Bo3 · BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 1
· 2026-04-30
FUT
vs
Astralis
56%
44%
Series win probability
FUT
2–0
29%
FUT
2–1
27%
ASTR
2–1
25%
ASTR
2–0
19%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — FUT is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong mirage (66% win probability). Astralis's best shot is ancient where they hold a 55% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
41%
Mirage · Ancient · Overpass
Scenario 2
30%
Mirage · Ancient · Nuke
Scenario 3
29%
Mirage · Ancient · Dust2
Mirage
FUT
13
–
7
ASTR
66%
34%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
FUT
ASTR
Round Win Rate
FUT
ASTR
After First Death
FUT
ASTR
Sniper Score
FUT
ASTR
T Side
FUT
ASTR
Recent on Mirage
FUT
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
13-5
vs Astralis
Apr 11
16-14
vs The MongolZ
Apr 10
13-6
vs PARIVISION
Apr 6
13-6
vs Inner Circle
Apr 4
Astralis
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
8-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-4
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
16-12
vs B8
Apr 5
13-10
vs MIBR
Apr 4
Ancient
FUT
9
–
13
ASTR
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
FUT
ASTR
Round Win Rate
FUT
ASTR
After First Kill
FUT
ASTR
Opponent-Rating Diff
FUT
ASTR
4v5 Rounds
FUT
ASTR
Recent on Ancient
FUT
13-5
vs Astralis
Apr 11
13-11
vs B8
Apr 9
13-3
vs NRG
Apr 5
13-3
vs Inner Circle
Apr 4
4-13
vs Astralis
Mar 15
Astralis
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
16-14
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-9
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
13-8
vs B8
Apr 5
13-4
vs FUT
Mar 15
Overpass
FUT
16
–
14
ASTR
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
FUT
ASTR
After First Kill
FUT
ASTR
4v5 Rounds
FUT
ASTR
Opponent-Rating Diff
FUT
ASTR
Sniper Score
FUT
ASTR
Recent on Overpass
FUT
16-13
vs B8
Apr 9
12-16
vs Astralis
Mar 15
10-13
vs MOUZ
Mar 13
13-11
vs G2
Mar 10
13-3
vs Astralis
Mar 3
Astralis
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 10
13-5
vs MIBR
Apr 4
16-12
vs FUT
Mar 15
3-13
vs MOUZ
Mar 7
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Mar 4
Mirage
FUT
13
–
7
ASTR
66%
34%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
FUT
ASTR
Round Win Rate
FUT
ASTR
After First Death
FUT
ASTR
Sniper Score
FUT
ASTR
T Side
FUT
ASTR
Recent on Mirage
FUT
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
13-5
vs Astralis
Apr 11
16-14
vs The MongolZ
Apr 10
13-6
vs PARIVISION
Apr 6
13-6
vs Inner Circle
Apr 4
Astralis
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
8-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-4
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
16-12
vs B8
Apr 5
13-10
vs MIBR
Apr 4
Ancient
FUT
9
–
13
ASTR
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
FUT
ASTR
Round Win Rate
FUT
ASTR
After First Kill
FUT
ASTR
Opponent-Rating Diff
FUT
ASTR
4v5 Rounds
FUT
ASTR
Recent on Ancient
FUT
13-5
vs Astralis
Apr 11
13-11
vs B8
Apr 9
13-3
vs NRG
Apr 5
13-3
vs Inner Circle
Apr 4
4-13
vs Astralis
Mar 15
Astralis
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
16-14
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-9
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
13-8
vs B8
Apr 5
13-4
vs FUT
Mar 15
Nuke
FUT
13
–
9
ASTR
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
FUT
ASTR
After First Death
FUT
ASTR
Sniper Score
FUT
ASTR
4v5 Rounds
FUT
ASTR
Opponent-Rating Diff
FUT
ASTR
Recent on Nuke
FUT
11-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
14-16
vs Astralis
Apr 11
13-10
vs The MongolZ
Apr 10
13-2
vs NRG
Apr 5
13-3
vs HEROIC
Mar 7
Astralis
16-14
vs FUT
Apr 11
8-13
vs B8
Apr 5
13-11
vs Aurora
Mar 14
13-4
vs FURIA
Mar 10
13-5
vs Monte
Mar 1
Mirage
FUT
13
–
7
ASTR
66%
34%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
FUT
ASTR
Round Win Rate
FUT
ASTR
After First Death
FUT
ASTR
Sniper Score
FUT
ASTR
T Side
FUT
ASTR
Recent on Mirage
FUT
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
13-5
vs Astralis
Apr 11
16-14
vs The MongolZ
Apr 10
13-6
vs PARIVISION
Apr 6
13-6
vs Inner Circle
Apr 4
Astralis
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
