Project Leggy
‹ Back
Bo3  ·  NODWIN Clutch Series 7
ursa ✓
vs
bebop
94%
6%
Series win probability
URSA 2–0 65%
URSA 2–1 28%
BEBO 2–1 4%
BEBO 2–0 2%
Actual result
Dust2 13–11
Nuke 16–14
Model Insights
ursa is strongly favored at 94%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.10 vs 1.07), a significant ranking advantage (#79 vs #108), a strong dust2 (98% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 49% Dust2 · Mirage · Nuke
Scenario 2 34% Dust2 · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 3 17% Dust2 · Mirage · Anubis
Dust2
URSA 13 – 5 BEBO
91%
9%
Win prob OT 2% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
BEBO
Head-to-Head
URSA
BEBO
After First Kill
URSA
BEBO
Round Win Rate
URSA
BEBO
After First Death
URSA
BEBO
Recent on Dust2
ursa
14-16 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 19
13-4 vs Acend Apr 15
13-11 vs Leo Apr 12
3-13 vs Phantom Apr 10
8-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 9
bebop
8-13 vs 1win Apr 14
4-13 vs BIG Apr 8
12-16 vs ex-RUBY Mar 31
7-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 28
13-8 vs ENCE Academy Mar 26
Mirage
URSA 13 – 10 BEBO
72%
28%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
URSA
BEBO
After First Death
URSA
BEBO
Ranking
URSA
BEBO
Round Win Rate
URSA
BEBO
Opening Score
URSA
BEBO
Recent on Mirage
ursa
4-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 19
14-16 vs Phantom Apr 10
13-10 vs MINLATE Apr 3
8-13 vs Just Players Apr 1
11-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 30
bebop
13-8 vs MANA Apr 19
10-13 vs Lavked Apr 16
14-16 vs 1win Apr 14
10-13 vs Lavked Apr 12
13-9 vs Persona Grata Apr 7
Nuke
URSA 13 – 7 BEBO
89%
11%
Win prob OT 6% ✓
Key factors
Head-to-Head
URSA
BEBO
Ranking
URSA
BEBO
Round Win Rate
URSA
BEBO
Map Win Rate
URSA
BEBO
After First Death
URSA
BEBO
Recent on Nuke
ursa
17-19 vs ESC Apr 16
13-5 vs Leo Apr 12
13-6 vs ASTRAL Apr 11
13-6 vs Phantom Apr 10
4-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 9
bebop
2-13 vs Lavked Apr 16
14-16 vs Hashiras Apr 12
7-13 vs Lavked Apr 12
13-9 vs BIG Apr 8
16-13 vs Persona Grata Apr 6
Dust2
URSA 13 – 5 BEBO
91%
9%
Win prob OT 2% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
BEBO
Head-to-Head
URSA
BEBO
After First Kill
URSA
BEBO
Round Win Rate
URSA
BEBO
After First Death
URSA
BEBO
Recent on Dust2
ursa
14-16 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 19
13-4 vs Acend Apr 15
13-11 vs Leo Apr 12
3-13 vs Phantom Apr 10
8-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 9
bebop
8-13 vs 1win Apr 14
4-13 vs BIG Apr 8
12-16 vs ex-RUBY Mar 31
7-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 28
13-8 vs ENCE Academy Mar 26
Mirage
URSA 13 – 10 BEBO
72%
28%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
URSA
BEBO
After First Death
URSA
BEBO
Ranking
URSA
BEBO
Round Win Rate
