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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 · 2026-04-25
Aaa
vs
misa
68%
32%
Series win probability
AAA 2–0 62%
MISA 2–1 27%
AAA 2–1 6%
MISA 2–0 4%
Actual result
Nuke 13–7
Dust2 13–7
Model Insights
Aaa has a moderate edge at 68%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.15 vs 1.02), a significant ranking advantage (#115 vs #161), a strong nuke (89% win probability). misa's best shot is overpass where they hold a 82% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 49% Nuke · Dust2 · Overpass
Scenario 2 44% Nuke · Dust2 · Inferno
Scenario 3 7% Nuke · Dust2 · Anubis
Nuke
AAA 13 7 MISA
78%
22%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AAA
MISA
After First Kill
AAA
MISA
Round Win Rate
AAA
MISA
Ranking
AAA
MISA
After First Death
AAA
MISA
Recent on Nuke
Aaa
13-8 vs Just Players Apr 23
13-3 vs Julie&Cie Apr 5
13-10 vs Prodigy Apr 4
misa
5-13 vs TNT Mar 28
13-4 vs ROUNDS Mar 27
5-13 vs DONSTU Mar 12
13-11 vs HAVU Mar 5
13-16 vs LPH Mar 4
Dust2
AAA 13 8 MISA
80%
20%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AAA
MISA
After First Death
AAA
MISA
After First Kill
AAA
MISA
Ranking
AAA
MISA
T Side
AAA
MISA
Recent on Dust2
Aaa
13-9 vs Just Players Apr 23
13-7 vs Subtop De France Apr 4
misa
9-13 vs 9INE Apr 23
13-7 vs TNT Mar 28
13-6 vs ROUNDS Mar 27
13-7 vs Inner Circle Academy Mar 13
8-13 vs DONSTU Mar 12
Overpass
AAA 8 13 MISA
18%
82%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AAA
MISA
After First Death
AAA
MISA
After First Kill
AAA
MISA
Ranking
AAA
MISA
Star Player
AAA
MISA
Recent on Overpass
Aaa
no data
misa
19-17 vs 9INE Apr 23
7-13 vs Young Ninjas Mar 14
13-4 vs yngods Mar 8
9-13 vs ex-FUT Academy Feb 12
Nuke
AAA 13 7 MISA
78%
22%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AAA
MISA
After First Kill
AAA
MISA
Round Win Rate
AAA
MISA
Ranking
AAA
MISA
After First Death
AAA
MISA
Recent on Nuke
Aaa
13-8 vs Just Players Apr 23
13-3 vs Julie&Cie Apr 5
13-10 vs Prodigy Apr 4
misa
5-13 vs TNT Mar 28
13-4 vs ROUNDS Mar 27
5-13 vs DONSTU Mar 12
13-11 vs HAVU Mar 5
13-16 vs LPH Mar 4
Dust2
AAA 13 8 MISA
80%
20%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AAA
MISA
After First Death
AAA
MISA
After First Kill
AAA
MISA
Ranking
AAA
MISA
T Side
AAA
MISA
Recent on Dust2
Aaa
13-9 vs Just Players Apr 23
13-7 vs Subtop De France Apr 4
misa
9-13 vs 9INE Apr 23
13-7 vs TNT Mar 28
13-6 vs ROUNDS Mar 27
13-7 vs Inner Circle Academy Mar 13
8-13 vs DONSTU Mar 12
Inferno
AAA 7 13 MISA
14%
86%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AAA
MISA
After First Death
AAA
MISA
After First Kill
AAA
MISA
Ranking
AAA
MISA
Star Player
AAA
MISA
Recent on Inferno
Aaa
no data
misa
13-11 vs 9INE Apr 23
13-8 vs Subtop De France Apr 22
7-13 vs Fire Flux Apr 14
15-19 vs LPH Mar 4
Nuke
AAA 13 7 MISA
78%
22%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AAA
MISA
After First Kill
AAA
MISA
Round Win Rate
