Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 Playoffs
· 2026-04-26
eternal fire
vs
lilmix
91%
9%
Series win probability
EF
2–0
57%
EF
2–1
34%
LILM
2–0
6%
LILM
2–1
4%
Model Insights
eternal fire is strongly favored at 91%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.11 vs 0.98), a significant ranking advantage (#68 vs #187), a strong dust2 (91% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
39%
Mirage · Overpass · Dust2
Scenario 2
37%
Mirage · Dust2 · Inferno
Scenario 3
24%
Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Mirage
EF
13
–
9
LILM
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
EF
LILM
Ranking
EF
LILM
Round Win Rate
EF
LILM
After First Death
EF
LILM
Map Win Rate
EF
LILM
Recent on Mirage
eternal fire
14-16
vs BIG Academy
Apr 23
5-13
vs aimclub
Mar 30
13-9
vs Passion UA
Mar 30
13-9
vs INFINITE
Mar 29
3-13
vs 1win
Mar 19
lilmix
13-9
vs The Suspect
Apr 24
19-16
vs BET-M
Apr 23
9-13
vs ENCE
Apr 23
13-6
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 23
5-13
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 2
Overpass
EF
13
–
8
LILM
81%
19%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
EF
LILM
Ranking
EF
LILM
Map Player Rating
EF
LILM
After First Death
EF
LILM
After First Kill
EF
LILM
Recent on Overpass
eternal fire
10-13
vs Sashi
Mar 31
11-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 25
7-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 15
13-11
vs FAVBET
Mar 11
16-13
vs Rune Eaters
Mar 5
lilmix
4-13
vs ENCE
Apr 23
9-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 23
9-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 21
13-8
vs yngods
Apr 1
6-13
vs AaB
Mar 29
Dust2
EF
13
–
5
LILM
91%
9%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
EF
LILM
Head-to-Head
EF
LILM
Map Player Rating
EF
LILM
After First Kill
EF
LILM
Ranking
EF
LILM
Recent on Dust2
eternal fire
13-7
vs Famalicão
Apr 25
11-13
vs BIG Academy
Apr 23
13-6
vs aimclub
Mar 30
11-13
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Mar 20
10-13
vs 1win
Mar 19
lilmix
1-13
vs GenOne
Apr 25
7-13
vs BET-M
Apr 23
15-19
vs DONSTU
Apr 21
8-13
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 2
8-13
vs HEROIC Academy
Mar 30
Mirage
EF
13
–
9
LILM
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
EF
LILM
Ranking
EF
LILM
Round Win Rate
EF
LILM
After First Death
EF
LILM
Map Win Rate
EF
LILM
Recent on Mirage
eternal fire
14-16
vs BIG Academy
Apr 23
5-13
vs aimclub
Mar 30
13-9
vs Passion UA
Mar 30
13-9
vs INFINITE
Mar 29
3-13
vs 1win
Mar 19
lilmix
13-9
vs The Suspect
Apr 24
19-16
vs BET-M
Apr 23
9-13
vs ENCE
Apr 23
13-6
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 23
5-13
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 2
Dust2
EF
13
–
5
LILM
91%
9%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
EF
LILM
Head-to-Head
EF
LILM
Map Player Rating
EF
LILM
After First Kill
EF
LILM
Ranking
EF
LILM
Recent on Dust2
eternal fire
13-7
vs Famalicão
Apr 25
11-13
vs BIG Academy
Apr 23
13-6
vs aimclub
Mar 30
11-13
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Mar 20
10-13
vs 1win
Mar 19
lilmix
1-13
vs GenOne
Apr 25
7-13
vs BET-M
Apr 23
15-19
vs DONSTU
Apr 21
8-13
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 2
8-13
vs HEROIC Academy
Mar 30
Inferno
EF
13
–
5
LILM
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
EF
LILM
After First Kill
EF
LILM
Map Player Rating
EF
LILM
Ranking
EF
LILM
Round Win Rate
EF
LILM
Recent on Inferno
eternal fire
13-3
vs aimclub
Mar 30
8-13
vs Passion UA
Mar 30
13-11
vs Drama
Mar 29
13-8
vs ECSTATIC
Mar 24
13-5
vs MANA
Mar 17
lilmix
13-10
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 2
6-13
vs HEROIC Academy
Mar 30
9-13
vs MANA
Mar 27
6-13
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 19
9-13
vs Bushido Wildcats
Mar 18
Mirage
EF
13
–
9
LILM
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
EF
LILM
Ranking
EF
LILM
Round Win Rate
EF
LILM
After First Death
EF
LILM
Map Win Rate
EF
LILM
Recent on Mirage
eternal fire
14-16
vs BIG Academy
Apr 23
5-13
vs aimclub
Mar 30
13-9
vs Passion UA
Mar 30
13-9
vs INFINITE
Mar 29
3-13
vs 1win
Mar 19
lilmix
13-9
vs The Suspect
Apr 24
19-16
vs BET-M
Apr 23
9-13
vs ENCE
Apr 23
13-6
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 23
5-13
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 2
Dust2
EF
13
–
