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Bo3  ·  NODWIN Clutch Series 7
ursa ✓
vs
genone
57%
43%
Series win probability
GENO 2–1 39%
URSA 2–1 34%
URSA 2–0 23%
GENO 2–0 4%
Actual result
Dust2 13–10
Inferno 13–7
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — ursa is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#79 vs #124), a strong inferno (99% win probability). genone's best shot is dust2 where they hold a 71% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 56% Dust2 · Inferno · Nuke
Scenario 2 27% Dust2 · Inferno · Anubis
Scenario 3 17% Dust2 · Inferno · Overpass
Dust2
URSA 10 – 13 GENO
24%
76%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Head-to-Head
URSA
GENO
Ranking
URSA
GENO
Round Win Rate
URSA
GENO
T Side
URSA
GENO
After First Kill
URSA
GENO
Recent on Dust2
ursa
13-11 vs Bebop Apr 21
14-16 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 19
13-4 vs Acend Apr 15
13-11 vs Leo Apr 12
3-13 vs Phantom Apr 10
genone
13-7 vs 1win Apr 21
8-13 vs Acend Apr 18
13-7 vs Phantom Apr 16
7-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 14
7-13 vs Ursa Apr 1
Inferno
URSA 13 – 5 GENO
94%
6%
Win prob OT 2% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
GENO
Map Player Rating
URSA
GENO
Head-to-Head
URSA
GENO
Round Win Rate
URSA
GENO
Ranking
URSA
GENO
Recent on Inferno
ursa
6-13 vs ESC Apr 16
13-6 vs Acend Apr 15
13-9 vs ASTRAL Apr 11
13-3 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 7
16-13 vs megoshort Apr 2
genone
8-13 vs Acend Apr 18
9-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 10
13-8 vs MINLATE Mar 22
5-13 vs Alliance Feb 21
13-16 vs TDK Feb 20
Nuke
URSA 11 – 13 GENO
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
GENO
Head-to-Head
URSA
GENO
Ranking
URSA
GENO
Map Player Rating
URSA
GENO
Round Win Rate
URSA
GENO
Recent on Nuke
ursa
16-14 vs Bebop Apr 21
17-19 vs ESC Apr 16
13-5 vs Leo Apr 12
13-6 vs ASTRAL Apr 11
13-6 vs Phantom Apr 10
genone
13-6 vs Phantom Apr 16
7-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 14
7-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 10
10-13 vs Ursa Apr 1
10-13 vs KOLESIE Mar 30
Dust2
URSA 10 – 13 GENO
24%
76%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Head-to-Head
URSA
GENO
Ranking
URSA
GENO
Round Win Rate
URSA
GENO
T Side
URSA
GENO
After First Kill
URSA
GENO
Recent on Dust2
ursa
13-11 vs Bebop Apr 21
14-16 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 19
13-4 vs Acend Apr 15
13-11 vs Leo Apr 12
3-13 vs Phantom Apr 10
genone
13-7 vs 1win Apr 21
8-13 vs Acend Apr 18
13-7 vs Phantom Apr 16
7-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 14
7-13 vs Ursa Apr 1
Inferno
URSA 13 – 5 GENO
94%
6%
Win prob OT 2% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
GENO
Map Player Rating
URSA
GENO
Head-to-Head
URSA
GENO
Round Win Rate
URSA
GENO
Ranking
URSA
GENO
Recent on Inferno
ursa
6-13 vs ESC Apr 16
13-6 vs Acend Apr 15
13-9 vs ASTRAL Apr 11
13-3 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 7
16-13 vs megoshort Apr 2
genone
8-13 vs Acend Apr 18
9-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 10
13-8 vs MINLATE Mar 22
5-13 vs Alliance Feb 21
13-16 vs TDK Feb 20
Anubis
URSA 13 – 6 GENO
93%
7%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
GENO
Map Player Rating
URSA
GENO
Head-to-Head
URSA
GENO
Ranking
URSA
GENO
Map Win Rate
URSA
GENO
Recent on Anubis
ursa
9-13 vs BIG Apr 9
13-2 vs MINLATE Apr 3
13-11 vs ECSTATIC Apr 2
13-10 vs Leo Mar 25
13-11 vs ECSTATIC Mar 17
genone
13-6 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 14
8-13 vs MOUZ NXT Mar 8
7-13 vs TDK Feb 20
13-9 vs Famalicão Feb 16
8-13 vs VP.Prodigy Feb 14
Dust2
URSA 10 – 13 GENO
24%
76%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Head-to-Head
URSA
GENO
Ranking
URSA
GENO
Round Win Rate
URSA
GENO
T Side
URSA
GENO
After First Kill
URSA
GENO
Recent on Dust2
ursa
13-11 vs Bebop Apr 21
14-16 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 19
