Bo3 · CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 1
rustec
✓
vs
playersclub
95%
5%
Series win probability
RUST
2–0
69%
RUST
2–1
27%
PLAY
2–1
3%
PLAY
2–0
1%
Actual result
Mirage
13–5
Overpass
13–7
Model Insights
rustec is strongly favored at 95%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.06 vs 0.00), a significant ranking advantage (#136 vs #204), a strong mirage (97% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Dust2 · Mirage · Overpass
Scenario 2
30%
Dust2 · Mirage · Nuke
Scenario 3
28%
Dust2 · Mirage · Ancient
Dust2
RUST
13
–
10
PLAY
72%
28%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
RUST
PLAY
Ranking
RUST
PLAY
Map Player Rating
RUST
PLAY
Round Win Rate
RUST
PLAY
Star Player
RUST
PLAY
Recent on Dust2
rustec
4-13
vs Hashiras
Apr 22
13-9
vs Nemesis
Apr 8
8-13
vs MANA
Apr 1
6-13
vs ASTRAL
Apr 1
13-6
vs Rune Eaters
Mar 30
playersclub
12-16
vs BRUTE
Apr 20
13-4
vs Dripmen
Apr 18
Mirage
RUST
13
–
5
PLAY
95%
5%
Win prob
OT 2%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
PLAY
After First Kill
RUST
PLAY
Map Player Rating
RUST
PLAY
Head-to-Head
RUST
PLAY
Ranking
RUST
PLAY
Recent on Mirage
rustec
8-13
vs Nemesis
Apr 8
6-13
vs MANA
Apr 1
5-13
vs Rune Eaters
Mar 30
13-2
vs Nigel Mirage
Mar 29
13-9
vs MANA
Mar 28
playersclub
9-13
vs ence academy
Mar 30
Overpass
RUST
13
–
6
PLAY
89%
11%
Win prob
OT 4%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RUST
PLAY
After First Kill
RUST
PLAY
Head-to-Head
RUST
PLAY
Ranking
RUST
PLAY
After First Death
RUST
PLAY
Recent on Overpass
rustec
13-4
vs Atreides
Apr 20
13-11
vs STATE
Apr 3
13-7
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Apr 2
16-12
vs Nigel Mirage
Mar 29
13-11
vs Metizport
Mar 29
playersclub
13-5
vs BRUTE
Apr 20
6-13
vs Dripmen
Apr 18
Dust2
RUST
13
–
10
PLAY
72%
28%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
RUST
PLAY
Ranking
RUST
PLAY
Map Player Rating
RUST
PLAY
Round Win Rate
RUST
PLAY
Star Player
RUST
PLAY
Recent on Dust2
rustec
4-13
vs Hashiras
Apr 22
13-9
vs Nemesis
Apr 8
8-13
vs MANA
Apr 1
6-13
vs ASTRAL
Apr 1
13-6
vs Rune Eaters
Mar 30
playersclub
12-16
vs BRUTE
Apr 20
13-4
vs Dripmen
Apr 18
Mirage
RUST
13
–
5
PLAY
95%
5%
Win prob
OT 2%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
PLAY
After First Kill
RUST
PLAY
Map Player Rating
RUST
PLAY
Head-to-Head
RUST
PLAY
Ranking
RUST
PLAY
Recent on Mirage
rustec
8-13
vs Nemesis
Apr 8
6-13
vs MANA
Apr 1
5-13
vs Rune Eaters
Mar 30
13-2
vs Nigel Mirage
Mar 29
13-9
vs MANA
Mar 28
playersclub
9-13
vs ence academy
Mar 30
Nuke
RUST
9
–
13
PLAY
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
RUST
PLAY
Head-to-Head
RUST
PLAY
Map Player Rating
RUST
PLAY
Ranking
RUST
PLAY
After First Death
RUST
PLAY
Recent on Nuke
rustec
13-11
vs Atreides
Apr 20
13-9
vs STATE
Apr 3
13-6
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Apr 2
13-7
vs ASTRAL
Apr 1
13-5
vs Rune Eaters
Mar 30
playersclub
13-4
vs BRUTE
Apr 20
8-13
vs ence academy
Mar 30
Dust2
RUST
13
–
10
PLAY
72%
28%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
