Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 Playoffs
· 2026-04-26
bet-m
vs
big academy
57%
43%
Series win probability
BET-
2–1
40%
BA
2–0
34%
BET-
2–0
17%
BA
2–1
9%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — bet-m is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.08 vs 1.03), a significant ranking advantage (#60 vs #171), a strong mirage (82% win probability). big academy's best shot is ancient where they hold a 64% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
45%
Ancient · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 2
39%
Ancient · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 3
16%
Ancient · Dust2 · Anubis
Ancient
BET-
8
–
13
BA
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
BA
After First Death
BET-
BA
Ranking
BET-
BA
After First Kill
BET-
BA
Round Win Rate
BET-
BA
Recent on Ancient
bet-m
7-13
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
5-13
vs Nemiga
Apr 3
10-13
vs Rebels
Mar 31
14-16
vs Nemiga
Mar 11
11-13
vs JiJieHao
Mar 4
big academy
13-7
vs Leo
Apr 25
11-13
vs BESTIA
Apr 3
13-9
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
7-13
vs INFINITE
Mar 27
13-5
vs STATE
Mar 26
Dust2
BET-
11
–
13
BA
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
BET-
BA
After First Death
BET-
BA
Map Player Rating
BET-
BA
Opening Score
BET-
BA
Experience
BET-
BA
Recent on Dust2
bet-m
13-2
vs bankaPEPSI
Apr 25
13-3
vs Julie&Cie
Apr 24
13-7
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
7-13
vs 1win
Apr 5
13-8
vs K27
Apr 5
big academy
13-11
vs Eternal Fire
Apr 23
13-8
vs Julie&Cie
Apr 22
13-10
vs BESTIA
Apr 3
13-7
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
6-13
vs BESTIA
Apr 3
Mirage
BET-
13
–
6
BA
82%
18%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
BA
After First Death
BET-
BA
Ranking
BET-
BA
Round Win Rate
BET-
BA
Map Win Rate
BET-
BA
Recent on Mirage
bet-m
16-19
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
13-3
vs Void Sentinels
Apr 2
13-5
vs Acend
Mar 7
13-8
vs UNiTY
Mar 2
13-10
vs AaB
Mar 1
big academy
16-14
vs Eternal Fire
Apr 23
7-13
vs BESTIA
Apr 3
10-13
vs BESTIA
Apr 3
7-13
vs japczany
Mar 27
8-13
vs Bebop
Mar 21
Ancient
BET-
8
–
13
BA
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
BA
After First Death
BET-
BA
Ranking
BET-
BA
After First Kill
BET-
BA
Round Win Rate
BET-
BA
Recent on Ancient
bet-m
7-13
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
5-13
vs Nemiga
Apr 3
10-13
vs Rebels
Mar 31
14-16
vs Nemiga
Mar 11
11-13
vs JiJieHao
Mar 4
big academy
13-7
vs Leo
Apr 25
11-13
vs BESTIA
Apr 3
13-9
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
7-13
vs INFINITE
Mar 27
13-5
vs STATE
Mar 26
Dust2
BET-
11
–
13
BA
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
BET-
BA
After First Death
BET-
BA
Map Player Rating
BET-
BA
Opening Score
BET-
BA
Experience
BET-
BA
Recent on Dust2
bet-m
13-2
vs bankaPEPSI
Apr 25
13-3
vs Julie&Cie
Apr 24
13-7
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
7-13
vs 1win
Apr 5
13-8
vs K27
Apr 5
big academy
13-11
vs Eternal Fire
Apr 23
13-8
vs Julie&Cie
Apr 22
13-10
vs BESTIA
Apr 3
13-7
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
6-13
vs BESTIA
Apr 3
Nuke
BET-
13
–
7
BA
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
BA
Ranking
BET-
BA
After First Death
BET-
BA
Round Win Rate
BET-
BA
After First Kill
BET-
BA
Recent on Nuke
bet-m
13-3
vs bankaPEPSI
Apr 25
13-7
vs K27
Apr 5
13-7
vs HOTU
Apr 4
16-14
vs 5Actors
Apr 3
13-4
vs Nemiga
Apr 3
big academy
10-13
vs Leo
Apr 25
7-13
vs ENCE Academy
Mar 19
Ancient
BET-
8
–
13
BA
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
BA
After First Death
BET-
BA
Ranking
BET-
BA
After First Kill
BET-
BA
Round Win Rate
BET-
BA
Recent on Ancient
bet-m
7-13
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
5-13
vs Nemiga
Apr 3
10-13
vs Rebels
Mar 31
14-16
vs Nemiga
Mar 11
11-13
vs JiJieHao
Mar 4
big academy
13-7
vs Leo
Apr 25
11-13
vs BESTIA
Apr 3
13-9
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
