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Bo3  ·  Parken Challenger Championship Season 5
rebels
vs
tnc
57%
43%
Series win probability
REBE 2–0 32%
REBE 2–1 26%
TNC 2–1 24%
TNC 2–0 18%
Actual result
Dust2 13–6 TNC
Nuke 13–9 TNC
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — rebels is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#95 vs #140), a strong dust2 (75% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 Dust2 · Ancient · Nuke
Dust2
REBE 13 9 TNC
63%
37%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
Ranking
REBE
TNC
Round Win Rate
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
Experience
REBE
TNC
Recent on Dust2
rebels
10-13 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
6-13 vs INFINITE Apr 19
13-4 vs XI Apr 19
16-12 vs Nemesis Apr 2
13-10 vs BET-M Mar 31
tnc
6-13 vs Sashi Apr 15
13-9 vs mana Apr 6
9-13 vs ex-ruby Apr 3
9-13 vs heroic academy Apr 1
3-13 vs Rune Eaters Mar 29
Ancient
REBE 13 11 TNC
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
Opening Kills
REBE
TNC
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
Recent on Ancient
rebels
13-6 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
8-13 vs INFINITE Apr 19
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 2
13-10 vs BET-M Mar 31
13-10 vs Leo Mar 29
tnc
13-11 vs XI Apr 19
7-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
16-12 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
13-8 vs ECSTATIC Apr 12
13-7 vs elitenergy Apr 7
Nuke
REBE 13 11 TNC
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
REBE
TNC
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
Experience
REBE
TNC
Opening Kills
REBE
TNC
Recent on Nuke
rebels
13-5 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
10-13 vs XI Apr 19
3-13 vs BET-M Mar 31
9-13 vs illwill Mar 30
8-13 vs Lavked Mar 27
tnc
16-14 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
10-13 vs elitenergy Apr 7
13-6 vs just players Apr 3
16-12 vs yngods Mar 30
5-13 vs MINLATE Mar 30
Player Matchups
Player data not available for this match
Unpredicted Maps 6 maps
Inferno
REBE 13 8 TNC
77%
23%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
Ranking
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
Star Player
REBE
TNC
Best Player
REBE
TNC
Recent on Inferno
rebels
13-7 vs INFINITE Apr 19
8-13 vs illwill Mar 30
13-9 vs Leo Mar 29
13-11 vs Ursa Mar 25
13-16 vs MINLATE Mar 25
tnc
no data
Anubis
REBE 9 13 TNC
39%
61%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
Round Win Rate
REBE
TNC
Ranking
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
Recent on Anubis
rebels
13-4 vs Fuzos Mar 1
11-13 vs CSDIILIT Feb 16
13-10 vs WW Feb 6
tnc
13-2 vs XI Apr 19
13-3 vs MINLATE Mar 30
Overpass
REBE 10 13 TNC
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
REBE
TNC
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
Round Win Rate
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
Utility Score
REBE
TNC
Recent on Overpass
rebels
13-8 vs XI Apr 19
8-13 vs Nemesis Apr 2
13-6 vs MINLATE Mar 25
6-13 vs TDK Mar 19
5-13 vs ALGO Mar 19
tnc
8-13 vs elitenergy Apr 7
8-13 vs qwentry Apr 5
13-4 vs Hashiras Mar 28
9-13 vs STATE Mar 25
Dust2
REBE 13 9 TNC
63%
37%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
Ranking
REBE
TNC
Round Win Rate
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
Experience
REBE
TNC
Recent on Dust2
rebels
10-13 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
6-13 vs INFINITE Apr 19
13-4 vs XI Apr 19
16-12 vs Nemesis Apr 2
13-10 vs BET-M Mar 31
tnc
6-13 vs Sashi Apr 15
13-9 vs mana Apr 6
9-13 vs ex-ruby Apr 3
9-13 vs heroic academy Apr 1
3-13 vs Rune Eaters Mar 29
Ancient
REBE 13 11 TNC
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
REBE
TNC
After First Kill
REBE
TNC
Opening Kills
REBE
TNC
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
Recent on Ancient
rebels
13-6 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
8-13 vs INFINITE Apr 19
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 2
13-10 vs BET-M Mar 31
13-10 vs Leo Mar 29
tnc
13-11 vs XI Apr 19
7-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
16-12 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
13-8 vs ECSTATIC Apr 12
13-7 vs elitenergy Apr 7
Nuke
REBE 13 11 TNC
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
REBE
TNC
Map Player Rating
REBE
TNC
After First Death
REBE
TNC
Experience
REBE
TNC
Opening Kills
REBE
TNC
Recent on Nuke
rebels
13-5 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
10-13 vs XI Apr 19
3-13 vs BET-M Mar 31
9-13 vs illwill Mar 30
8-13 vs Lavked Mar 27
tnc
16-14 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
10-13 vs elitenergy Apr 7
13-6 vs just players Apr 3
16-12 vs yngods Mar 30
5-13 vs MINLATE Mar 30
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