Bo3 · DFRAG Open Series 4
rooster
✗
vs
abyssal
53%
47%
Series win probability
ABYS
2–1
32%
ROOS
2–1
30%
ROOS
2–0
23%
ABYS
2–0
15%
Actual result
Overpass
13–9
ROOS
Nuke
13–5
ABYS
Inferno
13–11
ABYS
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — rooster is slightly favored at 53% but only leads on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong overpass (86% win probability). abyssal's best shot is nuke where they hold a 78% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
Overpass · Nuke · Mirage
Overpass
ROOS
13
–
7
ABYS
80%
20%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
After First Death
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Ranking
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Overpass
rooster
13-4
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 17
13-7
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-5
vs The Bardolphs
Apr 11
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 7
13-11
vs Skele
Apr 3
abyssal
7-13
vs Rooster
Apr 17
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 10
13-8
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
13-10
vs Mindfreak
Apr 5
13-11
vs Arcade
Apr 3
Nuke
ROOS
9
–
13
ABYS
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
Ranking
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Utility Score
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Nuke
rooster
13-8
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-5
vs The Bardolphs
Apr 11
11-13
vs Arcade
Apr 7
9-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 5
6-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 27
abyssal
13-10
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 18
8-13
vs Rooster
Apr 17
11-13
vs Arcade
Apr 10
14-16
vs DXA
Apr 10
16-19
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
Mirage
ROOS
11
–
13
ABYS
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
Ranking
ROOS
ABYS
After First Death
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Mirage
rooster
13-8
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 17
9-13
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 11
13-7
vs Abyssal
Apr 8
13-8
vs Skele
Apr 6
7-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 27
abyssal
13-10
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 18
13-8
vs DXA
Apr 17
13-7
vs Arcade
Apr 10
13-9
vs DXA
Apr 10
7-13
vs Rooster
Apr 8
Player Matchups
Player data not available for this match
Unpredicted Maps
5 maps
Anubis
ROOS
13
–
10
ABYS
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
After First Death
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
Ranking
ROOS
ABYS
Map Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Anubis
rooster
13-5
vs Time Waves
Apr 12
16-14
vs Ground Zero
Mar 26
22-20
vs Mindfreak
Mar 25
6-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 15
6-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 12
abyssal
13-4
vs Ground Zero
Apr 1
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 30
6-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 26
9-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 25
Inferno
ROOS
10
–
13
ABYS
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
Ranking
ROOS
ABYS
After First Death
ROOS
ABYS
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Inferno
rooster
4-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 9
13-8
vs Abyssal
Apr 8
6-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 5
4-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 26
13-11
vs Mindfreak
Mar 25
abyssal
13-6
vs DXA
Apr 17
8-13
vs Rooster
Apr 8
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
13-16
vs Mindfreak
Apr 5
8-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 27
Overpass
ROOS
13
–
7
ABYS
80%
20%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
After First Death
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Ranking
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Overpass
rooster
13-4
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 17
13-7
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-5
vs The Bardolphs
Apr 11
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 7
13-11
vs Skele
Apr 3
abyssal
7-13
vs Rooster
Apr 17
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 10
13-8
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
13-10
vs Mindfreak
Apr 5
13-11
vs Arcade
Apr 3
Nuke
ROOS
9
–
13
ABYS
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
Ranking
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Utility Score
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Nuke
rooster
13-8
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-5
vs The Bardolphs
Apr 11
11-13
vs Arcade
Apr 7
9-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 5
6-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 27
abyssal
13-10
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 18
8-13
vs Rooster
Apr 17
11-13
vs Arcade
Apr 10
14-16
vs DXA
Apr 10
16-19
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
Mirage
ROOS
11
–
13
ABYS
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ROOS
ABYS
Ranking
ROOS
ABYS
After First Death
ROOS
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ROOS
ABYS
Recent on Mirage
rooster
13-8
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 17
9-13
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 11
13-7
vs Abyssal
Apr 8
13-8
vs Skele
Apr 6
7-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 27
abyssal
13-10
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 18
13-8
vs DXA
Apr 17
13-7
vs Arcade
Apr 10
13-9
vs DXA
Apr 10
7-13
vs Rooster
Apr 8