Bo3 · LORGAR RANKINGS Season 1 Semifinal
· 2026-04-26
sinners
vs
kolesie
52%
48%
Series win probability
SINN
2–1
28%
KOLE
2–1
26%
SINN
2–0
25%
KOLE
2–0
22%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — sinners is slightly favored at 53% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#31 vs #79), a strong mirage (65% win probability). kolesie's best shot is nuke where they hold a 62% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
43%
Mirage · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 2
32%
Nuke · Ancient · Dust2
Scenario 3
25%
Nuke · Ancient · Overpass
Mirage
SINN
13
–
8
KOLE
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
SINN
KOLE
Ranking
SINN
KOLE
Round Win Rate
SINN
KOLE
Head-to-Head
SINN
KOLE
After First Death
SINN
KOLE
Recent on Mirage
sinners
13-16
vs Tricked
Apr 24
10-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
13-9
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 13
13-16
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
19-17
vs G2
Mar 25
kolesie
13-11
vs UNiTY
Apr 10
4-13
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Apr 6
13-10
vs rottweilers
Mar 22
13-11
vs AM
Mar 8
9-13
vs Voca
Mar 8
Nuke
SINN
9
–
13
KOLE
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
SINN
KOLE
Ranking
SINN
KOLE
After First Kill
SINN
KOLE
After First Death
SINN
KOLE
Map Win Rate
SINN
KOLE
Recent on Nuke
sinners
13-5
vs Inner Circle Academy
Apr 25
20-22
vs Tricked
Apr 24
9-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
13-9
vs Sashi
Apr 20
11-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
kolesie
13-9
vs FOKUS
Apr 25
13-7
vs Alliance
Apr 21
14-16
vs nuclear tigeres
Apr 1
13-10
vs GenOne
Mar 30
13-5
vs rottweilers
Mar 22
Ancient
SINN
16
–
14
KOLE
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
KOLE
Map Player Rating
SINN
KOLE
After First Kill
SINN
KOLE
Head-to-Head
SINN
KOLE
Opening Duels
SINN
KOLE
Recent on Ancient
sinners
7-13
vs Sashi
Apr 20
13-3
vs Clutchain
Apr 15
16-14
vs JiJieHao
Mar 29
13-2
vs BIG
Mar 26
13-8
vs BESTIA
Mar 25
kolesie
8-13
vs FOKUS
Apr 25
13-8
vs UNiTY
Apr 22
22-19
vs ESC
Apr 15
13-3
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 12
17-19
vs UNiTY
Apr 10
Nuke
SINN
9
–
13
KOLE
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
SINN
KOLE
Ranking
SINN
KOLE
After First Kill
SINN
KOLE
After First Death
SINN
KOLE
Map Win Rate
SINN
KOLE
Recent on Nuke
sinners
13-5
vs Inner Circle Academy
Apr 25
20-22
vs Tricked
Apr 24
9-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
13-9
vs Sashi
Apr 20
11-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
kolesie
13-9
vs FOKUS
Apr 25
13-7
vs Alliance
Apr 21
14-16
vs nuclear tigeres
Apr 1
13-10
vs GenOne
Mar 30
13-5
vs rottweilers
Mar 22
Ancient
SINN
16
–
14
KOLE
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
KOLE
Map Player Rating
SINN
KOLE
After First Kill
SINN
KOLE
Head-to-Head
SINN
KOLE
Opening Duels
SINN
KOLE
Recent on Ancient
sinners
7-13
vs Sashi
Apr 20
13-3
vs Clutchain
Apr 15
16-14
vs JiJieHao
Mar 29
13-2
vs BIG
Mar 26
13-8
vs BESTIA
Mar 25
kolesie
8-13
vs FOKUS
Apr 25
13-8
vs UNiTY
Apr 22
22-19
vs ESC
Apr 15
13-3
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 12
17-19
vs UNiTY
Apr 10
Dust2
SINN
11
–
13
KOLE
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
KOLE
Head-to-Head
SINN
KOLE
After First Kill
SINN
KOLE
Opening Score
SINN
KOLE
Opening Duels
SINN
KOLE
Recent on Dust2
sinners
13-5
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
6-13
vs Sashi
Apr 20
5-13
vs G2
Mar 25
5-13
vs AM
Mar 2
10-13
vs WHITEBIRD
Feb 27
kolesie
13-7
vs FOKUS
Apr 25
13-5
vs UNiTY
Apr 22
9-13
vs Alliance
Apr 21
13-8
vs UNiTY
Apr 10
13-10
vs M1X KS
Apr 8
Nuke
SINN
9
–
13
KOLE
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
SINN
KOLE
Ranking
SINN
KOLE
After First Kill
SINN
KOLE
After First Death
SINN
KOLE
Map Win Rate
SINN
KOLE
Recent on Nuke
sinners
13-5
vs Inner Circle Academy
Apr 25
20-22
vs Tricked
