alter ego vs the qube at ESL Challenger League Season 51 Asia-Pacific Cup 4

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Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Asia-Pacific Cup 4 13:00 UTC · 2026-04-26

alter ego

the qube

89%

11%

Series win probability

AE 2–0 56%

AE 2–1 33%

TQ 2–0 6%

TQ 2–1 5%

Model Insights

alter ego is strongly favored at 89%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.10 vs 1.04), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#176 vs #150), a strong nuke (87% win probability).

Predicted Maps 3 maps

Scenario 1 39% Overpass · Mirage · Nuke

Scenario 2 33% Mirage · Nuke · Dust2

Scenario 3 28% Mirage · Nuke · Ancient

Overpass

AE 13 – 8 TQ

70%

30%

Win prob OT 9%

Key factors

Head-to-Head

Map Player Rating

Round Win Rate

T Side

Best Player

Recent on Overpass

alter ego

14-16 vs The QUBE Mar 25

10-13 vs Last Bullet Mar 22

13-6 vs Rare Atom Mar 20

13-6 vs Lynn Vision Mar 12

13-8 vs FlyQuest Mar 11

the qube

16-14 vs Alter Ego Mar 25

Mirage

AE 13 – 9 TQ

79%

21%

Win prob OT 9%

Key factors

Head-to-Head

After First Kill

Map Player Rating

T Side

Map Win Rate

Recent on Mirage

alter ego

13-16 vs FengDa Mar 26

13-7 vs Last Bullet Mar 22

10-13 vs Chinggis Warriors Mar 10

16-14 vs Rare Atom Mar 9

the qube

13-8 vs BMZ Apr 6

13-10 vs Just Swing Apr 5

10-13 vs NSN Apr 3

13-8 vs BORING PLAYERS Mar 24

9-13 vs Morningstar Mar 23

Nuke

AE 13 – 5 TQ

87%

13%

Win prob OT 3%

Key factors

Map Player Rating

Head-to-Head

After First Kill

Round Win Rate

After First Death

Recent on Nuke

alter ego

13-10 vs FengDa Mar 26

13-9 vs Just Swing Mar 24

13-2 vs Haunted House Mar 23

13-11 vs BORING PLAYERS Mar 21

15-19 vs Lynn Vision Mar 12

the qube

2-13 vs Just Swing Apr 5

13-2 vs FengDa Mar 20

3-13 vs 5star Mar 19

4-13 vs NEXVOID Mar 18

Mirage

AE 13 – 9 TQ

79%

21%

Win prob OT 9%

Key factors

Head-to-Head

After First Kill

Map Player Rating

T Side

Map Win Rate

Recent on Mirage

alter ego

13-16 vs FengDa Mar 26

13-7 vs Last Bullet Mar 22

10-13 vs Chinggis Warriors Mar 10

16-14 vs Rare Atom Mar 9

the qube

13-8 vs BMZ Apr 6

13-10 vs Just Swing Apr 5

10-13 vs NSN Apr 3

13-8 vs BORING PLAYERS Mar 24

9-13 vs Morningstar Mar 23

Nuke

AE 13 – 5 TQ

87%

13%

Win prob OT 3%

Key factors

Map Player Rating

Head-to-Head

After First Kill

Round Win Rate

After First Death

Recent on Nuke

alter ego

13-10 vs FengDa Mar 26

13-9 vs Just Swing Mar 24

13-2 vs Haunted House Mar 23

13-11 vs BORING PLAYERS Mar 21

15-19 vs Lynn Vision Mar 12

the qube

2-13 vs Just Swing Apr 5

13-2 vs FengDa Mar 20

3-13 vs 5star Mar 19

4-13 vs NEXVOID Mar 18

Dust2

AE 13 – 7 TQ

86%

14%

Win prob OT 6%

Key factors

Map Player Rating

Head-to-Head

Opening Score

Opening Duels

Schedule Strength

Recent on Dust2

alter ego

4-13 vs FengDa Mar 26

13-6 vs The QUBE Mar 25

13-7 vs Just Swing Mar 24

13-6 vs Haunted House Mar 23

13-6 vs Last Bullet Mar 22

the qube

5-13 vs BMZ Apr 6

16-14 vs BORING PLAYERS Apr 4

6-13 vs Alter Ego Mar 25

13-10 vs BORING PLAYERS Mar 24

13-10 vs Morningstar Mar 23

Mirage

AE 13 – 9 TQ

79%

21%

Win prob OT 9%

Key factors

Head-to-Head

After First Kill

Map Player Rating

T Side

Map Win Rate

Recent on Mirage

alter ego

13-16 vs FengDa Mar 26

13-7 vs Last Bullet Mar 22

10-13 vs Chinggis Warriors Mar 10

16-14 vs Rare Atom Mar 9

the qube

13-8 vs BMZ Apr 6

13-10 vs Just Swing Apr 5

10-13 vs NSN Apr 3

13-8 vs BORING PLAYERS Mar 24

9-13 vs Morningstar Mar 23

Nuke

AE 13 – 5 TQ

87%

13%

Win prob OT 3%

Key factors

Map Player Rating

Head-to-Head

After First Kill

Round Win Rate

After First Death

Recent on Nuke

alter ego

13-10 vs FengDa Mar 26

13-9 vs Just Swing Mar 24

13-2 vs Haunted House Mar 23

13-11 vs BORING PLAYERS Mar 21

15-19 vs Lynn Vision Mar 12

the qube

2-13 vs Just Swing Apr 5

13-2 vs FengDa Mar 20

3-13 vs 5star Mar 19

4-13 vs NEXVOID Mar 18

Ancient

AE 13 – 9 TQ

78%

22%

Win prob OT 9%

Key factors

Head-to-Head

Round Win Rate

Opening Score

Map Win Rate

After First Kill

Recent on Ancient

alter ego

13-9 vs The QUBE Mar 25

5-13 vs BORING PLAYERS Mar 21

13-11 vs Rare Atom Mar 20

the qube

5-13 vs BMZ Apr 6

13-11 vs BORING PLAYERS Apr 4

13-6 vs NSN Apr 3

9-13 vs Alter Ego Mar 25

13-5 vs Chinggis Warriors Mar 21