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Bo3  ·  Parken Challenger Championship Season 5
rebels
vs
tnc ✓
28%
72%
Series win probability
TNC 2–0 39%
TNC 2–1 34%
REBE 2–0 14%
REBE 2–1 13%
Actual result
Dust2 13–6
Nuke 13–9
Model Insights
tnc is strongly favored at 72%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#140 vs #95), a strong nuke (73% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 61% Dust2 · Ancient · Nuke
Scenario 2 20% Dust2 · Ancient · Anubis
Scenario 3 18% Dust2 · Ancient · Overpass
Dust2
REBE 11 – 13 TNC
33%
67%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
Round Win Rate
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
Ranking
REBE
TNC
Experience
REBE
TNC
Recent on Dust2
rebels
10-13 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
6-13 vs INFINITE Apr 19
13-4 vs XI Apr 19
16-12 vs Nemesis Apr 2
13-10 vs BET-M Mar 31
tnc
6-13 vs Sashi Apr 15
13-9 vs mana Apr 6
9-13 vs ex-ruby Apr 3
9-13 vs heroic academy Apr 1
3-13 vs Rune Eaters Mar 29
Ancient
REBE 13 – 11 TNC
42%
58%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
CT 4v5
REBE
TNC
Opening Kills
REBE
TNC
Recent on Ancient
rebels
13-6 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
8-13 vs INFINITE Apr 19
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 2
13-10 vs BET-M Mar 31
13-10 vs Leo Mar 29
tnc
13-11 vs XI Apr 19
7-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
16-12 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
13-8 vs ECSTATIC Apr 12
13-7 vs elitenergy Apr 7
Nuke
REBE 9 – 13 TNC
28%
72%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
Ranking
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
Map Win Rate
REBE
TNC
Recent on Nuke
rebels
13-5 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
10-13 vs XI Apr 19
3-13 vs BET-M Mar 31
9-13 vs illwill Mar 30
8-13 vs Lavked Mar 27
tnc
16-14 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
10-13 vs elitenergy Apr 7
13-6 vs just players Apr 3
16-12 vs yngods Mar 30
5-13 vs MINLATE Mar 30
Dust2
REBE 11 – 13 TNC
33%
67%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
Round Win Rate
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
Ranking
REBE
TNC
Experience
REBE
TNC
Recent on Dust2
rebels
10-13 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
6-13 vs INFINITE Apr 19
13-4 vs XI Apr 19
16-12 vs Nemesis Apr 2
13-10 vs BET-M Mar 31
tnc
6-13 vs Sashi Apr 15
13-9 vs mana Apr 6
9-13 vs ex-ruby Apr 3
9-13 vs heroic academy Apr 1
3-13 vs Rune Eaters Mar 29
Ancient
REBE 13 – 11 TNC
42%
58%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
CT 4v5
REBE
TNC
Opening Kills
REBE
TNC
Recent on Ancient
rebels
13-6 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
8-13 vs INFINITE Apr 19
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 2
13-10 vs BET-M Mar 31
13-10 vs Leo Mar 29
tnc
13-11 vs XI Apr 19
7-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
16-12 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
13-8 vs ECSTATIC Apr 12
13-7 vs elitenergy Apr 7
Anubis
REBE 9 – 13 TNC
37%
63%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
Round Win Rate
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
Ranking
REBE
TNC
Recent on Anubis
rebels
13-4 vs Fuzos Mar 1
11-13 vs CSDIILIT Feb 16
13-10 vs WW Feb 6
tnc
13-2 vs XI Apr 19
13-3 vs MINLATE Mar 30
Dust2
REBE 11 – 13 TNC
33%
67%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
Round Win Rate
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
Ranking
REBE
TNC
Experience
REBE
TNC
Recent on Dust2
rebels
10-13 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
6-13 vs INFINITE Apr 19
