Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Asia-Pacific Cup 4 Playoffs
· 2026-05-02
TYLOO
vs
Chinggis Warriors
47%
53%
Series win probability
CW
2–0
29%
TYLO
2–1
27%
CW
2–1
24%
TYLO
2–0
20%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Chinggis Warriors is slightly favored at 53% but only leads on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#92 vs #39), a strong mirage (62% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Mirage · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 2
34%
Mirage · Nuke · Overpass
Scenario 3
23%
Mirage · Nuke · Ancient
Mirage
TYLO
10
–
13
CW
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
TYLO
CW
Round Win Rate
TYLO
CW
Ranking
TYLO
CW
Map Player Rating
TYLO
CW
Map Win Rate
TYLO
CW
Recent on Mirage
TYLOO
13-2
vs Rare Atom
Apr 30
13-5
vs Alter Ego
Apr 27
13-2
vs FlyQuest
Apr 4
13-7
vs change the game
Apr 4
13-6
vs The Huns
Apr 3
Chinggis Warriors
13-1
vs FengDa
Apr 9
14-16
vs FengDa
Apr 7
13-5
vs Arise
Apr 3
6-13
vs 5star
Apr 2
13-3
vs The Huns
Apr 1
Nuke
TYLO
13
–
10
CW
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
TYLO
CW
Ranking
TYLO
CW
Round Win Rate
TYLO
CW
Map Player Rating
TYLO
CW
CT Side
TYLO
CW
Recent on Nuke
TYLOO
9-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 29
13-1
vs Alter Ego
Apr 27
13-8
vs FlyQuest
Apr 4
13-10
vs The Huns
Apr 3
11-13
vs UR
Apr 2
Chinggis Warriors
13-9
vs TYLOO
Apr 29
13-11
vs Legion
Apr 26
4-13
vs FengDa
Apr 9
16-19
vs NEXVOID
Apr 8
13-2
vs FengDa
Apr 7
Inferno
TYLO
16
–
14
CW
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
TYLO
CW
Ranking
TYLO
CW
Round Win Rate
TYLO
CW
After First Death
TYLO
CW
Map Player Rating
TYLO
CW
Recent on Inferno
TYLOO
13-8
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 29
13-5
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 4
13-4
vs Change The Game
Apr 3
9-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 31
7-13
vs Just Swing
Mar 30
Chinggis Warriors
8-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 29
13-8
vs NEXVOID
Apr 8
10-13
vs flyquest
Apr 4
5-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
13-5
vs Arise
Apr 3
Mirage
TYLO
10
–
13
CW
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
TYLO
CW
Round Win Rate
TYLO
CW
Ranking
TYLO
CW
Map Player Rating
TYLO
CW
Map Win Rate
TYLO
CW
Recent on Mirage
TYLOO
13-2
vs Rare Atom
Apr 30
13-5
vs Alter Ego
Apr 27
13-2
vs FlyQuest
Apr 4
13-7
vs change the game
Apr 4
13-6
vs The Huns
Apr 3
Chinggis Warriors
13-1
vs FengDa
Apr 9
14-16
vs FengDa
Apr 7
13-5
vs Arise
Apr 3
6-13
vs 5star
Apr 2
13-3
vs The Huns
Apr 1
Nuke
TYLO
13
–
10
CW
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
TYLO
CW
Ranking
TYLO
CW
Round Win Rate
TYLO
CW
Map Player Rating
TYLO
CW
CT Side
TYLO
CW
Recent on Nuke
TYLOO
9-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 29
13-1
vs Alter Ego
Apr 27
13-8
vs FlyQuest
Apr 4
13-10
vs The Huns
Apr 3
11-13
vs UR
Apr 2
Chinggis Warriors
13-9
vs TYLOO
Apr 29
13-11
vs Legion
Apr 26
4-13
vs FengDa
Apr 9
16-19
vs NEXVOID
Apr 8
13-2
vs FengDa
Apr 7
Overpass
TYLO
13
–
8
CW
72%
28%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
TYLO
CW
Ranking
TYLO
CW
Map Player Rating
TYLO
CW
Round Win Rate
TYLO
CW
Days With Lineup Diff
TYLO
CW
Recent on Overpass
TYLOO
13-3
vs Rare Atom
Apr 30
13-11
vs FaZe
Mar 20
11-13
vs FURIA
Mar 18
13-10
vs Lynn Vision
Feb 8
13-7
vs Rare Atom
Feb 7
Chinggis Warriors
13-8
vs Legion
Apr 26
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Mar 31
13-4
vs UR
Mar 28
21-25
vs The Huns
Feb 26
13-5
vs NEXVOID
Feb 26
Mirage
TYLO
10
–
13
CW
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
TYLO
CW
Round Win Rate
TYLO
CW
Ranking
TYLO
CW
Map Player Rating
TYLO
CW
Map Win Rate
TYLO
CW
Recent on Mirage
TYLOO
13-2
vs Rare Atom
Apr 30
13-5
vs Alter Ego
Apr 27
13-2
vs FlyQuest
Apr 4
13-7
vs change the game
Apr 4
13-6
vs The Huns
Apr 3
Chinggis Warriors
13-1
vs FengDa
Apr 9
14-16
vs FengDa
Apr 7
13-5
