Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 Playoffs
· 2026-04-26
g2 ares
vs
lavked
52%
48%
Series win probability
G2A
2–1
29%
LAVK
2–1
24%
LAVK
2–0
24%
G2A
2–0
24%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — g2 ares is slightly favored at 52% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#146 vs #106), a strong overpass (61% win probability). lavked's best shot is mirage where they hold a 62% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
37%
Overpass · Mirage · Dust2
Scenario 2
32%
Overpass · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 3
30%
Overpass · Mirage · Anubis
Overpass
G2A
13
–
9
LAVK
61%
39%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
G2A
LAVK
Map Player Rating
G2A
LAVK
Head-to-Head
G2A
LAVK
After First Death
G2A
LAVK
Ranking
G2A
LAVK
Recent on Overpass
g2 ares
13-7
vs Project 91
Apr 24
10-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 22
6-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 3
16-13
vs Lavked
Apr 2
13-3
vs Omega
Mar 30
lavked
13-9
vs Hashiras
Apr 9
13-16
vs G2 Ares
Apr 2
3-13
vs QUAZAR
Mar 30
9-13
vs Atreides
Mar 23
Mirage
G2A
9
–
13
LAVK
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
LAVK
After First Kill
G2A
LAVK
Round Win Rate
G2A
LAVK
Head-to-Head
G2A
LAVK
After First Death
G2A
LAVK
Recent on Mirage
g2 ares
13-9
vs Lavked
Apr 2
11-13
vs Omega
Mar 30
13-11
vs zajezdzacze
Mar 29
8-13
vs K27
Mar 19
13-10
vs STATE
Mar 17
lavked
13-16
vs SPARTA
Apr 25
13-11
vs OLDBOYS PL
Apr 23
13-5
vs Oxuji
Apr 18
13-10
vs Bebop
Apr 16
16-14
vs Phantom
Apr 15
Dust2
G2A
13
–
11
LAVK
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
G2A
LAVK
After First Kill
G2A
LAVK
Ranking
G2A
LAVK
T Side
G2A
LAVK
Map Win Rate
G2A
LAVK
Recent on Dust2
g2 ares
13-9
vs DONSTU
Apr 3
16-14
vs zajezdzacze
Mar 29
6-13
vs Imperial Academy
Mar 27
13-8
vs K27
Mar 19
lavked
7-13
vs FAVBET
Apr 21
13-10
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 12
19-15
vs ASTRAL
Apr 10
7-13
vs 100 thieves
Apr 2
12-16
vs K27
Apr 1
Overpass
G2A
13
–
9
LAVK
61%
39%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
G2A
LAVK
Map Player Rating
G2A
LAVK
Head-to-Head
G2A
LAVK
After First Death
G2A
LAVK
Ranking
G2A
LAVK
Recent on Overpass
g2 ares
13-7
vs Project 91
Apr 24
10-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 22
6-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 3
16-13
vs Lavked
Apr 2
13-3
vs Omega
Mar 30
lavked
13-9
vs Hashiras
Apr 9
13-16
vs G2 Ares
Apr 2
3-13
vs QUAZAR
Mar 30
9-13
vs Atreides
Mar 23
Mirage
G2A
9
–
13
LAVK
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
LAVK
After First Kill
G2A
LAVK
Round Win Rate
G2A
LAVK
Head-to-Head
G2A
LAVK
After First Death
G2A
LAVK
Recent on Mirage
g2 ares
13-9
vs Lavked
Apr 2
11-13
vs Omega
Mar 30
13-11
vs zajezdzacze
Mar 29
8-13
vs K27
Mar 19
13-10
vs STATE
Mar 17
lavked
13-16
vs SPARTA
Apr 25
13-11
vs OLDBOYS PL
Apr 23
13-5
vs Oxuji
Apr 18
13-10
vs Bebop
Apr 16
16-14
vs Phantom
Apr 15
Ancient
G2A
7
–
13
LAVK
20%
80%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
LAVK
After First Kill
G2A
LAVK
Round Win Rate
G2A
LAVK
Head-to-Head
G2A
LAVK
After First Death
G2A
LAVK
Recent on Ancient
g2 ares
8-13
vs UNiTY
Apr 4
13-8
vs Omega
Mar 30
6-13
vs UNiTY
Mar 20
5-13
vs K27
Mar 19
10-13
vs BET-M
Mar 4
lavked
6-13
vs Oxuji
Apr 18
19-16
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 12
13-3
vs megoshort
Apr 9
13-5
vs 100 thieves
Apr 2
13-16
vs ESC
Apr 2
Overpass
G2A
13
–
9
LAVK
61%
39%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
G2A
LAVK
Map Player Rating
G2A
LAVK
Head-to-Head
G2A
LAVK
After First Death
G2A
LAVK
Ranking
G2A
LAVK
Recent on Overpass
g2 ares
13-7
vs Project 91
Apr 24
10-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 22
6-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 3
16-13
vs Lavked
Apr 2
13-3
vs Omega
Mar 30
lavked
13-9
vs Hashiras
Apr 9