5
LILM
91%
9%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
EF
LILM
Head-to-Head
EF
LILM
Map Player Rating
EF
LILM
After First Kill
EF
LILM
Ranking
EF
LILM
Recent on Dust2
eternal fire
13-7
vs Famalicão
Apr 25
11-13
vs BIG Academy
Apr 23
13-6
vs aimclub
Mar 30
11-13
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Mar 20
10-13
vs 1win
Mar 19
lilmix
1-13
vs GenOne
Apr 25
7-13
vs BET-M
Apr 23
15-19
vs DONSTU
Apr 21
8-13
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 2
8-13
vs HEROIC Academy
Mar 30
Ancient
EF
13
–
5
LILM
90%
10%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
EF
LILM
Map Player Rating
EF
LILM
Ranking
EF
LILM
After First Kill
EF
LILM
Round Win Rate
EF
LILM
Recent on Ancient
eternal fire
8-13
vs Sashi
Mar 31
13-6
vs K27
Mar 18
13-5
vs Omega
Mar 15
7-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 15
13-4
vs Nemesis
Mar 14
lilmix
2-13
vs GenOne
Apr 25
13-9
vs The Suspect
Apr 24
13-7
vs BET-M
Apr 23
11-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 23
14-16
vs BIG Academy
Mar 20
Recent Results
last 11 matches
eternal fire
lilmix
W
2-0
vs Famalicão
AnubisDust2
Apr 25
1d ago
L
1-2
vs BIG Academy
AnubisMirageDust2
Apr 23
3d ago
L
1-2
vs Sashi
AnubisOverpassAncient
Mar 31
26d ago
W
2-1
vs aimclub
InfernoMirageDust2
Mar 30
27d ago
L
1-2
vs Passion UA
MirageInfernoAnubis
Mar 30
27d ago
W
1-0
vs INFINITE
Mirage
Mar 29
28d ago
W
1-0
vs Drama
Inferno
Mar 29
28d ago
L
0-2
vs BetBoom
AnubisOverpass
Mar 25
32d ago
W
1-0
vs ECSTATIC
Inferno
Mar 24
33d ago
L
0-2
vs HYPERSPIRIT
AnubisDust2
Mar 20
37d ago
L
0-2
vs 1win
MirageDust2
Mar 19
38d ago
L
0-2
vs GenOne
AncientDust2
Apr 25
1d ago
W
2-0
vs The Suspect
AncientMirage
Apr 24
2d ago
W
2-1
vs BET-M
Dust2MirageAncient
Apr 23
3d ago
L
0-2
vs ENCE
OverpassMirage
Apr 23
3d ago
L
1-2
vs Young Ninjas
OverpassMirageAncient
Apr 23
3d ago
L
0-2
vs DONSTU
OverpassDust2
Apr 21
5d ago
L
1-2
vs Rune Eaters
InfernoDust2Mirage
Apr 2
24d ago
L
1-2
vs yngods
MirageOverpassAnubis
Apr 1
25d ago
L
0-2
vs HEROIC Academy
InfernoDust2
Mar 30
27d ago
L
0-2
vs AaB
MirageOverpass
Mar 29
28d ago
L
0-2
vs MANA
Dust2Inferno
Mar 27
30d ago
Player Matchups
eternal fire
Rating 3.0
lilmix
RE
regali
AWPADR 86.3KAST 81%
WA
walleN
RiflerADR 72.6KAST 70%
JO
jottAAA
EntryADR 80.1KAST 73%
WO
Wonder
AWPADR 67.8KAST 71%
DE
DemQQ
AWPADR 70.2KAST 76%
BS
bsover
AWPADR 78.5KAST 67%
MI
MisteM
AWPADR 69.5KAST 72%
JA
Jackinho
RiflerADR 68.2KAST 69%
RI
rigoN
RiflerADR 76.5KAST 70%
QU
quix
RiflerADR 62.8KAST 66%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Nuke
EF
13
–
5
LILM
95%
5%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EF
LILM
Head-to-Head
EF
LILM
Ranking
EF
LILM
After First Death
EF
LILM
After First Kill
EF
LILM
Recent on Nuke
eternal fire
13-3
vs MASONIC
Feb 1
lilmix
no data
Inferno
EF
13
–
5
LILM
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
EF
LILM
After First Kill
EF
LILM
Map Player Rating
EF
LILM
Ranking
EF
LILM
Round Win Rate
EF
LILM
Recent on Inferno
eternal fire
13-3
vs aimclub
Mar 30
8-13
vs Passion UA
Mar 30
13-11
vs Drama
Mar 29
13-8
vs ECSTATIC
Mar 24
13-5
vs MANA
Mar 17
lilmix
13-10
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 2
6-13
vs HEROIC Academy
Mar 30
9-13
vs MANA
Mar 27
6-13
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 19
9-13
vs Bushido Wildcats
Mar 18
Ancient
EF
13
–
5
LILM
90%
10%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
EF
LILM
Map Player Rating
EF
LILM
Ranking
EF
LILM
After First Kill
EF
LILM
Round Win Rate
EF
LILM
Recent on Ancient
eternal fire
8-13
vs Sashi
Mar 31
13-6
vs K27
Mar 18
13-5
vs Omega
Mar 15
7-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 15
13-4
vs Nemesis
Mar 14
lilmix
2-13
vs GenOne
Apr 25
13-9
vs The Suspect
Apr 24
13-7
vs BET-M
Apr 23
11-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 23
14-16
vs BIG Academy
Mar 20
Anubis
EF
13
–
8
LILM
76%
24%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EF
LILM
Head-to-Head
EF
LILM
Ranking
EF
LILM
Round Win Rate
EF
LILM
After First Death
EF
LILM
Recent on Anubis
eternal fire
13-3
vs Famalicão
Apr 25
13-8
vs BIG Academy
Apr 23
13-9
vs Sashi
Mar 31
9-13
vs Passion UA
Mar 30
2-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 25
lilmix
7-13
vs yngods
Apr 1
8-13
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 26
13-9
vs Bushido Wildcats
Mar 18