8-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-4
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
16-12
vs B8
Apr 5
13-10
vs MIBR
Apr 4
Ancient
FUT
9
–
13
ASTR
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
FUT
ASTR
Round Win Rate
FUT
ASTR
After First Kill
FUT
ASTR
Opponent-Rating Diff
FUT
ASTR
4v5 Rounds
FUT
ASTR
Recent on Ancient
FUT
13-5
vs Astralis
Apr 11
13-11
vs B8
Apr 9
13-3
vs NRG
Apr 5
13-3
vs Inner Circle
Apr 4
4-13
vs Astralis
Mar 15
Astralis
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
16-14
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-9
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
13-8
vs B8
Apr 5
13-4
vs FUT
Mar 15
Dust2
FUT
16
–
14
ASTR
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
FUT
ASTR
After First Kill
FUT
ASTR
After First Death
FUT
ASTR
Sniper Score
FUT
ASTR
T Side
FUT
ASTR
Recent on Dust2
FUT
13-11
vs Vitality
Apr 29
13-3
vs Astralis
Apr 11
13-11
vs PARIVISION
Apr 6
9-13
vs Inner Circle
Apr 4
13-8
vs Astralis
Mar 15
Astralis
3-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
13-11
vs 3DMAX
Apr 10
8-13
vs FUT
Mar 15
2-13
vs Aurora
Mar 14
13-6
vs spirit
Mar 13
Recent Results
last 11 matches
FUT
Astralis
W
3-1
vs Astralis
AncientMirageNukeDust2
Apr 11
18d ago
W
2-0
vs The MongolZ
NukeMirage
Apr 10
19d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
AncientOverpass
Apr 9
20d ago
W
2-0
vs PARIVISION
Dust2Mirage
Apr 6
23d ago
W
2-0
vs NRG
AncientNuke
Apr 5
24d ago
W
2-1
vs Inner Circle
Dust2MirageAncient
Apr 4
25d ago
L
1-2
vs Astralis
Dust2AncientOverpass
Mar 15
45d ago
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
MirageAncientDust2
Mar 14
46d ago
W
2-1
vs MOUZ
Dust2OverpassMirage
Mar 13
47d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
MirageDust2Overpass
Mar 10
50d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
Dust2Anubis
Mar 9
51d ago
L
1-3
vs FUT
AncientMirageNukeDust2
Apr 11
18d ago
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
Dust2Overpass
Apr 10
19d ago
W
2-1
vs EYEBALLERS
MirageAncientInferno
Apr 9
20d ago
W
2-0
vs The MongolZ
MirageAncient
Apr 6
23d ago
W
2-1
vs B8
MirageNukeAncient
Apr 5
24d ago
W
2-0
vs MIBR
MirageOverpass
Apr 4
25d ago
W
2-1
vs FUT
Dust2AncientOverpass
Mar 15
45d ago
L
1-2
vs Aurora
NukeDust2Inferno
Mar 14
46d ago
W
2-0
vs spirit
Dust2Ancient
Mar 13
47d ago
W
2-1
vs FURIA
NukeDust2Inferno
Mar 10
50d ago
W
2-1
vs FaZe
Dust2AncientInferno
Mar 9
51d ago
Player Matchups
FUT
Rating 3.0
Astralis
LA
lauNX
RiflerADR 76.2KAST 7400%
ST
Staehr
RiflerADR 82.1KAST 7180%
DZ
dziugss
EntryADR 73.0KAST 7490%
PH
phzy
AWPADR 74.3KAST 7310%
KR
Krabeni
RiflerADR 78.0KAST 6940%
JA
jabbi
RiflerADR 75.9KAST 7320%
CM
cmtry
AWPADR 71.5KAST 7200%
RY
ryu
EntryADR 70.6KAST 7310%
DE
dem0n
RiflerADR 70.9KAST 7210%
HO
HooXi
RiflerADR 61.1KAST 6720%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Anubis
FUT
13
–
7
ASTR
80%
20%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
FUT
ASTR
After First Death
FUT
ASTR
T 5v4
FUT
ASTR
Sniper Score
FUT
ASTR
Ranking
FUT
ASTR
Recent on Anubis
FUT
13-3
vs B8
Mar 9
13-7
vs Passion UA
Mar 2
10-13
vs M80
Mar 1
9-13
vs FURIA
Feb 15
13-16
vs Aurora
Feb 14
Astralis
no data
Nuke
FUT
13
–
9
ASTR
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
FUT
ASTR
After First Death
FUT
ASTR
Sniper Score
FUT
ASTR
4v5 Rounds
FUT
ASTR
Opponent-Rating Diff
FUT
ASTR
Recent on Nuke
FUT
11-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
14-16
vs Astralis
Apr 11
13-10
vs The MongolZ
Apr 10
13-2
vs NRG
Apr 5
13-3
vs HEROIC
Mar 7
Astralis
16-14
vs FUT
Apr 11
8-13
vs B8
Apr 5
13-11
vs Aurora
Mar 14
13-4
vs FURIA
Mar 10
13-5
vs Monte
Mar 1
Dust2
FUT
16
–
14
ASTR
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
FUT
ASTR
After First Kill
FUT
ASTR
After First Death
FUT
ASTR
Sniper Score
FUT
ASTR
T Side
FUT
ASTR
Recent on Dust2
FUT
13-11
vs Vitality
Apr 29
13-3
vs Astralis
Apr 11
13-11
vs PARIVISION
Apr 6
9-13
vs Inner Circle
Apr 4
13-8
vs Astralis
Mar 15
Astralis
3-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
13-11
vs 3DMAX
Apr 10
8-13
vs FUT
Mar 15
2-13
vs Aurora
Mar 14
13-6
vs spirit
Mar 13