URSA
BEBO
Opening Score
URSA
BEBO
Recent on Mirage
ursa
4-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 19
14-16 vs Phantom Apr 10
13-10 vs MINLATE Apr 3
8-13 vs Just Players Apr 1
11-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 30
bebop
13-8 vs MANA Apr 19
10-13 vs Lavked Apr 16
14-16 vs 1win Apr 14
10-13 vs Lavked Apr 12
13-9 vs Persona Grata Apr 7
Inferno
URSA 13 – 4 BEBO
96%
4%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
URSA
BEBO
Map Player Rating
URSA
BEBO
After First Kill
URSA
BEBO
After First Death
URSA
BEBO
Ranking
URSA
BEBO
Recent on Inferno
ursa
6-13 vs ESC Apr 16
13-6 vs Acend Apr 15
13-9 vs ASTRAL Apr 11
13-3 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 7
16-13 vs megoshort Apr 2
bebop
13-5 vs MANA Apr 19
16-14 vs Hashiras Apr 12
7-13 vs BIG Apr 8
13-11 vs Persona Grata Apr 7
14-16 vs Persona Grata Apr 6
Dust2
URSA 13 – 5 BEBO
91%
9%
Win prob OT 2% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
BEBO
Head-to-Head
URSA
BEBO
After First Kill
URSA
BEBO
Round Win Rate
URSA
BEBO
After First Death
URSA
BEBO
Recent on Dust2
ursa
14-16 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 19
13-4 vs Acend Apr 15
13-11 vs Leo Apr 12
3-13 vs Phantom Apr 10
8-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 9
bebop
8-13 vs 1win Apr 14
4-13 vs BIG Apr 8
12-16 vs ex-RUBY Mar 31
7-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 28
13-8 vs ENCE Academy Mar 26
Mirage
URSA 13 – 10 BEBO
72%
28%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
URSA
BEBO
After First Death
URSA
BEBO
Ranking
URSA
BEBO
Round Win Rate
URSA
BEBO
Opening Score
URSA
BEBO
Recent on Mirage
ursa
4-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 19
14-16 vs Phantom Apr 10
13-10 vs MINLATE Apr 3
8-13 vs Just Players Apr 1
11-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 30
bebop
13-8 vs MANA Apr 19
10-13 vs Lavked Apr 16
14-16 vs 1win Apr 14
10-13 vs Lavked Apr 12
13-9 vs Persona Grata Apr 7
Anubis
URSA 13 – 10 BEBO
77%
23%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
URSA
BEBO
After First Kill
URSA
BEBO
After First Death
URSA
BEBO
Map Player Rating
URSA
BEBO
Ranking
URSA
BEBO
Recent on Anubis
ursa
9-13 vs BIG Apr 9
13-2 vs MINLATE Apr 3
13-11 vs ECSTATIC Apr 2
13-10 vs Leo Mar 25
13-11 vs ECSTATIC Mar 17
bebop
13-6 vs Rune Eaters Mar 28
13-8 vs zajezdzacze Mar 16
13-9 vs ASTRAL Feb 23
17-19 vs BRUTE Feb 9
10-13 vs QUAZAR Feb 3
Recent Results last 11 matches
ursa
bebop
L 0-2 vs MOUZ NXT Dust2Mirage Apr 19 7d ago
L 0-2 vs ESC InfernoNuke Apr 16 10d ago
W 2-0 vs Acend Dust2Inferno Apr 15 11d ago
W 2-0 vs Leo Dust2Nuke Apr 12 14d ago
W 2-0 vs ASTRAL InfernoNuke Apr 11 15d ago
L 1-2 vs Phantom Dust2NukeMirage Apr 10 16d ago
L 0-2 vs BIG OverpassAnubis Apr 9 17d ago
L 0-2 vs ASTRAL Dust2Nuke Apr 9 17d ago