7-13
vs INFINITE
Mar 27
13-5
vs STATE
Mar 26
Dust2
BET-
11
–
13
BA
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
BET-
BA
After First Death
BET-
BA
Map Player Rating
BET-
BA
Opening Score
BET-
BA
Experience
BET-
BA
Recent on Dust2
bet-m
13-2
vs bankaPEPSI
Apr 25
13-3
vs Julie&Cie
Apr 24
13-7
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
7-13
vs 1win
Apr 5
13-8
vs K27
Apr 5
big academy
13-11
vs Eternal Fire
Apr 23
13-8
vs Julie&Cie
Apr 22
13-10
vs BESTIA
Apr 3
13-7
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
6-13
vs BESTIA
Apr 3
Anubis
BET-
13
–
8
BA
74%
26%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
BET-
BA
Map Player Rating
BET-
BA
After First Death
BET-
BA
After First Kill
BET-
BA
Utility Score
BET-
BA
Recent on Anubis
bet-m
13-5
vs Julie&Cie
Apr 24
16-19
vs Nemiga
Apr 3
13-3
vs Nemiga
Mar 11
13-10
vs QUAZAR
Mar 9
4-13
vs Acend
Mar 7
big academy
12-16
vs Leo
Apr 25
8-13
vs Eternal Fire
Apr 23
16-14
vs Julie&Cie
Apr 22
13-7
vs STATE
Mar 26
Recent Results
last 11 matches
bet-m
big academy
W
2-0
vs bankaPEPSI
Dust2Nuke
Apr 25
1d ago
W
2-1
vs Julie&Cie
AnubisInfernoDust2
Apr 24
2d ago
L
1-2
vs Lilmix
Dust2MirageAncient
Apr 23
3d ago
L
0-2
vs 1win
Dust2Inferno
Apr 5
21d ago
W
2-0
vs K27
NukeDust2
Apr 5
21d ago
W
2-0
vs HOTU
NukeDust2
Apr 4
22d ago
W
2-0
vs 5Actors
Dust2Nuke
Apr 3
23d ago
L
1-2
vs Nemiga
AnubisNukeAncient
Apr 3
23d ago
W
2-0
vs Void Sentinels
MirageNuke
Apr 2
24d ago
L
1-2
vs Rebels
NukeDust2Ancient
Mar 31
26d ago
W
2-0
vs Endless Journey
Dust2Inferno
Mar 22
35d ago
L
1-2
vs Leo
AncientNukeAnubis
Apr 25
1d ago
W
2-1
vs Eternal Fire
AnubisMirageDust2
Apr 23
3d ago
W
2-0
vs Julie&Cie
Dust2Anubis
Apr 22
4d ago
L
1-2
vs BESTIA
Dust2AncientMirage
Apr 3
23d ago
W
2-0
vs HAVENs
AncientDust2
Apr 3
23d ago
L
0-2
vs BESTIA
Dust2Mirage
Apr 3
23d ago
L
0-2
vs japczany
Dust2Mirage
Mar 27
30d ago
L
0-2
vs INFINITE
AncientInferno
Mar 27
30d ago
W
2-1
vs STATE
AncientInfernoAnubis
Mar 26
31d ago
W
2-1
vs INFURITY
InfernoDust2Ancient
Mar 25
32d ago
L
0-2
vs Bebop
Dust2Mirage
Mar 21
36d ago
Player Matchups
bet-m
Rating 3.0
big academy
EX
executor
EntryADR 80.2KAST 74%
JB
JBOEN
AWPADR 76.3KAST 72%
Z1
z1Nny
RiflerADR 79.5KAST 72%
DO
doni
AWPADR 72.1KAST 73%
BL
bluewh1te
AWPADR 73.3KAST 73%
PR
prosus
AWPADR 75.8KAST 72%
KI
KIRO
AWPADR 69.5KAST 73%
W1
w1dow
RiflerADR 71.9KAST 71%
KI
kinqie
AWPADR 67.8KAST 72%
TR
tripex17
RiflerADR 70.8KAST 67%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Overpass
BET-
9
–
13
BA
21%
79%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
BA
Ranking
BET-
BA
After First Death
BET-
BA
Round Win Rate
BET-
BA
Star Player
BET-
BA
Recent on Overpass
bet-m
no data
big academy
3-13
vs Lilmix
Mar 20
14-16
vs Lilmix
Mar 18
7-13
vs Ursa
Mar 16
14-16
vs Lilmix
Mar 7
Inferno
BET-
13
–
7
BA
76%
24%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
BA
After First Death
BET-
BA
Ranking
BET-
BA
Round Win Rate
BET-
BA
After First Kill
BET-
BA
Recent on Inferno
bet-m
14-16
vs Julie&Cie
Apr 24
19-22
vs 1win
Apr 5
13-10
vs Endless Journey
Mar 22
13-7
vs QUAZAR
Mar 9
13-8
vs AaB
Mar 1
big academy
2-13
vs INFINITE
Mar 27
8-13
vs STATE
Mar 26
13-11
vs INFURITY
Mar 25
Nuke
BET-
13
–
7
BA
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
BA
Ranking
BET-
BA
After First Death
BET-
BA
Round Win Rate
BET-
BA
After First Kill
BET-
BA
Recent on Nuke
bet-m
13-3
vs bankaPEPSI
Apr 25
13-7
vs K27
Apr 5
13-7
vs HOTU
Apr 4
16-14
vs 5Actors
Apr 3
13-4
vs Nemiga
Apr 3
big academy
10-13
vs Leo
Apr 25
7-13
vs ENCE Academy
Mar 19
Anubis
BET-
13
–
8
BA
74%
26%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
BET-
BA
Map Player Rating
BET-
BA
After First Death
BET-
BA
After First Kill
BET-
BA
Utility Score
BET-
BA
Recent on Anubis
bet-m
13-5
vs Julie&Cie
Apr 24
16-19
vs Nemiga
Apr 3
13-3
vs Nemiga
Mar 11
13-10
vs QUAZAR
Mar 9
4-13
vs Acend
Mar 7
big academy
12-16
vs Leo
Apr 25
8-13
vs Eternal Fire
Apr 23
16-14
vs Julie&Cie
Apr 22
13-7
vs STATE
Mar 26