Bo3 · BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 1
· 2026-04-29
Astralis
vs
G2
45%
55%
Series win probability
G2
2–0
32%
ASTR
2–1
27%
G2
2–1
23%
ASTR
2–0
18%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — G2 is slightly favored at 55% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.10 vs 1.06), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#12 vs #6), a strong dust2 (63% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
39%
Overpass · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 2
32%
Overpass · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 3
28%
Overpass · Dust2 · Inferno
Overpass
ASTR
14
–
16
G2
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ASTR
G2
Ranking
ASTR
G2
After First Death
ASTR
G2
Round Win Rate
ASTR
G2
Schedule Strength
ASTR
G2
Recent on Overpass
Astralis
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 10
13-5
vs MIBR
Apr 4
16-12
vs FUT
Mar 15
3-13
vs MOUZ
Mar 7
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Mar 4
G2
13-3
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 13
13-3
vs BetBoom
Apr 2
13-8
vs Acend
Mar 29
9-13
vs SINNERS
Mar 25
11-13
vs FUT
Mar 10
Dust2
ASTR
8
–
13
G2
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
G2
After First Kill
ASTR
G2
Round Win Rate
ASTR
G2
Ranking
ASTR
G2
Schedule Strength
ASTR
G2
Recent on Dust2
Astralis
3-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
13-11
vs 3DMAX
Apr 10
8-13
vs FUT
Mar 15
2-13
vs Aurora
Mar 14
13-6
vs spirit
Mar 13
G2
13-1
vs 3DMAX
Apr 15
11-13
vs spirit
Apr 15
11-13
vs Vitality
Apr 14
13-9
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-6
vs Nemesis
Apr 1
Ancient
ASTR
13
–
11
G2
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
ASTR
G2
Schedule Strength
ASTR
G2
After First Death
ASTR
G2
Round Win Rate
ASTR
G2
Opening Score
ASTR
G2
Recent on Ancient
Astralis
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
16-14
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-9
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
13-8
vs B8
Apr 5
13-4
vs FUT
Mar 15
G2
13-11
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-7
vs GamerLegion
Apr 3
5-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 2
13-3
vs Nemesis
Apr 1
13-6
vs Fluxo
Mar 30
Overpass
ASTR
14
–
16
G2
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ASTR
G2
Ranking
ASTR
G2
After First Death
ASTR
G2
Round Win Rate
ASTR
G2
Schedule Strength
ASTR
G2
Recent on Overpass
Astralis
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 10
13-5
vs MIBR
Apr 4
16-12
vs FUT
Mar 15
3-13
vs MOUZ
Mar 7
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Mar 4
G2
13-3
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 13
13-3
vs BetBoom
Apr 2
13-8
vs Acend
Mar 29
9-13
vs SINNERS
Mar 25
11-13
vs FUT
Mar 10
Dust2
ASTR
8
–
13
G2
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
G2
After First Kill
ASTR
G2
Round Win Rate
ASTR
G2
Ranking
ASTR
G2
Schedule Strength
ASTR
G2
Recent on Dust2
Astralis
3-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
13-11
vs 3DMAX
Apr 10
8-13
vs FUT
Mar 15
2-13
vs Aurora
Mar 14
13-6
vs spirit
Mar 13
G2
13-1
vs 3DMAX
Apr 15
11-13
vs spirit
Apr 15
11-13
vs Vitality
Apr 14
13-9
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-6
vs Nemesis
Apr 1
Mirage
ASTR
14
–
16
G2
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
ASTR
G2
Schedule Strength
ASTR
G2
Ranking
ASTR
G2
Round Win Rate
ASTR
G2
After First Death
ASTR
G2
Recent on Mirage
Astralis
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
8-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-4
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
16-12
vs B8
Apr 5
13-10
vs MIBR
Apr 4
G2
7-13
vs spirit
Apr 15
13-5
vs Vitality
Apr 14
13-8
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 13
13-5
vs BetBoom
Apr 2
11-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
Overpass
ASTR
14
–
16
G2
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ASTR
G2
Ranking
ASTR
G2
After First Death
ASTR
G2
Round Win Rate
ASTR
G2
Schedule Strength
ASTR
G2
Recent on Overpass
Astralis
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 10
13-5
vs MIBR
Apr 4
16-12
vs FUT
Mar 15
3-13
vs MOUZ
Mar 7
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Mar 4
G2
13-3
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 13
13-3
vs BetBoom
Apr 2
13-8
vs Acend
Mar 29
9-13
vs SINNERS
Mar 25
11-13
vs FUT
Mar 10
Dust2
ASTR
8
–
13
G2
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
G2
