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Bo3  ·  Tipsport Conquest of Prague 2026 Finals · 2026-05-22
Alliance ✓
vs
Walczaki
55%
45%
Series win probability
ALLI 2–0 29%
ALLI 2–1 27%
WALC 2–1 27%
WALC 2–0 17%
Actual result
Nuke 13–1 ALLI
Dust2 13–10 ALLI
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Alliance is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong anubis (72% win probability). Walczaki's best shot is nuke where they hold a 60% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 39% Anubis · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 2 36% Anubis · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 3 26% Anubis · Nuke · Overpass
Anubis
ALLI 13 – 7 WALC
72%
28%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
WALC
Ranking
ALLI
WALC
After First Death
ALLI
WALC
Overall Rating
ALLI
WALC
Utility Score
ALLI
WALC
Recent on Anubis
Alliance
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 9
13-7 vs Oxuji Apr 24
13-6 vs KOLESIE Apr 21
13-0 vs UNiTY Apr 15
13-11 vs M80 Apr 2
Walczaki
13-7 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 10
13-7 vs Nemiga May 10
13-8 vs 9INE May 8
13-2 vs Rebels May 6
13-11 vs Oxuji May 1
Nuke
ALLI 8 – 13 WALC
40%
60%
Win prob OT 9% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
WALC
After First Kill
ALLI
WALC
After First Death
ALLI
WALC
CT 4v5
ALLI
WALC
Map Firepower
ALLI
WALC
Recent on Nuke
Alliance
3-13 vs Lavked May 8
13-11 vs Oxuji Apr 24
7-13 vs KOLESIE Apr 21
8-13 vs Monte Mar 31
6-13 vs EYEBALLERS Mar 26
Walczaki
11-13 vs Tricked May 20
10-13 vs Nemesis May 18
5-13 vs SPARTA May 16
13-8 vs Nemiga May 15
8-13 vs HOTU May 14
Ancient
ALLI 16 – 14 WALC
50%
50%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
WALC
After First Kill
ALLI
WALC
Map Firepower
ALLI
WALC
Map Win Rate
ALLI
WALC
Round Win Rate
ALLI
WALC
Recent on Ancient
Alliance
4-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 9
9-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 26
13-5 vs Tricked Apr 13
13-9 vs Johnny Speeds Mar 28
16-12 vs ReThink Mar 26
Walczaki
13-8 vs Tricked May 20
9-13 vs Nemiga May 15
13-6 vs HOTU May 14
13-11 vs BET-M May 12
13-9 vs AM May 11
Anubis
ALLI 13 – 7 WALC
72%
28%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
WALC
Ranking
ALLI
WALC
After First Death
ALLI
WALC
Overall Rating
ALLI
WALC
Utility Score
ALLI
WALC
Recent on Anubis
Alliance
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 9
13-7 vs Oxuji Apr 24
13-6 vs KOLESIE Apr 21
13-0 vs UNiTY Apr 15
13-11 vs M80 Apr 2
Walczaki
13-7 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 10
13-7 vs Nemiga May 10
13-8 vs 9INE May 8
13-2 vs Rebels May 6
13-11 vs Oxuji May 1
Nuke
ALLI 8 – 13 WALC
40%
60%
Win prob OT 9% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
WALC
After First Kill
ALLI
WALC
After First Death
ALLI
WALC
CT 4v5
ALLI
WALC
Map Firepower
ALLI
WALC
Recent on Nuke
Alliance
3-13 vs Lavked May 8
13-11 vs Oxuji Apr 24
7-13 vs KOLESIE Apr 21
8-13 vs Monte Mar 31
6-13 vs EYEBALLERS Mar 26
Walczaki
11-13 vs Tricked May 20
10-13 vs Nemesis May 18
5-13 vs SPARTA May 16
13-8 vs Nemiga May 15
8-13 vs HOTU May 14
Inferno
ALLI 13 – 11 WALC
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
WALC
After First Kill
ALLI
WALC
CT 4v5
ALLI
WALC
Favorite
ALLI
WALC
Experience
ALLI
WALC
Recent on Inferno
Alliance
13-7 vs Lavked May 8
10-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 26
2-13 vs M80 Apr 2
2-13 vs Aurora Apr 1
16-13 vs fnatic Mar 31
Walczaki
8-13 vs Tricked May 20
13-4 vs Nemesis May 18
13-4 vs BET-M May 12
9-13 vs Tricked May 9
13-16 vs 9INE May 8
Anubis
ALLI 13 – 7 WALC
72%
28%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
WALC
Ranking
ALLI
WALC
After First Death
ALLI
WALC
Overall Rating
ALLI
WALC
Utility Score
ALLI
WALC
Recent on Anubis
Alliance
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 9
13-7 vs Oxuji Apr 24
13-6 vs KOLESIE Apr 21
13-0 vs UNiTY Apr 15
13-11 vs M80 Apr 2
Walczaki
13-7 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 10
13-7 vs Nemiga May 10
13-8 vs 9INE May 8
13-2 vs Rebels May 6
13-11 vs Oxuji May 1
Nuke
ALLI 8 – 13 WALC
40%
60%
Win prob OT 9% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