13-4 vs XI Apr 19
16-12 vs Nemesis Apr 2
13-10 vs BET-M Mar 31
tnc
6-13 vs Sashi Apr 15
13-9 vs mana Apr 6
9-13 vs ex-ruby Apr 3
9-13 vs heroic academy Apr 1
3-13 vs Rune Eaters Mar 29
Ancient
REBE 13 – 11 TNC
42%
58%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
CT 4v5
REBE
TNC
Opening Kills
REBE
TNC
Recent on Ancient
rebels
13-6 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
8-13 vs INFINITE Apr 19
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 2
13-10 vs BET-M Mar 31
13-10 vs Leo Mar 29
tnc
13-11 vs XI Apr 19
7-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
16-12 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
13-8 vs ECSTATIC Apr 12
13-7 vs elitenergy Apr 7
Overpass
REBE 9 – 13 TNC
29%
71%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
Ranking
REBE
TNC
CT 4v5
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
Recent on Overpass
rebels
13-8 vs XI Apr 19
8-13 vs Nemesis Apr 2
13-6 vs MINLATE Mar 25
6-13 vs TDK Mar 19
5-13 vs ALGO Mar 19
tnc
8-13 vs elitenergy Apr 7
8-13 vs qwentry Apr 5
13-4 vs Hashiras Mar 28
9-13 vs STATE Mar 25
Recent Results last 11 matches
rebels
tnc
W 2-1 vs Phantom Academy AncientDust2Nuke Apr 19 7d ago
L 1-2 vs INFINITE Dust2InfernoAncient Apr 19 7d ago
W 2-1 vs XI Dust2NukeOverpass Apr 19 7d ago
L 1-2 vs Nemesis OverpassDust2Ancient Apr 2 24d ago
W 2-1 vs BET-M NukeDust2Ancient Mar 31 26d ago
L 1-2 vs illwill Dust2NukeInferno Mar 30 27d ago
W 2-0 vs Leo AncientInferno Mar 29 28d ago
L 0-2 vs Lavked NukeDust2 Mar 27 30d ago
W 2-0 vs Ursa Dust2Inferno Mar 25 32d ago
W 2-1 vs MINLATE InfernoOverpassNuke Mar 25 32d ago
L 0-2 vs QWENTRY Dust2Nuke Mar 23 34d ago
W 2-0 vs XI AnubisAncient Apr 19 7d ago
L 1-2 vs zajezdzacze NukeMirageAncient Apr 19 7d ago
W 2-0 vs Phantom Academy MirageAncient Apr 19 7d ago
L 0-1 vs Sashi Dust2 Apr 15 11d ago
W 1-0 vs ECSTATIC Ancient Apr 12 14d ago
L 1-2 vs elitenergy OverpassAncientNuke Apr 7 19d ago
W 2-0 vs mana Dust2Ancient Apr 6 20d ago
L 1-2 vs qwentry OverpassAncientMirage Apr 5 21d ago
L 0-2 vs megoshort MirageAncient Apr 4 22d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-ruby AncientDust2 Apr 3 23d ago
W 2-1 vs just players MirageAncientNuke Apr 3 23d ago
Player Matchups
rebels
Rating 3.0
tnc
NO
NOPEEj
RiflerADR 71.8KAST 73%
1.06 vs 1.12
MA
Markoś
AWPADR 73.7KAST 75%
ST
stadodo
AWPADR 69.8KAST 71%
1.05 vs 1.03
AD
AdrieN
RiflerADR 75.9KAST 70%
IC
Icarus
RiflerADR 70.8KAST 71%
1.00 vs 1.02
YV
yvro
RiflerADR 75.4KAST 72%
TM
TMKj
AWPADR 70.3KAST 71%
0.98 vs 1.02
MA
maaryy
RiflerADR 72.5KAST 73%
SN
snapy
RiflerADR 71.4KAST 67%
0.97 vs 0.93
NA
Nami
RiflerADR 68.7KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Inferno
REBE 13 – 7 TNC
85%
15%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
Ranking
REBE
TNC
Star Player
REBE
TNC
Recent on Inferno
rebels
13-7 vs INFINITE Apr 19
8-13 vs illwill Mar 30
13-9 vs Leo Mar 29
13-11 vs Ursa Mar 25
13-16 vs MINLATE Mar 25
tnc
no data
Overpass
REBE 9 – 13 TNC
29%
71%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
Ranking
REBE
TNC
CT 4v5
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
Recent on Overpass
rebels
13-8 vs XI Apr 19
8-13 vs Nemesis Apr 2
13-6 vs MINLATE Mar 25
6-13 vs TDK Mar 19
5-13 vs ALGO Mar 19
tnc
8-13 vs elitenergy Apr 7
8-13 vs qwentry Apr 5
13-4 vs Hashiras Mar 28
9-13 vs STATE Mar 25
Anubis
REBE 9 – 13 TNC
37%
63%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
Round Win Rate
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
Ranking
REBE
TNC
Recent on Anubis
rebels
13-4 vs Fuzos Mar 1
11-13 vs CSDIILIT Feb 16
13-10 vs WW Feb 6
tnc
13-2 vs XI Apr 19
13-3 vs MINLATE Mar 30