W 2-1 vs Johnny Speeds OverpassDust2Inferno Apr 7 19d ago
W 2-1 vs MINLATE NukeAnubisMirage Apr 3 23d ago
W 2-0 vs megoshort InfernoDust2 Apr 2 24d ago
W 2-0 vs MANA MirageInferno Apr 19 7d ago
L 0-2 vs Lavked NukeMirage Apr 16 10d ago
L 0-2 vs 1win Dust2Mirage Apr 14 12d ago
W 2-1 vs Hashiras AncientNukeInferno Apr 12 14d ago
L 0-2 vs Lavked MirageNuke Apr 12 14d ago
L 1-2 vs BIG NukeInfernoDust2 Apr 8 18d ago
W 2-0 vs Persona Grata MirageInferno Apr 7 19d ago
W 2-1 vs Persona Grata MirageInfernoNuke Apr 6 20d ago
W 2-1 vs MASONIC AncientMirageNuke Apr 6 20d ago
W 2-1 vs Metizport MirageInfernoNuke Apr 4 22d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-RUBY Dust2Mirage Mar 31 26d ago
Player Matchups
ursa
Rating 3.0
bebop
AL
Alv
AWPADR 80.0KAST 74%
1.19 vs 1.19
DW
dwushka
AWPADR 81.3KAST 72%
KA
karnez
RiflerADR 80.6KAST 73%
1.14 vs 1.09
LO
lov1kus
RiflerADR 76.9KAST 73%
4X
4X1s
RiflerADR 78.7KAST 72%
1.10 vs 1.04
ID
iDISBALANCE
AWPADR 69.6KAST 73%
SA
Salazar
RiflerADR 65.4KAST 72%
0.97 vs 1.02
FA
faydett
RiflerADR 75.2KAST 71%
— vs 0.95
H1
h1kaN
AWPADR 67.6KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
URSA 13 – 4 BEBO
96%
4%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
URSA
BEBO
Map Player Rating
URSA
BEBO
After First Kill
URSA
BEBO
After First Death
URSA
BEBO
Ranking
URSA
BEBO
Recent on Inferno
ursa
6-13 vs ESC Apr 16
13-6 vs Acend Apr 15
13-9 vs ASTRAL Apr 11
13-3 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 7
16-13 vs megoshort Apr 2
bebop
13-5 vs MANA Apr 19
16-14 vs Hashiras Apr 12
7-13 vs BIG Apr 8
13-11 vs Persona Grata Apr 7
14-16 vs Persona Grata Apr 6
Ancient
URSA 13 – 7 BEBO
87%
13%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
BEBO
Head-to-Head
URSA
BEBO
Map Player Rating
URSA
BEBO
After First Death
URSA
BEBO
Ranking
URSA
BEBO
Recent on Ancient
ursa
11-13 vs ASTRAL Mar 17
bebop
16-12 vs Hashiras Apr 12
8-13 vs MASONIC Apr 6
10-13 vs Rune Eaters Mar 28
10-13 vs ALGO Mar 27
28-26 vs HOTU Mar 17
Overpass
URSA 13 – 8 BEBO
77%
23%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
BEBO
After First Death
URSA
BEBO
Head-to-Head
URSA
BEBO
Map Player Rating
URSA
BEBO
Ranking
URSA
BEBO
Recent on Overpass
ursa
9-13 vs BIG Apr 9
6-13 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 7
5-13 vs ECSTATIC Apr 2
13-4 vs megoshort Mar 31
4-13 vs Nemiga Mar 25
bebop
3-13 vs MINLATE Mar 22
9-13 vs Lilmix Mar 14
Anubis
URSA 13 – 10 BEBO
77%
23%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
URSA
BEBO
After First Kill
URSA
BEBO
After First Death
URSA
BEBO
Map Player Rating
URSA
BEBO
Ranking
URSA
BEBO
Recent on Anubis
ursa
9-13 vs BIG Apr 9
13-2 vs MINLATE Apr 3
13-11 vs ECSTATIC Apr 2
13-10 vs Leo Mar 25
13-11 vs ECSTATIC Mar 17
bebop
13-6 vs Rune Eaters Mar 28
13-8 vs zajezdzacze Mar 16
13-9 vs ASTRAL Feb 23
17-19 vs BRUTE Feb 9
10-13 vs QUAZAR Feb 3