WALC
After First Kill
ALLI
WALC
After First Death
ALLI
WALC
CT 4v5
ALLI
WALC
Map Firepower
ALLI
WALC
Recent on Nuke
Alliance
3-13 vs Lavked May 8
13-11 vs Oxuji Apr 24
7-13 vs KOLESIE Apr 21
8-13 vs Monte Mar 31
6-13 vs EYEBALLERS Mar 26
Walczaki
11-13 vs Tricked May 20
10-13 vs Nemesis May 18
5-13 vs SPARTA May 16
13-8 vs Nemiga May 15
8-13 vs HOTU May 14
Overpass
ALLI 13 – 9 WALC
61%
39%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
WALC
After First Kill
ALLI
WALC
After First Death
ALLI
WALC
Ban Rate
ALLI
WALC
Map Firepower
ALLI
WALC
Recent on Overpass
Alliance
5-13 vs M80 Apr 2
13-11 vs Aurora Apr 1
13-10 vs Passion UA Apr 1
11-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 31
6-13 vs Johnny Speeds Mar 28
Walczaki
9-13 vs Rebels May 6
10-13 vs KOLESIE Apr 29
Recent Results last 11 matches
Alliance
Walczaki
L 0-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES AncientAnubis May 9 18d ago
W 2-1 vs Lavked NukeInfernoDust2 May 8 19d ago
L 0-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES AncientInferno Apr 26 31d ago
W 2-0 vs Oxuji NukeAnubis Apr 24 33d ago
W 2-1 vs KOLESIE NukeAnubisDust2 Apr 21 36d ago
W 1-0 vs UNiTY Anubis Apr 15 42d ago
W 1-0 vs Tricked Ancient Apr 13 44d ago
L 1-2 vs M80 AnubisInfernoOverpass Apr 2 55d ago
W 2-1 vs Aurora InfernoAnubisOverpass Apr 1 56d ago
W 2-0 vs Passion UA OverpassAnubis Apr 1 56d ago
L 0-2 vs Monte AnubisNuke Mar 31 57d ago
L 1-2 vs Tricked AncientInfernoNuke May 20 7d ago
W 2-1 vs Nemesis NukeInfernoMirage May 18 9d ago
W 2-1 vs SPARTA NukeDust2Mirage May 16 11d ago
L 1-2 vs Nemiga Dust2NukeAncient May 15 12d ago
W 2-1 vs HOTU Dust2NukeAncient May 14 13d ago
W 2-0 vs BET-M InfernoAncient May 12 15d ago
W 2-0 vs AM AncientDust2 May 11 16d ago
W 2-0 vs Nuclear TigeRES NukeAnubis May 10 17d ago
W 2-1 vs Nemiga Dust2NukeAnubis May 10 17d ago
L 0-2 vs Tricked NukeInferno May 9 18d ago
W 2-1 vs BET-M AncientMirageNuke May 9 18d ago
Player Matchups
Alliance
Ratings
Walczaki
MA
MaiL09
EntryADR 80.5KAST 77%
1.17 vs 1.09
OL
olimp
RiflerADR 78.8KAST 73%
ER
eraa
AWPADR 80.0KAST 75%
1.16 vs 1.08
RE
reiko
EntryADR 84.4KAST 73%
AV
avid
RiflerADR 77.8KAST 76%
1.10 vs 1.08
SA
SaMey
AWPADR 69.8KAST 74%
TW
twist
RiflerADR 71.4KAST 75%
1.02 vs 1.06
MO
moonwalk
RiflerADR 73.4KAST 71%
UP
upE
RiflerADR 64.8KAST 71%
0.95 vs 1.05
BA
bajmi
RiflerADR 71.6KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Dust2
ALLI 13 – 6 WALC
75%
25%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
WALC
Map ADR
ALLI
WALC
Map Firepower
ALLI
WALC
After First Death
ALLI
WALC
Map Win Rate
ALLI
WALC
Recent on Dust2
Alliance
16-13 vs Lavked May 8
13-9 vs KOLESIE Apr 21
13-7 vs Inner Circle Mar 31
13-4 vs Lazer Cats Mar 30
13-9 vs EYEBALLERS Mar 28
Walczaki
13-7 vs SPARTA May 16
8-13 vs Nemiga May 15
13-10 vs HOTU May 14
16-13 vs AM May 11
14-16 vs Nemiga May 10
Overpass
ALLI 13 – 9 WALC
61%
39%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
WALC
After First Kill
ALLI
WALC
After First Death
ALLI
WALC
Ban Rate
ALLI
WALC
Map Firepower
ALLI
WALC
Recent on Overpass
Alliance
5-13 vs M80 Apr 2
13-11 vs Aurora Apr 1
13-10 vs Passion UA Apr 1
11-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 31
6-13 vs Johnny Speeds Mar 28
Walczaki
9-13 vs Rebels May 6
10-13 vs KOLESIE Apr 29
Inferno
ALLI 13 – 11 WALC
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
WALC
After First Kill
ALLI
WALC
CT 4v5
ALLI
WALC
Favorite
ALLI
WALC
Experience
ALLI
WALC
Recent on Inferno
Alliance
13-7 vs Lavked May 8
10-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 26
2-13 vs M80 Apr 2
2-13 vs Aurora Apr 1
16-13 vs fnatic Mar 31
Walczaki
8-13 vs Tricked May 20
13-4 vs Nemesis May 18
13-4 vs BET-M May 12
9-13 vs Tricked May 9
13-16 vs 9INE May 8
Mirage
ALLI 14 – 16 WALC
49%
51%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
WALC
After First Kill
ALLI
WALC
Ban Rate
ALLI
WALC
Map ADR
ALLI
WALC
Map Win Rate
ALLI
WALC
Recent on Mirage
Alliance
5-13 vs ENCE Feb 11
10-13 vs SINNERS Feb 10
Walczaki
13-10 vs Nemesis May 18
13-3 vs SPARTA May 16
13-8 vs BET-M May 9
13-4 vs ex-RUBY May 8
13-11 vs Lavked May 5
More from Tipsport Conquest of Prague 2026 Finals 1 match
Sashi over EYEBALLERS 55%