Apr 24
9-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
13-9
vs Sashi
Apr 20
11-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
kolesie
13-9
vs FOKUS
Apr 25
13-7
vs Alliance
Apr 21
14-16
vs nuclear tigeres
Apr 1
13-10
vs GenOne
Mar 30
13-5
vs rottweilers
Mar 22
Ancient
SINN
16
–
14
KOLE
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
KOLE
Map Player Rating
SINN
KOLE
After First Kill
SINN
KOLE
Head-to-Head
SINN
KOLE
Opening Duels
SINN
KOLE
Recent on Ancient
sinners
7-13
vs Sashi
Apr 20
13-3
vs Clutchain
Apr 15
16-14
vs JiJieHao
Mar 29
13-2
vs BIG
Mar 26
13-8
vs BESTIA
Mar 25
kolesie
8-13
vs FOKUS
Apr 25
13-8
vs UNiTY
Apr 22
22-19
vs ESC
Apr 15
13-3
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 12
17-19
vs UNiTY
Apr 10
Overpass
SINN
11
–
13
KOLE
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
SINN
KOLE
Round Win Rate
SINN
KOLE
After First Death
SINN
KOLE
Ranking
SINN
KOLE
Map Player Rating
SINN
KOLE
Recent on Overpass
sinners
13-5
vs Inner Circle Academy
Apr 25
13-11
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
12-16
vs BIG
Mar 29
13-6
vs OG
Mar 29
13-11
vs BIG
Mar 26
kolesie
7-13
vs Metizport
Mar 14
13-9
vs MASONIC
Feb 12
Recent Results
last 11 matches
sinners
kolesie
W
2-0
vs Inner Circle Academy
OverpassNuke
Apr 25
1d ago
L
0-2
vs Tricked
NukeMirage
Apr 24
2d ago
L
1-2
vs Young Ninjas
Dust2NukeMirage
Apr 22
4d ago
L
1-2
vs Sashi
NukeDust2Ancient
Apr 20
6d ago
W
1-0
vs Clutchain
Ancient
Apr 15
11d ago
W
1-0
vs Johnny Speeds
Mirage
Apr 13
13d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
OverpassNukeMirage
Mar 30
27d ago
W
1-0
vs JiJieHao
Ancient
Mar 29
28d ago
L
0-1
vs BIG
Overpass
Mar 29
28d ago
W
1-0
vs OG
Overpass
Mar 29
28d ago
W
2-1
vs BIG
NukeAncientOverpass
Mar 26
31d ago
W
2-1
vs FOKUS
Dust2AncientNuke
Apr 25
1d ago
W
2-0
vs UNiTY
AncientDust2
Apr 22
4d ago
L
1-2
vs Alliance
NukeAnubisDust2
Apr 21
5d ago
W
1-0
vs ESC
Ancient
Apr 15
11d ago
W
1-0
vs Young Ninjas
Ancient
Apr 12
14d ago
W
2-1
vs UNiTY
AncientDust2Mirage
Apr 10
16d ago
W
2-0
vs M1X KS
Dust2Ancient
Apr 8
18d ago
L
0-2
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Dust2Mirage
Apr 6
20d ago
L
0-2
vs nuclear tigeres
NukeDust2
Apr 1
25d ago
W
2-1
vs GenOne
Dust2NukeAncient
Mar 30
27d ago
W
2-0
vs rottweilers
MirageNuke
Mar 22
35d ago
Player Matchups
sinners
Rating 3.0
kolesie
ST
stressarN
AWPADR 78.6KAST 75%
B1
b1elany
AWPADR 80.1KAST 76%
MO
MoDo
AWPADR 71.4KAST 75%
EX
ex1st
AWPADR 78.6KAST 72%
KI
kisserek
RiflerADR 77.7KAST 73%
QL
Qlocuu
AWPADR 76.4KAST 74%
SH
SHOCK
RiflerADR 69.9KAST 74%
FR
fr3nd
AWPADR 70.2KAST 72%
BE
beastik
AWPADR 73.6KAST 73%
IN
innocent
RiflerADR 68.9KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Inferno
SINN
13
–
7
KOLE
87%
13%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
SINN
KOLE
After First Kill
SINN
KOLE
After First Death
SINN
KOLE
Ranking
SINN
KOLE
Star Player
SINN
KOLE
Recent on Inferno
sinners
8-13
vs AM
Mar 2
13-7
vs WW
Feb 26
14-16
vs GamerLegion
Feb 24
13-9
vs ECSTATIC
Feb 23
13-11
vs Avanti
Feb 22
kolesie
no data
Overpass
SINN
11
–
13
KOLE
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
SINN
KOLE
Round Win Rate
SINN
KOLE
After First Death
SINN
KOLE
Ranking
SINN
KOLE
Map Player Rating
SINN
KOLE
Recent on Overpass
sinners
13-5
vs Inner Circle Academy
Apr 25
13-11
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
12-16
vs BIG
Mar 29
13-6
vs OG
Mar 29
13-11
vs BIG
Mar 26
kolesie
7-13
vs Metizport
Mar 14
13-9
vs MASONIC
Feb 12
Dust2
SINN
11
–
13
KOLE
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
KOLE
Head-to-Head
SINN
KOLE
After First Kill
SINN
KOLE
Opening Score
SINN
KOLE
Opening Duels
SINN
KOLE
Recent on Dust2
sinners
13-5
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
6-13
vs Sashi
Apr 20
5-13
vs G2
Mar 25
5-13
vs AM
Mar 2
10-13
vs WHITEBIRD
Feb 27
kolesie
13-7
vs FOKUS
Apr 25
13-5
vs UNiTY
Apr 22
9-13
vs Alliance
Apr 21
13-8
vs UNiTY
Apr 10
13-10
vs M1X KS
Apr 8