13-16
vs G2 Ares
Apr 2
3-13
vs QUAZAR
Mar 30
9-13
vs Atreides
Mar 23
Mirage
G2A
9
–
13
LAVK
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
LAVK
After First Kill
G2A
LAVK
Round Win Rate
G2A
LAVK
Head-to-Head
G2A
LAVK
After First Death
G2A
LAVK
Recent on Mirage
g2 ares
13-9
vs Lavked
Apr 2
11-13
vs Omega
Mar 30
13-11
vs zajezdzacze
Mar 29
8-13
vs K27
Mar 19
13-10
vs STATE
Mar 17
lavked
13-16
vs SPARTA
Apr 25
13-11
vs OLDBOYS PL
Apr 23
13-5
vs Oxuji
Apr 18
13-10
vs Bebop
Apr 16
16-14
vs Phantom
Apr 15
Anubis
G2A
13
–
10
LAVK
66%
34%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
LAVK
Head-to-Head
G2A
LAVK
Round Win Rate
G2A
LAVK
After First Kill
G2A
LAVK
Ranking
G2A
LAVK
Recent on Anubis
g2 ares
11-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 22
10-13
vs UNiTY
Apr 4
13-7
vs DONSTU
Apr 3
6-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 1
9-13
vs BET-M
Mar 4
lavked
10-13
vs FAVBET
Apr 21
4-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 14
7-13
vs ARCRED
Apr 14
Recent Results
last 11 matches
g2 ares
lavked
W
2-0
vs Project 91
InfernoOverpass
Apr 24
2d ago
L
0-2
vs DONSTU
AnubisOverpass
Apr 22
4d ago
L
0-2
vs UNiTY
AnubisAncient
Apr 4
22d ago
W
2-1
vs DONSTU
AnubisOverpassDust2
Apr 3
23d ago
W
2-0
vs Lavked
MirageOverpass
Apr 2
24d ago
L
0-2
vs eLITenergy
AnubisInferno
Apr 1
25d ago
W
2-1
vs Omega
OverpassMirageAncient
Mar 30
27d ago
W
2-0
vs zajezdzacze
Dust2Mirage
Mar 29
28d ago
L
0-2
vs Imperial Academy
Dust2Inferno
Mar 27
30d ago
L
1-2
vs UNiTY
OverpassInfernoAncient
Mar 20
37d ago
L
1-2
vs K27
AncientDust2Mirage
Mar 19
38d ago
L
1-2
vs SPARTA
InfernoNukeMirage
Apr 25
1d ago
W
2-0
vs OLDBOYS PL
NukeMirage
Apr 23
3d ago
L
1-2
vs FAVBET
NukeAnubisDust2
Apr 21
5d ago
L
1-2
vs Oxuji
MirageAncientNuke
Apr 18
8d ago
W
2-0
vs Bebop
NukeMirage
Apr 16
10d ago
W
2-0
vs Phantom
NukeMirage
Apr 15
11d ago
L
0-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
NukeAnubis
Apr 14
12d ago
L
0-2
vs ARCRED
AnubisMirage
Apr 14
12d ago
W
2-1
vs Rune Eaters
Dust2MirageAncient
Apr 12
14d ago
W
2-0
vs Bebop
MirageNuke
Apr 12
14d ago
W
2-0
vs ASTRAL
Dust2Mirage
Apr 10
16d ago
Player Matchups
g2 ares
Rating 3.0
lavked
TA
tAk
RiflerADR 78.2KAST 74%
DJ
Djon8
EntryADR 83.8KAST 73%
JU
Junyme
AWPADR 73.3KAST 70%
SO
sol
AWPADR 70.9KAST 73%
HI
hitori
RiflerADR 73.5KAST 69%
K4
k4nfuz
AWPADR 67.6KAST 74%
YK
yksjupe
RiflerADR 65.9KAST 71%
1N
1NVISIBLEE
RiflerADR 79.6KAST 69%
SH
SHiNE
RiflerADR 62.3KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Inferno
G2A
13
–
6
LAVK
91%
9%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
LAVK
After First Kill
G2A
LAVK
Head-to-Head
G2A
LAVK
Ranking
G2A
LAVK
After First Death
G2A
LAVK
Recent on Inferno
g2 ares
13-1
vs Project 91
Apr 24
9-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 1
11-13
vs Imperial Academy
Mar 27
11-13
vs UNiTY
Mar 20
13-8
vs STATE
Mar 17
lavked
12-16
vs SPARTA
Apr 25
Ancient
G2A
7
–
13
LAVK
20%
80%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
LAVK
After First Kill
G2A
LAVK
Round Win Rate
G2A
LAVK
Head-to-Head
G2A
LAVK
After First Death
G2A
LAVK
Recent on Ancient
g2 ares
8-13
vs UNiTY
Apr 4
13-8
vs Omega
Mar 30
6-13
vs UNiTY
Mar 20
5-13
vs K27
Mar 19
10-13
vs BET-M
Mar 4
lavked
6-13
vs Oxuji
Apr 18
19-16
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 12
13-3
vs megoshort
Apr 9
13-5
vs 100 thieves
Apr 2
13-16
vs ESC
Apr 2
Anubis
G2A
13
–
10
LAVK
66%
34%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
LAVK
Head-to-Head
G2A
LAVK
Round Win Rate
G2A
LAVK
After First Kill
G2A
LAVK
Ranking
G2A
LAVK
Recent on Anubis
g2 ares
11-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 22
10-13
vs UNiTY
Apr 4
13-7
vs DONSTU
Apr 3
6-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 1
9-13
vs BET-M
Mar 4
lavked
10-13
vs FAVBET
Apr 21
4-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 14
7-13
vs ARCRED
Apr 14