13-4 vs Acend Apr 15
13-11 vs Leo Apr 12
3-13 vs Phantom Apr 10
genone
13-7 vs 1win Apr 21
8-13 vs Acend Apr 18
13-7 vs Phantom Apr 16
7-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 14
7-13 vs Ursa Apr 1
Inferno
URSA 13 – 5 GENO
94%
6%
Win prob OT 2% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
GENO
Map Player Rating
URSA
GENO
Head-to-Head
URSA
GENO
Round Win Rate
URSA
GENO
Ranking
URSA
GENO
Recent on Inferno
ursa
6-13 vs ESC Apr 16
13-6 vs Acend Apr 15
13-9 vs ASTRAL Apr 11
13-3 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 7
16-13 vs megoshort Apr 2
genone
8-13 vs Acend Apr 18
9-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 10
13-8 vs MINLATE Mar 22
5-13 vs Alliance Feb 21
13-16 vs TDK Feb 20
Overpass
URSA 13 – 9 GENO
79%
21%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
GENO
Head-to-Head
URSA
GENO
Ranking
URSA
GENO
Round Win Rate
URSA
GENO
Map Win Rate
URSA
GENO
Recent on Overpass
ursa
9-13 vs BIG Apr 9
6-13 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 7
5-13 vs ECSTATIC Apr 2
13-4 vs megoshort Mar 31
4-13 vs Nemiga Mar 25
genone
13-9 vs 1win Apr 21
13-4 vs ALGO Mar 24
4-13 vs Alliance Feb 21
13-4 vs VP.Prodigy Feb 14
5-13 vs ALGO Feb 12
Recent Results last 11 matches
ursa
genone
W 2-0 vs Bebop NukeDust2 Apr 21 5d ago
L 0-2 vs MOUZ NXT Dust2Mirage Apr 19 7d ago
L 0-2 vs ESC InfernoNuke Apr 16 10d ago
W 2-0 vs Acend Dust2Inferno Apr 15 11d ago
W 2-0 vs Leo Dust2Nuke Apr 12 14d ago
W 2-0 vs ASTRAL InfernoNuke Apr 11 15d ago
L 1-2 vs Phantom Dust2NukeMirage Apr 10 16d ago
L 0-2 vs BIG OverpassAnubis Apr 9 17d ago
L 0-2 vs ASTRAL Dust2Nuke Apr 9 17d ago
W 2-1 vs Johnny Speeds OverpassDust2Inferno Apr 7 19d ago
W 2-1 vs MINLATE NukeAnubisMirage Apr 3 23d ago
W 2-1 vs 1win OverpassAncientDust2 Apr 21 5d ago
L 0-2 vs Acend Dust2Inferno Apr 18 8d ago
W 2-0 vs Phantom Dust2Nuke Apr 16 10d ago
L 1-2 vs MOUZ NXT Dust2AnubisNuke Apr 14 12d ago
L 0-2 vs HEROIC Academy InfernoNuke Apr 10 16d ago
L 0-2 vs Ursa NukeDust2 Apr 1 25d ago
L 1-2 vs KOLESIE Dust2NukeAncient Mar 30 27d ago
W 2-0 vs ALGO OverpassDust2 Mar 24 33d ago
W 2-1 vs MINLATE NukeInfernoAncient Mar 22 35d ago
W 2-0 vs Leo AncientDust2 Mar 20 37d ago
L 1-2 vs MOUZ NXT AnubisDust2Ancient Mar 8 49d ago
Player Matchups
ursa
Rating 3.0
genone
AL
Alv
AWPADR 80.0KAST 74%
1.19 vs 1.15
CH
Chucky
AWPADR 71.7KAST 74%
KA
karnez
RiflerADR 80.6KAST 73%
1.14 vs 1.03
DJ
Djoko
AWPADR 74.4KAST 70%
4X
4X1s
RiflerADR 78.7KAST 72%
1.10 vs 1.03
BR
Brooxsy
AWPADR 74.9KAST 72%
SA
Salazar
RiflerADR 65.4KAST 72%
0.97 vs —
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Anubis
URSA 13 – 6 GENO
93%
7%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
GENO
Map Player Rating
URSA
GENO
Head-to-Head
URSA
GENO
Ranking
URSA
GENO
Map Win Rate
URSA
GENO
Recent on Anubis
ursa
9-13 vs BIG Apr 9
13-2 vs MINLATE Apr 3
13-11 vs ECSTATIC Apr 2
13-10 vs Leo Mar 25
13-11 vs ECSTATIC Mar 17
genone
13-6 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 14
8-13 vs MOUZ NXT Mar 8
7-13 vs TDK Feb 20
13-9 vs Famalicão Feb 16
8-13 vs VP.Prodigy Feb 14
Ancient
URSA 13 – 8 GENO
83%
17%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
GENO
Head-to-Head
URSA
GENO
Ranking
URSA
GENO
Map Player Rating
URSA
GENO
Round Win Rate
URSA
GENO
Recent on Ancient
ursa
11-13 vs ASTRAL Mar 17
genone
4-13 vs 1win Apr 21
12-16 vs KOLESIE Mar 30
13-7 vs MINLATE Mar 22
13-1 vs Leo Mar 20
10-13 vs MOUZ NXT Mar 8
Overpass
URSA 13 – 9 GENO
79%
21%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
GENO
Head-to-Head
URSA
GENO
Ranking
URSA
GENO
Round Win Rate
URSA
GENO
Map Win Rate
URSA
GENO
Recent on Overpass
ursa
9-13 vs BIG Apr 9
6-13 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 7
5-13 vs ECSTATIC Apr 2
13-4 vs megoshort Mar 31
4-13 vs Nemiga Mar 25
genone
13-9 vs 1win Apr 21
13-4 vs ALGO Mar 24
4-13 vs Alliance Feb 21
13-4 vs VP.Prodigy Feb 14
5-13 vs ALGO Feb 12