bmz vs last bullet at ESL Challenger League Season 51 Asia-Pacific Cup 4

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Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Asia-Pacific Cup 4 13:00 UTC · 2026-04-26

bmz

last bullet

78%

22%

Series win probability

BMZ 2–0 44%

BMZ 2–1 34%

LB 2–1 11%

LB 2–0 11%

Model Insights

bmz is strongly favored at 78%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.02 vs 0.99), a significant ranking advantage (#110 vs #219), a strong dust2 (75% win probability).

Predicted Maps 3 maps

Scenario 1 69% Ancient · Mirage · Dust2

Scenario 2 24% Ancient · Mirage · Nuke

Scenario 3 7% Ancient · Mirage · Overpass

Ancient

BMZ 13 – 9 LB

63%

37%

Win prob OT 10%

Key factors

Ranking

BMZ

Round Win Rate

BMZ

Map Player Rating

BMZ

Map Win Rate

BMZ

After First Death

BMZ

Recent on Ancient

bmz

13-5 vs The QUBE Apr 6

11-13 vs FengDa Apr 5

16-13 vs BORING PLAYERS Apr 2

9-13 vs FengDa Mar 27

13-4 vs FengDa Mar 25

last bullet

7-13 vs Rare Atom Mar 25

5-13 vs Rare Atom Mar 23

13-3 vs Change The Game Feb 23

5-13 vs Morningstar Feb 22

13-4 vs Eruption Feb 18

Mirage

BMZ 13 – 10 LB

70%

30%

Win prob OT 11%

Key factors

After First Death

BMZ

Ranking

BMZ

After First Kill

BMZ

T Side

BMZ

Map Player Rating

BMZ

Recent on Mirage

bmz

8-13 vs The QUBE Apr 6

11-13 vs FengDa Apr 5

13-9 vs FengDa Mar 25

13-16 vs Chinggis Warriors Mar 22

10-13 vs The QUBE Mar 16

last bullet

13-10 vs Change The Game Apr 2

13-11 vs Chaos Apr 1

9-13 vs Change The Game Mar 30

13-8 vs Rare Atom Mar 25

13-8 vs Rare Atom Mar 23

Dust2

BMZ 13 – 8 LB

75%

25%

Win prob OT 8%

Key factors

After First Death

BMZ

Ranking

BMZ

Round Win Rate

BMZ

After First Kill

BMZ

Map Player Rating

BMZ

Recent on Dust2

bmz

13-5 vs The QUBE Apr 6

13-6 vs FengDa Apr 5

13-11 vs BORING PLAYERS Apr 2

13-11 vs Just Swing Mar 23

7-13 vs Chinggis Warriors Mar 21

last bullet

13-8 vs NEXVOID Apr 3

11-13 vs Change The Game Apr 2

13-6 vs Chaos Apr 1

14-16 vs Change The Game Mar 30

9-13 vs Rare Atom Mar 25

Ancient

BMZ 13 – 9 LB

63%

37%

Win prob OT 10%

Key factors

Ranking

BMZ

Round Win Rate

BMZ

Map Player Rating

BMZ

Map Win Rate

BMZ

After First Death

BMZ

Recent on Ancient

bmz

13-5 vs The QUBE Apr 6

11-13 vs FengDa Apr 5

16-13 vs BORING PLAYERS Apr 2

9-13 vs FengDa Mar 27

13-4 vs FengDa Mar 25

last bullet

7-13 vs Rare Atom Mar 25

5-13 vs Rare Atom Mar 23

13-3 vs Change The Game Feb 23

5-13 vs Morningstar Feb 22

13-4 vs Eruption Feb 18

Mirage

BMZ 13 – 10 LB

70%

30%

Win prob OT 11%

Key factors

After First Death

BMZ

Ranking

BMZ

After First Kill

BMZ

T Side

BMZ

Map Player Rating

BMZ

Recent on Mirage

bmz

8-13 vs The QUBE Apr 6

11-13 vs FengDa Apr 5

13-9 vs FengDa Mar 25

13-16 vs Chinggis Warriors Mar 22

10-13 vs The QUBE Mar 16

last bullet

13-10 vs Change The Game Apr 2

13-11 vs Chaos Apr 1

9-13 vs Change The Game Mar 30

13-8 vs Rare Atom Mar 25

13-8 vs Rare Atom Mar 23

Nuke

BMZ 13 – 5 LB

96%

Win prob OT 2%

Key factors

Map Player Rating

BMZ

After First Death

BMZ

After First Kill

BMZ

Ranking

BMZ

Round Win Rate

BMZ

Recent on Nuke

bmz

4-13 vs Chinggis Warriors Mar 22

20-22 vs Chinggis Warriors Mar 21

9-13 vs 5star Mar 18

13-2 vs The MongolZ Academy Mar 16

7-13 vs Chinggis Warriors Feb 27

last bullet

7-13 vs NEXVOID Apr 3

Ancient

BMZ 13 – 9 LB

63%

37%

Win prob OT 10%

Key factors

Ranking

BMZ

Round Win Rate

BMZ

Map Player Rating

BMZ

Map Win Rate

BMZ

After First Death

BMZ

Recent on Ancient

bmz

13-5 vs The QUBE Apr 6

11-13 vs FengDa Apr 5

16-13 vs BORING PLAYERS Apr 2

9-13 vs FengDa Mar 27

13-4 vs FengDa Mar 25

last bullet

7-13 vs Rare Atom Mar 25

5-13 vs Rare Atom Mar 23

13-3 vs Change The Game Feb 23

5-13 vs Morningstar Feb 22

13-4 vs Eruption Feb 18

Mirage

BMZ 13 – 10 LB

70%

30%

Win prob OT 11%

Key factors

After First Death

BMZ

Ranking

BMZ

After First Kill

BMZ

T Side

BMZ

Map Player Rating

BMZ

Recent on Mirage

bmz

8-13 vs The QUBE Apr 6

11-13 vs FengDa Apr 5

13-9 vs FengDa Mar 25

13-16 vs Chinggis Warriors Mar 22

10-13 vs The QUBE Mar 16

last bullet

13-10 vs Change The Game Apr 2

13-11 vs Chaos Apr 1

9-13 vs Change The Game Mar 30

13-8 vs Rare Atom Mar 25

13-8 vs Rare Atom Mar 23

Overpass

BMZ 8 – 13 LB

14%

86%

Win prob OT 6%

Key factors

Map Player Rating

BMZ

After First Death

BMZ

Ranking

BMZ

After First Kill

BMZ

Star Player

BMZ

Recent on Overpass

bmz

9-13 vs NEXVOID Feb 4

last bullet

13-10 vs Alter Ego Mar 22