Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Asia-Pacific Cup 4
· 2026-04-26
rare atom
vs
just swing
94%
6%
Series win probability
RA
2–0
75%
RA
2–1
19%
JS
2–1
4%
JS
2–0
2%
Model Insights
rare atom is strongly favored at 94%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.06 vs 1.03), a significant ranking advantage (#99 vs #230), a strong inferno (90% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
55%
Dust2 · Inferno · Ancient
Scenario 2
40%
Dust2 · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 3
6%
Dust2 · Ancient · Anubis
Dust2
RA
13
–
6
JS
83%
17%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
RA
JS
After First Kill
RA
JS
Ranking
RA
JS
Round Win Rate
RA
JS
Map Win Rate
RA
JS
Recent on Dust2
rare atom
8-13
vs XDM
Apr 1
6-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Mar 31
13-1
vs BORING PLAYERS
Mar 31
13-9
vs Morningstar
Mar 25
13-9
vs Last Bullet
Mar 25
just swing
13-10
vs boring players
Apr 1
10-13
vs XDM
Mar 29
13-7
vs Unitronics
Mar 27
7-13
vs Alter Ego
Mar 24
7-13
vs Morningstar
Mar 23
Inferno
RA
13
–
6
JS
90%
10%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
RA
JS
Head-to-Head
RA
JS
Round Win Rate
RA
JS
Ranking
RA
JS
Map Player Rating
RA
JS
Recent on Inferno
rare atom
13-5
vs Just Swing
Apr 2
13-7
vs Morningstar
Mar 24
7-13
vs Lynn Vision
Mar 21
13-0
vs Ground Zero
Mar 8
7-13
vs The Huns
Feb 27
just swing
9-13
vs The QUBE
Apr 5
5-13
vs Rare Atom
Apr 2
13-7
vs TYLOO
Mar 30
13-6
vs 5star
Mar 21
5-13
vs Legion
Feb 19
Ancient
RA
13
–
7
JS
83%
17%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
RA
JS
Head-to-Head
RA
JS
Round Win Rate
RA
JS
Ranking
RA
JS
After First Death
RA
JS
Recent on Ancient
rare atom
5-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 3
13-11
vs SemperFi
Apr 3
13-9
vs XDM
Apr 1
11-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Mar 31
4-13
vs TYLOO
Mar 31
just swing
11-13
vs boring players
Apr 1
9-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 28
6-13
vs Morningstar
Mar 23
1-13
vs BMZ
Mar 23
13-3
vs 5star
Mar 21
Dust2
RA
13
–
6
JS
83%
17%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
RA
JS
After First Kill
RA
JS
Ranking
RA
JS
Round Win Rate
RA
JS
Map Win Rate
RA
JS
Recent on Dust2
rare atom
8-13
vs XDM
Apr 1
6-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Mar 31
13-1
vs BORING PLAYERS
Mar 31
13-9
vs Morningstar
Mar 25
13-9
vs Last Bullet
Mar 25
just swing
13-10
vs boring players
Apr 1
10-13
vs XDM
Mar 29
13-7
vs Unitronics
Mar 27
7-13
vs Alter Ego
Mar 24
7-13
vs Morningstar
Mar 23
Ancient
RA
13
–
7
JS
83%
17%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
RA
JS
Head-to-Head
RA
JS
Round Win Rate
RA
JS
Ranking
RA
JS
After First Death
RA
JS
Recent on Ancient
rare atom
5-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 3
13-11
vs SemperFi
Apr 3
13-9
vs XDM
Apr 1
11-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Mar 31
4-13
vs TYLOO
Mar 31
just swing
11-13
vs boring players
Apr 1
9-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 28
6-13
vs Morningstar
Mar 23
1-13
vs BMZ
Mar 23
13-3
vs 5star
Mar 21
Mirage
RA
13
–
7
JS
77%
23%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RA
JS
Head-to-Head
RA
JS
Round Win Rate
RA
JS
Ranking
RA
JS
Map Win Rate
RA
JS
Recent on Mirage
rare atom
8-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 3
13-10
vs SemperFi
Apr 3
13-9
vs Just Swing
Apr 2
13-7
vs XDM
Apr 1
13-4
vs Chinggis Warriors
Mar 31
just swing
10-13
vs The QUBE
Apr 5
9-13
vs Rare Atom
Apr 2
3-13
vs TYLOO
Mar 30
Dust2
RA
13
–
6
JS
83%
17%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
RA
JS
After First Kill
RA
JS
Ranking
RA
JS
Round Win Rate
RA
JS
Map Win Rate
RA
JS