AAA
MISA
Ranking
AAA
MISA
After First Death
AAA
MISA
Recent on Nuke
Aaa
13-8 vs Just Players Apr 23
13-3 vs Julie&Cie Apr 5
13-10 vs Prodigy Apr 4
misa
5-13 vs TNT Mar 28
13-4 vs ROUNDS Mar 27
5-13 vs DONSTU Mar 12
13-11 vs HAVU Mar 5
13-16 vs LPH Mar 4
Dust2
AAA 13 8 MISA
80%
20%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AAA
MISA
After First Death
AAA
MISA
After First Kill
AAA
MISA
Ranking
AAA
MISA
T Side
AAA
MISA
Recent on Dust2
Aaa
13-9 vs Just Players Apr 23
13-7 vs Subtop De France Apr 4
misa
9-13 vs 9INE Apr 23
13-7 vs TNT Mar 28
13-6 vs ROUNDS Mar 27
13-7 vs Inner Circle Academy Mar 13
8-13 vs DONSTU Mar 12
Anubis
AAA 13 8 MISA
79%
21%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
AAA
MISA
Ranking
AAA
MISA
After First Death
AAA
MISA
Map Win Rate
AAA
MISA
Opening Score
AAA
MISA
Recent on Anubis
Aaa
16-12 vs Julie&Cie Apr 5
misa
13-8 vs Subtop De France Apr 22
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Mar 13
13-11 vs TNT Mar 9
1-13 vs magic Feb 13
Recent Results last 11 matches
Aaa
misa
W 2-1 vs Just Players AncientDust2Nuke Apr 23 3d ago
W 2-0 vs Julie&Cie AnubisAncient Apr 5 21d ago
W 2-0 vs Julie&Cie NukeAncient Apr 5 21d ago
W 2-0 vs Subtop De France AncientDust2 Apr 4 22d ago
W 2-0 vs Prodigy AncientNuke Apr 4 22d ago
W 2-1 vs 9INE Dust2OverpassInferno Apr 23 3d ago
W 2-0 vs Subtop De France AnubisInferno Apr 22 4d ago
L 0-2 vs Fire Flux MirageInferno Apr 14 12d ago
L 1-2 vs TNT NukeDust2Mirage Mar 28 29d ago
W 2-0 vs ROUNDS NukeDust2 Mar 27 30d ago
L 0-2 vs Young Ninjas MirageOverpass Mar 14 43d ago
W 2-0 vs Inner Circle Academy Dust2Anubis Mar 13 44d ago
L 0-2 vs DONSTU Dust2Nuke Mar 12 45d ago
W 2-0 vs TNT Dust2Anubis Mar 9 48d ago
W 2-0 vs yngods Dust2Overpass Mar 8 49d ago
W 2-0 vs HAVU NukeMirage Mar 5 52d ago
Player Matchups
Aaa
Rating 3.0
misa
SA
Saax
EntryADR 75.1KAST 76%
1.13 vs 1.15
RI
rim3
EntryADR 85.2KAST 74%
TA
Tarkky
AWPADR 80.2KAST 73%
1.10 vs 1.03
CK
Ckanic
AWPADR 71.0KAST 74%
RA
rain240
AWPADR 67.7KAST 76%
1.08 vs 1.01
ZU
Zuedsta
RiflerADR 70.1KAST 71%
SL
SLIE9000
AWPADR 72.3KAST 71%
1.07 vs 0.98
ME
Mertowsk1
AWPADR 66.5KAST 72%
AS
AsI0K
RiflerADR 57.8KAST 65%
0.84 vs 0.92
SO
souv
AWPADR 64.7KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 2 maps
Inferno
AAA 7 13 MISA
14%
86%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AAA
MISA
After First Death
AAA
MISA
After First Kill
AAA
MISA
Ranking
AAA
MISA
Star Player
AAA
MISA
Recent on Inferno
Aaa
no data
misa
13-11 vs 9INE Apr 23
13-8 vs Subtop De France Apr 22
7-13 vs Fire Flux Apr 14
15-19 vs LPH Mar 4
Anubis
AAA 13 8 MISA
79%
21%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
AAA
MISA
Ranking
AAA
MISA
After First Death
AAA
MISA
Map Win Rate
AAA
MISA
Opening Score
AAA
MISA
Recent on Anubis
Aaa
16-12 vs Julie&Cie Apr 5
misa
13-8 vs Subtop De France Apr 22
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Mar 13
13-11 vs TNT Mar 9
1-13 vs magic Feb 13