After First Kill
ASTR
G2
Round Win Rate
ASTR
G2
Ranking
ASTR
G2
Schedule Strength
ASTR
G2
Recent on Dust2
Astralis
3-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
13-11
vs 3DMAX
Apr 10
8-13
vs FUT
Mar 15
2-13
vs Aurora
Mar 14
13-6
vs spirit
Mar 13
G2
13-1
vs 3DMAX
Apr 15
11-13
vs spirit
Apr 15
11-13
vs Vitality
Apr 14
13-9
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-6
vs Nemesis
Apr 1
Inferno
ASTR
14
–
16
G2
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
ASTR
G2
Ranking
ASTR
G2
Schedule Strength
ASTR
G2
After First Kill
ASTR
G2
After First Death
ASTR
G2
Recent on Inferno
Astralis
13-2
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
10-13
vs Aurora
Mar 14
13-4
vs FURIA
Mar 10
16-14
vs FaZe
Mar 9
G2
13-6
vs 3DMAX
Apr 15
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 14
8-13
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 13
16-14
vs GamerLegion
Apr 3
13-6
vs Acend
Mar 30
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Astralis
G2
L
1-3
vs FUT
AncientMirageNukeDust2
Apr 11
18d ago
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
Dust2Overpass
Apr 10
19d ago
W
2-1
vs EYEBALLERS
MirageAncientInferno
Apr 9
20d ago
W
2-0
vs The MongolZ
MirageAncient
Apr 6
23d ago
W
2-1
vs B8
MirageNukeAncient
Apr 5
24d ago
W
2-0
vs MIBR
MirageOverpass
Apr 4
25d ago
W
2-1
vs FUT
Dust2AncientOverpass
Mar 15
45d ago
L
1-2
vs Aurora
NukeDust2Inferno
Mar 14
46d ago
W
2-0
vs spirit
Dust2Ancient
Mar 13
47d ago
W
2-1
vs FURIA
NukeDust2Inferno
Mar 10
50d ago
W
2-1
vs FaZe
Dust2AncientInferno
Mar 9
51d ago
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
InfernoDust2
Apr 15
14d ago
L
0-2
vs spirit
MirageDust2
Apr 15
14d ago
L
1-2
vs Vitality
MirageInfernoDust2
Apr 14
15d ago
W
2-1
vs Gentle Mates
InfernoMirageOverpass
Apr 13
16d ago
W
2-1
vs BetBoom
AnubisAncientDust2
Apr 4
25d ago
W
2-0
vs GamerLegion
InfernoAncient
Apr 3
26d ago
W
2-1
vs BetBoom
MirageAncientOverpass
Apr 2
27d ago
W
2-0
vs Nemesis
AncientDust2
Apr 1
28d ago
W
2-0
vs Fluxo
AnubisAncient
Mar 30
30d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
MirageAncientAnubis
Mar 30
30d ago
W
2-0
vs Acend
InfernoDust2
Mar 30
30d ago
Player Matchups
Astralis
Rating 3.0
G2
ST
Staehr
RiflerADR 82.1KAST 7180%
HE
HeavyGod
RiflerADR 75.1KAST 7580%
PH
phzy
AWPADR 74.3KAST 7310%
MA
MATYS
RiflerADR 76.6KAST 7590%
JA
jabbi
RiflerADR 75.9KAST 7320%
NE
NertZ
EntryADR 82.0KAST 7320%
RY
ryu
EntryADR 70.6KAST 7310%
SU
SunPayus
AWPADR 69.6KAST 7510%
HO
HooXi
RiflerADR 61.1KAST 6720%
HU
huNter-
RiflerADR 71.5KAST 7430%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Nuke
ASTR
13
–
5
G2
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
ASTR
G2
After First Death
ASTR
G2
Ranking
ASTR
G2
Opening Kills
ASTR
G2
Schedule Strength
ASTR
G2
Recent on Nuke
Astralis
16-14
vs FUT
Apr 11
8-13
vs B8
Apr 5
13-11
vs Aurora
Mar 14
13-4
vs FURIA
Mar 10
13-5
vs Monte
Mar 1
G2
no data
Anubis
ASTR
8
–
13
G2
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
ASTR
G2
After First Death
ASTR
G2
Schedule Strength
ASTR
G2
Ranking
ASTR
G2
T 5v4
ASTR
G2
Recent on Anubis
Astralis
no data
G2
10-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-2
vs Fluxo
Mar 30
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
11-13
vs aurora
Mar 9
10-13
vs spirit
Mar 8
Mirage
ASTR
14
–
16
G2
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
ASTR
G2
Schedule Strength
ASTR
G2
Ranking
ASTR
G2
Round Win Rate
ASTR
G2
After First Death
ASTR
G2
Recent on Mirage
Astralis
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
8-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-4
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
16-12
vs B8
Apr 5
13-10
vs MIBR
Apr 4
G2
7-13
vs spirit
Apr 15
13-5
vs Vitality
Apr 14
13-8
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 13
13-5
vs BetBoom
Apr 2
11-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
Inferno
ASTR
14
–
16
G2
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
ASTR
G2
Ranking
ASTR
G2
Schedule Strength
ASTR
G2
After First Kill
ASTR
G2
After First Death
ASTR
G2
Recent on Inferno
Astralis
13-2
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
10-13
vs Aurora
Mar 14
13-4
vs FURIA
Mar 10
16-14
vs FaZe
Mar 9
G2
13-6
vs 3DMAX
Apr 15
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 14
8-13
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 13
16-14
vs GamerLegion
Apr 3
13-6
vs Acend
Mar 30
More from BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 1
2 matches