RUST
PLAY
Ranking
RUST
PLAY
Map Player Rating
RUST
PLAY
Round Win Rate
RUST
PLAY
Star Player
RUST
PLAY
Recent on Dust2
rustec
4-13
vs Hashiras
Apr 22
13-9
vs Nemesis
Apr 8
8-13
vs MANA
Apr 1
6-13
vs ASTRAL
Apr 1
13-6
vs Rune Eaters
Mar 30
playersclub
12-16
vs BRUTE
Apr 20
13-4
vs Dripmen
Apr 18
Mirage
RUST
13
–
5
PLAY
95%
5%
Win prob
OT 2%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
PLAY
After First Kill
RUST
PLAY
Map Player Rating
RUST
PLAY
Head-to-Head
RUST
PLAY
Ranking
RUST
PLAY
Recent on Mirage
rustec
8-13
vs Nemesis
Apr 8
6-13
vs MANA
Apr 1
5-13
vs Rune Eaters
Mar 30
13-2
vs Nigel Mirage
Mar 29
13-9
vs MANA
Mar 28
playersclub
9-13
vs ence academy
Mar 30
Ancient
RUST
11
–
13
PLAY
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
PLAY
Map Player Rating
RUST
PLAY
Head-to-Head
RUST
PLAY
Ranking
RUST
PLAY
After First Kill
RUST
PLAY
Recent on Ancient
rustec
11-13
vs Nemesis
Apr 8
13-7
vs Oxuji
Mar 24
13-9
vs Nemesis
Mar 9
3-13
vs K27
Feb 2
playersclub
13-7
vs Dripmen
Apr 18
Recent Results
last 11 matches
rustec
playersclub
L
0-2
vs Hashiras
Dust2Inferno
Apr 22
4d ago
W
2-1
vs Atreides
InfernoNukeOverpass
Apr 20
6d ago
L
1-2
vs Nemesis
Dust2AncientMirage
Apr 8
18d ago
W
2-0
vs STATE
NukeOverpass
Apr 3
23d ago
W
2-0
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
OverpassNuke
Apr 2
24d ago
L
0-2
vs MANA
MirageDust2
Apr 1
25d ago
W
2-1
vs ASTRAL
Dust2AnubisNuke
Apr 1
25d ago
W
2-1
vs Rune Eaters
MirageDust2Nuke
Mar 30
27d ago
W
2-0
vs Nigel Mirage
OverpassMirage
Mar 29
28d ago
W
2-1
vs Metizport
NukeDust2Overpass
Mar 29
28d ago
W
2-0
vs MANA
Dust2Mirage
Mar 28
29d ago
W
2-1
vs BRUTE
Dust2OverpassNuke
Apr 20
6d ago
W
2-1
vs Dripmen
Dust2OverpassAncient
Apr 18
8d ago
L
0-2
vs ence academy
MirageNuke
Mar 30
27d ago
Player Matchups
rustec
Rating 3.0
playersclub
YO
youka
AWPADR 72.8KAST 72%
SU
supra
RiflerADR 76.0KAST 71%
BR
Brilliance
RiflerADR 75.0KAST 71%
JA
jakekeS
RiflerADR 72.4KAST 72%
AN
anttzz
AWPADR 66.4KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Anubis
RUST
13
–
7
PLAY
88%
12%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RUST
PLAY
Head-to-Head
RUST
PLAY
After First Death
RUST
PLAY
After First Kill
RUST
PLAY
Ranking
RUST
PLAY
Recent on Anubis
rustec
13-3
vs ASTRAL
Apr 1
9-13
vs K27
Feb 2
playersclub
no data
Nuke
RUST
9
–
13
PLAY
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
RUST
PLAY
Head-to-Head
RUST
PLAY
Map Player Rating
RUST
PLAY
Ranking
RUST
PLAY
After First Death
RUST
PLAY
Recent on Nuke
rustec
13-11
vs Atreides
Apr 20
13-9
vs STATE
Apr 3
13-6
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Apr 2
13-7
vs ASTRAL
Apr 1
13-5
vs Rune Eaters
Mar 30
playersclub
13-4
vs BRUTE
Apr 20
8-13
vs ence academy
Mar 30
Ancient
RUST
11
–
13
PLAY
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
PLAY
Map Player Rating
RUST
PLAY
Head-to-Head
RUST
PLAY
Ranking
RUST
PLAY
After First Kill
RUST
PLAY
Recent on Ancient
rustec
11-13
vs Nemesis
Apr 8
13-7
vs Oxuji
Mar 24
13-9
vs Nemesis
Mar 9
3-13
vs K27
Feb 2
playersclub
13-7
vs Dripmen
Apr 18