Bo3 · DFRAG Open Series 4
rooster
✗
vs
abyssal
54%
46%
Series win probability
ROOS
2–1
35%
ABYS
2–1
34%
ROOS
2–0
19%
ABYS
2–0
12%
Actual result
Overpass
13–9
Nuke
13–5
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — rooster is slightly favored at 54% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong overpass (91% win probability). abyssal's best shot is nuke where they hold a 84% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Overpass · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 2
33%
Overpass · Nuke · Anubis
Scenario 3
25%
Overpass · Nuke · Inferno
Overpass
ROOS
13
–
7
ABYS
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 6%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
After First Death
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Map Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Overpass
rooster
13-4
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 17
13-7
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-5
vs The Bardolphs
Apr 11
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 7
13-11
vs Skele
Apr 3
abyssal
7-13
vs Rooster
Apr 17
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 10
13-8
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
13-10
vs Mindfreak
Apr 5
13-11
vs Arcade
Apr 3
Nuke
ROOS
8
–
13
ABYS
22%
78%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Opening Score
ROOS
ABYS
Utility Score
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Nuke
rooster
13-8
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-5
vs The Bardolphs
Apr 11
11-13
vs Arcade
Apr 7
9-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 5
6-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 27
abyssal
13-10
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 18
8-13
vs Rooster
Apr 17
11-13
vs Arcade
Apr 10
14-16
vs DXA
Apr 10
16-19
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
Mirage
ROOS
11
–
13
ABYS
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
After First Death
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
CT Side
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Mirage
rooster
13-8
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 17
9-13
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 11
13-7
vs Abyssal
Apr 8
13-8
vs Skele
Apr 6
7-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 27
abyssal
13-10
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 18
13-8
vs DXA
Apr 17
13-7
vs Arcade
Apr 10
13-9
vs DXA
Apr 10
7-13
vs Rooster
Apr 8
Overpass
ROOS
13
–
7
ABYS
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 6%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
After First Death
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Map Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Overpass
rooster
13-4
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 17
13-7
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-5
vs The Bardolphs
Apr 11
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 7
13-11
vs Skele
Apr 3
abyssal
7-13
vs Rooster
Apr 17
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 10
13-8
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
13-10
vs Mindfreak
Apr 5
13-11
vs Arcade
Apr 3
Nuke
ROOS
8
–
13
ABYS
22%
78%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Opening Score
ROOS
ABYS
Utility Score
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Nuke
rooster
13-8
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-5
vs The Bardolphs
Apr 11
11-13
vs Arcade
Apr 7
9-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 5
6-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 27
abyssal
13-10
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 18
8-13
vs Rooster
Apr 17
11-13
vs Arcade
Apr 10
14-16
vs DXA
Apr 10
16-19
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
Anubis
ROOS
13
–
10
ABYS
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
ROOS
ABYS
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
Map Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Ranking
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Anubis
rooster
13-5
vs Time Waves
Apr 12
16-14
vs Ground Zero
Mar 26
22-20
vs Mindfreak
Mar 25
6-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 15
6-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 12
abyssal
13-4
vs Ground Zero
Apr 1
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 30
6-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 26
9-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 25
Overpass
ROOS
13
–
7
ABYS
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 6%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