Recent on Dust2
rare atom
8-13
vs XDM
Apr 1
6-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Mar 31
13-1
vs BORING PLAYERS
Mar 31
13-9
vs Morningstar
Mar 25
13-9
vs Last Bullet
Mar 25
just swing
13-10
vs boring players
Apr 1
10-13
vs XDM
Mar 29
13-7
vs Unitronics
Mar 27
7-13
vs Alter Ego
Mar 24
7-13
vs Morningstar
Mar 23
Ancient
RA
13
–
7
JS
83%
17%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
RA
JS
Head-to-Head
RA
JS
Round Win Rate
RA
JS
Ranking
RA
JS
After First Death
RA
JS
Recent on Ancient
rare atom
5-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 3
13-11
vs SemperFi
Apr 3
13-9
vs XDM
Apr 1
11-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Mar 31
4-13
vs TYLOO
Mar 31
just swing
11-13
vs boring players
Apr 1
9-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 28
6-13
vs Morningstar
Mar 23
1-13
vs BMZ
Mar 23
13-3
vs 5star
Mar 21
Anubis
RA
13
–
4
JS
98%
2%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RA
JS
After First Kill
RA
JS
Head-to-Head
RA
JS
Ranking
RA
JS
After First Death
RA
JS
Recent on Anubis
rare atom
13-6
vs Morningstar
Mar 25
19-22
vs Morningstar
Mar 22
2-13
vs FlyQuest
Mar 11
just swing
5-13
vs XDM
Mar 29
Recent Results
last 11 matches
rare atom
just swing
L
0-2
vs TYLOO
MirageAncient
Apr 3
23d ago
W
2-0
vs SemperFi
AncientMirage
Apr 3
23d ago
W
2-0
vs Just Swing
InfernoMirage
Apr 2
24d ago
W
2-1
vs XDM
MirageDust2Ancient
Apr 1
25d ago
L
1-2
vs Chinggis Warriors
MirageDust2Ancient
Mar 31
26d ago
L
0-2
vs TYLOO
MirageAncient
Mar 31
26d ago
W
2-0
vs BORING PLAYERS
AncientDust2
Mar 31
26d ago
W
3-1
vs Morningstar
Dust2AncientMirageAnubis
Mar 25
32d ago
W
2-1
vs Last Bullet
MirageDust2Ancient
Mar 25
32d ago
L
1-2
vs Morningstar
Dust2InfernoMirage
Mar 24
33d ago
W
2-1
vs Last Bullet
MirageDust2Ancient
Mar 23
34d ago
L
1-2
vs The QUBE
NukeMirageInferno
Apr 5
21d ago
L
0-2
vs Rare Atom
InfernoMirage
Apr 2
24d ago
W
2-1
vs boring players
AncientDust2Nuke
Apr 1
25d ago
L
1-2
vs TYLOO
InfernoNukeMirage
Mar 30
27d ago
L
0-2
vs XDM
AnubisDust2
Mar 29
28d ago
L
0-1
vs SemperFi
Ancient
Mar 28
29d ago
W
1-0
vs Unitronics
Dust2
Mar 27
30d ago
L
0-2
vs Alter Ego
NukeDust2
Mar 24
33d ago
L
0-2
vs Morningstar
Dust2Ancient
Mar 23
34d ago
L
0-2
vs BMZ
Dust2Ancient
Mar 23
34d ago
W
2-1
vs 5star
NukeAncientInferno
Mar 21
36d ago
Player Matchups
rare atom
Rating 3.0
just swing
CH
chengking
AWPADR 74.9KAST 73%
QQ
qqGOD
RiflerADR 83.9KAST 72%
L1
L1haNg
AWPADR 81.2KAST 73%
GA
gas
RiflerADR 78.7KAST 75%
TI
Tiger
AWPADR 76.1KAST 71%
SA
sATOR1
AWPADR 70.1KAST 71%
SU
Summer
RiflerADR 69.3KAST 70%
PU
Purely
AWPADR 64.4KAST 71%
SK
skrr
AWPADR 68.0KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Anubis
RA
13
–
4
JS
98%
2%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RA
JS
After First Kill
RA
JS
Head-to-Head
RA
JS
Ranking
RA
JS
After First Death
RA
JS
Recent on Anubis
rare atom
13-6
vs Morningstar
Mar 25
19-22
vs Morningstar
Mar 22
2-13
vs FlyQuest
Mar 11
just swing
5-13
vs XDM
Mar 29
Overpass
RA
13
–
5
JS
96%
4%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RA
JS
Head-to-Head
RA
JS
After First Death
RA
JS
Ranking
RA
JS
After First Kill
RA
JS
Recent on Overpass
rare atom
13-2
vs Legion
Mar 21
6-13
vs Alter Ego
Mar 20
7-13
vs TYLOO
Feb 7
just swing
no data
Mirage
RA
13
–
7
JS
77%
23%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RA
JS
Head-to-Head
RA
JS
Round Win Rate
RA
JS
Ranking
RA
JS
Map Win Rate
RA
JS
Recent on Mirage
rare atom
8-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 3
13-10
vs SemperFi
Apr 3
13-9
vs Just Swing
Apr 2
13-7
vs XDM
Apr 1
13-4
vs Chinggis Warriors
Mar 31
just swing
10-13
vs The QUBE
Apr 5
9-13
vs Rare Atom
Apr 2
3-13
vs TYLOO
Mar 30