Anubis
ursa
9-13
vs BIG
Apr 9
13-2
vs MINLATE
Apr 3
13-11
vs ECSTATIC
Apr 2
13-10
vs Leo
Mar 25
13-11
vs ECSTATIC
Mar 17
mouz nxt
6-13
vs GenOne
Apr 14
7-13
vs Clutchain
Apr 13
7-13
vs aimclub
Mar 29
13-10
vs fnatic
Mar 24
6-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 14
Nuke
URSA
9
–
13
MN
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
MN
After First Death
URSA
MN
Head-to-Head
URSA
MN
Overall Rating
URSA
MN
Star Rating
URSA
MN
Recent on Nuke
ursa
17-19
vs ESC
Apr 16
13-5
vs Leo
Apr 12
13-6
vs ASTRAL
Apr 11
13-6
vs Phantom
Apr 10
4-13
vs ASTRAL
Apr 9
mouz nxt
5-13
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 17
13-3
vs Qual4
Apr 14
13-7
vs GenOne
Apr 14
8-13
vs ARCRED
Apr 12
6-13
vs BIG
Mar 25
Player Matchups
Player data not available for this match
Unpredicted Maps
7 maps
Ancient
URSA
8
–
13
MN
19%
81%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
MN
After First Kill
URSA
MN
Best Player
URSA
MN
Head-to-Head
URSA
MN
Rating Spread
URSA
MN
Recent on Ancient
ursa
11-13
vs ASTRAL
Mar 17
mouz nxt
13-8
vs megoshort
Mar 12
13-16
vs CYBERSHOKE
Mar 12
11-13
vs K27
Mar 11
7-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Mar 10
13-8
vs Nemesis
Mar 9
Mirage
URSA
8
–
13
MN
22%
78%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
MN
After First Death
URSA
MN
After First Kill
URSA
MN
Head-to-Head
URSA
MN
Opening Kills
URSA
MN
Recent on Mirage
ursa
14-16
vs Phantom
Apr 10
13-10
vs MINLATE
Apr 3
8-13
vs Just Players
Apr 1
11-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Mar 30
13-6
vs Omega
Mar 30
mouz nxt
13-16
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 17
13-10
vs zajezdzacze
Apr 8
10-13
vs Lazer Cats
Mar 29
13-5
vs ADN
Mar 29
13-6
vs CYBERSHOKE
Mar 12
Inferno
URSA
13
–
10
MN
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
MN
After First Death
URSA
MN
After First Kill
URSA
MN
Star Player
URSA
MN
Overall Rating
URSA
MN
Recent on Inferno
ursa
6-13
vs ESC
Apr 16
13-6
vs Acend
Apr 15
13-9
vs ASTRAL
Apr 11
13-3
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 7
16-13
vs megoshort
Apr 2
mouz nxt
no data
Overpass
URSA
11
–
13
MN
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
MN
Round Win Rate
URSA
MN
Head-to-Head
URSA
MN
T Side
URSA
MN
Map Win Rate
URSA
MN
Recent on Overpass
ursa
9-13
vs BIG
Apr 9
6-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 7
5-13
vs ECSTATIC
Apr 2
13-4
vs megoshort
Mar 31
4-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 25
mouz nxt
5-13
vs BIG
Mar 25
1-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 14
9-13
vs K27
Mar 11
13-7
vs Nemesis
Mar 9
8-13
vs Tricked
Feb 27
Dust2
URSA
11
–
13
MN
32%
68%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
MN
After First Kill
URSA
MN
Round Win Rate
URSA
MN
Head-to-Head
URSA
MN
Experience
URSA
MN
Recent on Dust2
ursa
13-4
vs Acend
Apr 15
13-11
vs Leo
Apr 12
3-13
vs Phantom
Apr 10
8-13
vs ASTRAL
Apr 9
16-14
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 7
mouz nxt
13-7
vs GenOne
Apr 14
8-13
vs ARCRED
Apr 12
13-11
vs zajezdzacze
Apr 8
3-13
vs aimclub
Mar 29
13-8
vs Nexus
Mar 24
Anubis
URSA
13
–
10
MN
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
MN
After First Death
URSA
MN
CT 4v5
URSA
MN
Head-to-Head
URSA
MN
After First Kill
URSA
MN
Recent on Anubis
ursa
9-13
vs BIG
Apr 9
13-2
vs MINLATE
Apr 3
13-11
vs ECSTATIC
Apr 2
13-10
vs Leo
Mar 25
13-11
vs ECSTATIC
Mar 17
mouz nxt
6-13
vs GenOne
Apr 14
7-13
vs Clutchain
Apr 13
7-13
vs aimclub
Mar 29
13-10
vs fnatic
Mar 24
6-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 14
Nuke
URSA
9
–
13
MN
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
MN
After First Death
URSA
MN
Head-to-Head
URSA
MN
Overall Rating
URSA
MN
Star Rating
URSA
MN
Recent on Nuke
ursa
17-19
vs ESC
Apr 16
13-5
vs Leo
Apr 12
13-6
vs ASTRAL
Apr 11
13-6
vs Phantom
Apr 10
4-13
vs ASTRAL
Apr 9
mouz nxt
5-13
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 17
13-3
vs Qual4
Apr 14
13-7
vs GenOne
Apr 14
8-13
vs ARCRED
Apr 12
6-13
vs BIG
Mar 25
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