After First Death
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Map Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Overpass
rooster
13-4
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 17
13-7
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-5
vs The Bardolphs
Apr 11
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 7
13-11
vs Skele
Apr 3
abyssal
7-13
vs Rooster
Apr 17
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 10
13-8
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
13-10
vs Mindfreak
Apr 5
13-11
vs Arcade
Apr 3
Nuke
ROOS
8
–
13
ABYS
22%
78%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Opening Score
ROOS
ABYS
Utility Score
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Nuke
rooster
13-8
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-5
vs The Bardolphs
Apr 11
11-13
vs Arcade
Apr 7
9-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 5
6-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 27
abyssal
13-10
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 18
8-13
vs Rooster
Apr 17
11-13
vs Arcade
Apr 10
14-16
vs DXA
Apr 10
16-19
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
Inferno
ROOS
9
–
13
ABYS
29%
71%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
After First Death
ROOS
ABYS
Map Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Inferno
rooster
4-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 9
13-8
vs Abyssal
Apr 8
6-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 5
4-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 26
13-11
vs Mindfreak
Mar 25
abyssal
13-6
vs DXA
Apr 17
8-13
vs Rooster
Apr 8
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
13-16
vs Mindfreak
Apr 5
8-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 27
Recent Results
last 11 matches
rooster
abyssal
W
2-0
vs Ding Cuts
OverpassMirage
Apr 17
9d ago
W
2-0
vs Abyssal
OverpassNuke
Apr 17
9d ago
W
2-0
vs Time Waves
AnubisDust2
Apr 12
14d ago
L
0-2
vs Ding Cuts
MirageDust2
Apr 11
15d ago
W
2-0
vs The Bardolphs
NukeOverpass
Apr 11
15d ago
L
0-2
vs Ground Zero
Dust2Inferno
Apr 9
17d ago
W
2-0
vs Abyssal
InfernoMirage
Apr 8
18d ago
W
2-1
vs Arcade
Dust2NukeOverpass
Apr 7
19d ago
W
2-0
vs Skele
MirageDust2
Apr 6
20d ago
L
1-2
vs Ground Zero
Dust2NukeInferno
Apr 5
21d ago
W
2-0
vs Skele
Dust2Overpass
Apr 3
23d ago
W
2-0
vs Ding Cuts
MirageNuke
Apr 18
8d ago
W
2-0
vs DXA
InfernoMirage
Apr 17
9d ago
L
0-2
vs Rooster
OverpassNuke
Apr 17
9d ago
W
2-1
vs Arcade
OverpassNukeMirage
Apr 10
16d ago
W
2-1
vs DXA
AncientNukeMirage
Apr 10
16d ago
L
0-2
vs Rooster
InfernoMirage
Apr 8
18d ago
L
1-2
vs Ground Zero
OverpassInfernoNuke
Apr 7
19d ago
W
2-1
vs Mindfreak
OverpassInfernoNuke
Apr 5
21d ago
W
2-1
vs Arcade
NukeAncientOverpass
Apr 3
23d ago
L
1-2
vs Ground Zero
AnubisMirageNuke
Apr 1
25d ago
W
2-0
vs 11mins
MirageNuke
Mar 31
26d ago
Player Matchups
rooster
Rating 3.0
abyssal
CH
chelleos
AWPADR 82.6KAST 72%
GU
gump
RiflerADR 82.3KAST 72%
JU
ju1ces
RiflerADR 77.8KAST 74%
VI
vinhy
RiflerADR 75.8KAST 73%
RE
rekonz
AWPADR 74.4KAST 71%
DA
dangeR
AWPADR 74.8KAST 75%
SK
SkulL
RiflerADR 67.9KAST 69%
FO
foggers
AWPADR 71.4KAST 72%
AD
ADK
AWPADR 59.3KAST 71%
KI
Kiyo
AWPADR 66.4KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps
2 maps
Inferno
ROOS
9
–
13
ABYS
29%
71%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
After First Death
ROOS
ABYS
Map Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Inferno
rooster
4-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 9
13-8
vs Abyssal
Apr 8
6-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 5
4-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 26
13-11
vs Mindfreak
Mar 25
abyssal
13-6
vs DXA
Apr 17
8-13
vs Rooster
Apr 8
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
13-16
vs Mindfreak
Apr 5
8-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 27
Anubis
ROOS
13
–
10
ABYS
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
ROOS
ABYS
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
Map Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Ranking
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Anubis
rooster
13-5
vs Time Waves
Apr 12
16-14
vs Ground Zero
Mar 26
22-20
vs Mindfreak
Mar 25
6-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 15
6-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 12
abyssal
13-4
vs Ground Zero
Apr 1
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 30
6-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 26
9-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 25