Bo3 · LORGAR RANKINGS Season 1
astral
vs
gentle mates
✓
2%
98%
Series win probability
GM
2–0
80%
GM
2–1
18%
ASTR
2–0
1%
ASTR
2–1
1%
Actual result
Mirage
13–7
GM
Inferno
13–11
GM
Model Insights
gentle mates is strongly favored at 98%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#34 vs #110), a strong inferno (97% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
45%
Anubis · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 2
37%
Nuke · Inferno · Ancient
Scenario 3
18%
Nuke · Inferno · Mirage
Anubis
ASTR
5
–
13
GM
9%
91%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
GM
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GM
Ranking
ASTR
GM
Schedule Strength
ASTR
GM
Rating Spread
ASTR
GM
Recent on Anubis
astral
4-13
vs None
Apr 4
3-13
vs RUSTEC
Apr 1
13-8
vs DALUYONG
Mar 26
8-13
vs None
Mar 24
13-5
vs Leo
Mar 23
gentle mates
13-9
vs 9INE
Apr 2
13-6
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Mar 25
3-13
vs HOTU
Feb 14
13-10
vs Bushido Wildcats
Feb 13
13-6
vs gothboiclique
Feb 12
Nuke
ASTR
5
–
13
GM
12%
88%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
GM
Ranking
ASTR
GM
Round Win Rate
ASTR
GM
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GM
Schedule Strength
ASTR
GM
Recent on Nuke
astral
6-13
vs None
Apr 11
7-13
vs None
Apr 9
13-4
vs None
Apr 9
13-11
vs rottweilers
Apr 7
7-13
vs RUSTEC
Apr 1
gentle mates
4-13
vs 9INE
Apr 2
13-7
vs None
Apr 1
13-16
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Mar 25
10-13
vs None
Feb 22
13-0
vs HOTU
Feb 22
Inferno
ASTR
3
–
13
GM
3%
97%
Win prob
OT 0%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GM
After First Death
ASTR
GM
Ranking
ASTR
GM
After First Kill
ASTR
GM
Round Win Rate
ASTR
GM
Recent on Inferno
astral
9-13
vs None
Apr 11
13-5
vs rottweilers
Apr 7
3-13
vs None
Apr 4
3-13
vs None
Apr 4
9-13
vs None
Mar 19
gentle mates
13-8
vs None
Apr 13
8-13
vs None
Mar 25
13-4
vs Famalicão
Feb 19
16-13
vs None
Feb 19
13-6
vs magic
Feb 14
Nuke
ASTR
5
–
13
GM
12%
88%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
GM
Ranking
ASTR
GM
Round Win Rate
ASTR
GM
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GM
Schedule Strength
ASTR
GM
Recent on Nuke
astral
6-13
vs None
Apr 11
7-13
vs None
Apr 9
13-4
vs None
Apr 9
13-11
vs rottweilers
Apr 7
7-13
vs RUSTEC
Apr 1
gentle mates
4-13
vs 9INE
Apr 2
13-7
vs None
Apr 1
13-16
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Mar 25
10-13
vs None
Feb 22
13-0
vs HOTU
Feb 22
Inferno
ASTR
3
–
13
GM
3%
97%
Win prob
OT 0%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GM
After First Death
ASTR
GM
Ranking
ASTR
GM
After First Kill
ASTR
GM
Round Win Rate
ASTR
GM
Recent on Inferno
astral
9-13
vs None
Apr 11
13-5
vs rottweilers
Apr 7
3-13
vs None
Apr 4
3-13
vs None
Apr 4
9-13
vs None
Mar 19
gentle mates
13-8
vs None
Apr 13
8-13
vs None
Mar 25
13-4
vs Famalicão
Feb 19
16-13
vs None
Feb 19
13-6
vs magic
Feb 14
Ancient
ASTR
6
–
13
GM
15%
85%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
ASTR
GM
After First Kill
ASTR
GM
After First Death
ASTR
GM
Round Win Rate
ASTR
GM
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GM
Recent on Ancient
astral
13-11
vs UNiTY
Apr 9
1-13
vs None
Apr 9
13-9
vs Omega
Apr 5
9-13
vs None
Apr 4
13-5
vs megoshort
Apr 2
gentle mates
13-4
vs RED Canids
Apr 14
5-13
vs None
Apr 1
13-9
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Mar 25
10-13
vs None
Mar 25
16-14
vs None
Feb 19
Nuke
ASTR
5
–
13
GM
12%
88%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
GM
Ranking
ASTR
GM
Round Win Rate
ASTR
GM
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GM
Schedule Strength
ASTR
GM
Recent on Nuke
astral
6-13
vs None
Apr 11
7-13
vs None
Apr 9
13-4
vs None
Apr 9
13-11
vs rottweilers
Apr 7
7-13
vs RUSTEC
Apr 1
gentle mates
4-13
vs 9INE
Apr 2
13-7
vs None
Apr 1
13-16
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Mar 25
10-13