vs Arise
Apr 3
6-13
vs 5star
Apr 2
13-3
vs The Huns
Apr 1
Nuke
TYLO
13
–
10
CW
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
TYLO
CW
Ranking
TYLO
CW
Round Win Rate
TYLO
CW
Map Player Rating
TYLO
CW
CT Side
TYLO
CW
Recent on Nuke
TYLOO
9-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 29
13-1
vs Alter Ego
Apr 27
13-8
vs FlyQuest
Apr 4
13-10
vs The Huns
Apr 3
11-13
vs UR
Apr 2
Chinggis Warriors
13-9
vs TYLOO
Apr 29
13-11
vs Legion
Apr 26
4-13
vs FengDa
Apr 9
16-19
vs NEXVOID
Apr 8
13-2
vs FengDa
Apr 7
Ancient
TYLO
13
–
7
CW
78%
22%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
TYLO
CW
Round Win Rate
TYLO
CW
After First Kill
TYLO
CW
After First Death
TYLO
CW
Map Win Rate
TYLO
CW
Recent on Ancient
TYLOO
5-13
vs Rare Atom
Apr 30
8-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 29
13-8
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 4
13-11
vs change the game
Apr 4
13-5
vs Rare Atom
Apr 3
Chinggis Warriors
13-8
vs TYLOO
Apr 29
8-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
13-4
vs The Huns
Apr 1
13-11
vs Rare Atom
Mar 31
13-5
vs BMZ
Mar 22
Recent Results
last 11 matches
TYLOO
Chinggis Warriors
W
2-1
vs Rare Atom
AncientOverpassMirage
Apr 30
2d ago
L
1-2
vs Chinggis Warriors
AncientInfernoNuke
Apr 29
3d ago
W
2-0
vs Alter Ego
MirageNuke
Apr 27
5d ago
W
2-0
vs Chinggis Warriors
AncientInferno
Apr 4
28d ago
W
2-1
vs FlyQuest
MirageAnubisNuke
Apr 4
28d ago
W
2-0
vs change the game
MirageAncient
Apr 4
28d ago
W
2-0
vs The Huns
MirageNuke
Apr 3
29d ago
W
2-0
vs Rare Atom
MirageAncient
Apr 3
29d ago
W
2-0
vs Change The Game
InfernoMirage
Apr 3
29d ago
W
2-1
vs UR
AncientNukeMirage
Apr 2
30d ago
L
0-2
vs SemperFi
AncientInferno
Mar 31
32d ago
W
2-1
vs TYLOO
AncientInfernoNuke
Apr 29
3d ago
W
2-0
vs Legion
OverpassNuke
Apr 26
6d ago
L
1-2
vs FengDa
MirageNukeDust2
Apr 9
23d ago
W
2-1
vs NEXVOID
NukeInfernoDust2
Apr 8
24d ago
L
1-2
vs FengDa
MirageNukeDust2
Apr 7
25d ago
L
0-2
vs flyquest
NukeInferno
Apr 4
28d ago
L
0-2
vs TYLOO
AncientInferno
Apr 4
28d ago
W
2-0
vs Arise
MirageInferno
Apr 3
29d ago
W
2-1
vs 5star
MirageNukeInferno
Apr 2
30d ago
L
0-2
vs The Huns
NukeDust2
Apr 1
31d ago
W
2-1
vs The Huns
MirageNukeAncient
Apr 1
31d ago
Player Matchups
TYLOO
Ratings
Chinggis Warriors
JA
JamYoung
RiflerADR 81.5KAST 78%
TI
tikuak
EntryADR 79.7KAST 73%
JE
Jee
AWPADR 77.0KAST 76%
HA
hasteka
RiflerADR 81.1KAST 70%
MO
Moseyuh
RiflerADR 78.6KAST 77%
YA
yAmi
AWPADR 73.1KAST 70%
ME
Mercury
EntryADR 74.4KAST 77%
RO
ROUX
RiflerADR 73.6KAST 70%
ZE
Zero
RiflerADR 72.9KAST 76%
EF
Efire
RiflerADR 69.4KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Ancient
TYLO
13
–
7
CW
78%
22%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
TYLO
CW
Round Win Rate
TYLO
CW
After First Kill
TYLO
CW
After First Death
TYLO
CW
Map Win Rate
TYLO
CW
Recent on Ancient
TYLOO
5-13
vs Rare Atom
Apr 30
8-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 29
13-8
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 4
13-11
vs change the game
Apr 4
13-5
vs Rare Atom
Apr 3
Chinggis Warriors
13-8
vs TYLOO
Apr 29
8-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
13-4
vs The Huns
Apr 1
13-11
vs Rare Atom
Mar 31
13-5
vs BMZ
Mar 22
Overpass
TYLO
13
–
8
CW
72%
28%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
TYLO
CW
Ranking
TYLO
CW
Map Player Rating
TYLO
CW
Round Win Rate
TYLO
CW
Days With Lineup Diff
TYLO
CW
Recent on Overpass
TYLOO
13-3
vs Rare Atom
Apr 30
13-11
vs FaZe
Mar 20
11-13
vs FURIA
Mar 18
13-10
vs Lynn Vision
Feb 8
13-7
vs Rare Atom
Feb 7
Chinggis Warriors
13-8
vs Legion
Apr 26
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Mar 31
13-4
vs UR
Mar 28
21-25
vs The Huns
Feb 26
13-5
vs NEXVOID
Feb 26
Anubis
TYLO
13
–
8
CW
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
TYLO
CW
Ranking
TYLO
CW
T 5v4
TYLO
CW
Sniper Score
TYLO
CW
Days With Lineup Diff
TYLO
CW
Recent on Anubis
TYLOO
8-13
vs FlyQuest
Apr 4
Chinggis Warriors
no data