vs None
Feb 22
13-0
vs HOTU
Feb 22
Inferno
ASTR
3
–
13
GM
3%
97%
Win prob
OT 0%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GM
After First Death
ASTR
GM
Ranking
ASTR
GM
After First Kill
ASTR
GM
Round Win Rate
ASTR
GM
Recent on Inferno
astral
9-13
vs None
Apr 11
13-5
vs rottweilers
Apr 7
3-13
vs None
Apr 4
3-13
vs None
Apr 4
9-13
vs None
Mar 19
gentle mates
13-8
vs None
Apr 13
8-13
vs None
Mar 25
13-4
vs Famalicão
Feb 19
16-13
vs None
Feb 19
13-6
vs magic
Feb 14
Mirage
ASTR
6
–
13
GM
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 3%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
ASTR
GM
Round Win Rate
ASTR
GM
Schedule Strength
ASTR
GM
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GM
After First Kill
ASTR
GM
Recent on Mirage
astral
11-13
vs None
Apr 10
13-10
vs None
Apr 4
10-13
vs megoshort
Apr 2
13-2
vs None
Mar 29
14-16
vs DALUYONG
Mar 26
gentle mates
9-13
vs RED Canids
Apr 14
8-13
vs None
Apr 13
13-10
vs None
Feb 22
9-13
vs HOTU
Feb 22
5-13
vs None
Feb 19
Recent Results
last 11 matches
astral
gentle mates
L
0-2
vs None
InfernoNuke
Apr 11
60d ago
L
0-2
vs None
Dust2Mirage
Apr 10
61d ago
W
2-0
vs UNiTY
Dust2Ancient
Apr 9
62d ago
L
1-2
vs None
AncientDust2Nuke
Apr 9
62d ago
W
2-0
vs None
Dust2Nuke
Apr 9
62d ago
W
2-0
vs rottweilers
NukeInferno
Apr 7
64d ago
W
2-0
vs Omega
AncientDust2
Apr 5
66d ago
W
2-0
vs None
Dust2Mirage
Apr 4
67d ago
L
0-2
vs None
AnubisInferno
Apr 4
67d ago
L
1-2
vs None
Dust2InfernoAncient
Apr 4
67d ago
W
2-1
vs megoshort
Dust2MirageAncient
Apr 2
69d ago
L
1-2
vs RED Canids
MirageAncientOverpass
Apr 14
57d ago
L
1-2
vs None
InfernoMirageOverpass
Apr 13
58d ago
L
1-2
vs 9INE
AnubisNukeOverpass
Apr 2
69d ago
L
1-2
vs None
NukeOverpassAncient
Apr 1
70d ago
W
2-1
vs HYPERSPIRIT
AnubisNukeAncient
Mar 25
77d ago
L
0-2
vs None
AncientInferno
Mar 25
77d ago
W
2-1
vs None
NukeMirageOverpass
Feb 22
108d ago
L
1-2
vs HOTU
MirageNukeOverpass
Feb 22
108d ago
W
2-0
vs Passion UA
OverpassNuke
Feb 21
109d ago
W
1-0
vs Famalicão
Inferno
Feb 19
111d ago
W
2-1
vs None
MirageInfernoAncient
Feb 19
111d ago
Player Matchups
astral
Ratings
gentle mates
SW
swiz
RiflerADR 82.5KAST 72%
MA
MartinezSa
EntryADR 76.1KAST 74%
GX
gxx-
EntryADR 73.6KAST 70%
MO
mopoz
RiflerADR 76.3KAST 72%
RA
RaY5ive
RiflerADR 75.9KAST 72%
SA
sausol
AWPADR 76.3KAST 74%
NE
Neqy
AWPADR 78.9KAST 71%
AL
alex
RiflerADR 70.9KAST 71%
ME
meowpop
RiflerADR 64.0KAST 70%
DA
dav1g
RiflerADR 69.3KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Overpass
ASTR
4
–
13
GM
3%
97%
Win prob
OT 0%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GM
Ranking
ASTR
GM
After First Death
ASTR
GM
After First Kill
ASTR
GM
Schedule Strength
ASTR
GM
Recent on Overpass
astral
no data
gentle mates
10-13
vs RED Canids
Apr 14
3-13
vs None
Apr 13
9-13
vs 9INE
Apr 2
11-13
vs None
Apr 1
13-10
vs None
Feb 22
Mirage
ASTR
6
–
13
GM
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
ASTR
GM
Round Win Rate
ASTR
GM
Schedule Strength
ASTR
GM
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GM
After First Kill
ASTR
GM
Recent on Mirage
astral
11-13
vs None
Apr 10
13-10
vs None
Apr 4
10-13
vs megoshort
Apr 2
13-2
vs None
Mar 29
14-16
vs DALUYONG
Mar 26
gentle mates
9-13
vs RED Canids
Apr 14
8-13
vs None
Apr 13
13-10
vs None
Feb 22
9-13
vs HOTU
Feb 22
5-13
vs None
Feb 19
Ancient
ASTR
6
–
13
GM
15%
85%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
ASTR
GM
After First Kill
ASTR
GM
After First Death
ASTR
GM
Round Win Rate
ASTR
GM
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GM
Recent on Ancient
astral
13-11
vs UNiTY
Apr 9
1-13
vs None
Apr 9
13-9
vs Omega
Apr 5
9-13
vs None
Apr 4
13-5
vs megoshort
Apr 2
gentle mates
13-4
vs RED Canids
Apr 14
5-13
vs None
Apr 1
13-9
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Mar 25
10-13
vs None
Mar 25
16-14
vs None
Feb 19
More from LORGAR RANKINGS Season 1
3 matches