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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 South America Cup 4 · 2026-04-26
fake do biru
vs
lp
39%
61%
Series win probability
LP 2–0 35%
LP 2–1 27%
FDB 2–1 23%
FDB 2–0 15%
Model Insights
lp has a moderate edge at 61%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#104 vs #97), a strong dust2 (71% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 39% Dust2 · Inferno · Mirage
Scenario 2 37% Dust2 · Inferno · Nuke
Scenario 3 25% Dust2 · Inferno · Overpass
Dust2
FDB 10 – 13 LP
29%
71%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
FDB
LP
Round Win Rate
FDB
LP
After First Kill
FDB
LP
Map Player Rating
FDB
LP
After First Death
FDB
LP
Recent on Dust2
fake do biru
13-6 vs UNO MILLE Apr 25
13-4 vs paiN Academy Apr 24
7-13 vs ShindeN Apr 9
13-8 vs Keyd Stars Apr 9
13-3 vs MIBR Academy Apr 8
lp
13-6 vs Fake do Biru Apr 5
7-13 vs Fluxo Apr 3
12-16 vs Fake do Biru Apr 2
13-11 vs METANOIA Wolves Apr 1
8-13 vs Fluxo Apr 1
Inferno
FDB 16 – 14 LP
52%
48%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
FDB
LP
Round Win Rate
FDB
LP
Head-to-Head
FDB
LP
Map Player Rating
FDB
LP
CT Side
FDB
LP
Recent on Inferno
fake do biru
13-9 vs lp Apr 5
7-13 vs ODDIK Apr 3
3-13 vs LP Apr 2
6-13 vs 9z Apr 1
13-4 vs players Mar 30
lp
6-13 vs ShindeN Apr 6
9-13 vs Fake do Biru Apr 5
13-10 vs Crashers Apr 3
4-13 vs Fluxo Apr 3
13-5 vs MAGICOS Apr 2
Mirage
FDB 11 – 13 LP
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FDB
LP
After First Kill
FDB
LP
Head-to-Head
FDB
LP
Round Win Rate
FDB
LP
Star Player
FDB
LP
Recent on Mirage
fake do biru
8-13 vs Keyd Stars Apr 24
13-7 vs Keyd Stars Apr 9
13-5 vs paiN Academy Apr 7
13-6 vs UNO MILLE Apr 7
13-9 vs lp Apr 5
lp
5-13 vs Yawara Apr 24
4-13 vs ShindeN Apr 6
9-13 vs Fake do Biru Apr 5
11-13 vs Fake do Biru Apr 2
6-13 vs MIBR Academy Apr 1
Dust2
FDB 10 – 13 LP
29%
71%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
FDB
LP
Round Win Rate
FDB
LP
After First Kill
FDB
LP
Map Player Rating
FDB
LP
After First Death
FDB
LP
Recent on Dust2
fake do biru
13-6 vs UNO MILLE Apr 25
13-4 vs paiN Academy Apr 24
7-13 vs ShindeN Apr 9
13-8 vs Keyd Stars Apr 9
13-3 vs MIBR Academy Apr 8
lp
13-6 vs Fake do Biru Apr 5
7-13 vs Fluxo Apr 3
12-16 vs Fake do Biru Apr 2
13-11 vs METANOIA Wolves Apr 1
8-13 vs Fluxo Apr 1
Inferno
FDB 16 – 14 LP
52%
48%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
FDB
LP
Round Win Rate
FDB
LP
Head-to-Head
FDB
LP
Map Player Rating
FDB
LP
CT Side
FDB
LP
Recent on Inferno
fake do biru
13-9 vs lp Apr 5
7-13 vs ODDIK Apr 3
3-13 vs LP Apr 2
6-13 vs 9z Apr 1
13-4 vs players Mar 30
lp
6-13 vs ShindeN Apr 6
9-13 vs Fake do Biru Apr 5
13-10 vs Crashers Apr 3
4-13 vs Fluxo Apr 3
13-5 vs MAGICOS Apr 2
Nuke
FDB 7 – 13 LP
19%
81%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FDB
LP
Head-to-Head
FDB
LP
Round Win Rate
FDB
LP
After First Kill
FDB
LP
After First Death
FDB
LP
Recent on Nuke
fake do biru
5-13 vs ShindeN Apr 9
9-13 vs Keyd Stars Apr 9
13-6 vs MIBR Academy Apr 8
13-8 vs Keyd Stars Apr 3
2-13 vs 9z Apr 1
lp
13-9 vs METANOIA Wolves Apr 25
13-7 vs Crashers Apr 3
9-13 vs Fluxo Apr 1
13-2 vs MIBR Academy Apr 1
7-13 vs Keyd Stars Mar 31
Dust2
FDB 10 – 13 LP
29%
71%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
FDB
LP
Round Win Rate
FDB
LP
After First Kill
FDB
LP
Map Player Rating
FDB
LP
After First Death
FDB
LP
Recent on Dust2
fake do biru
13-6 vs UNO MILLE Apr 25
13-4 vs paiN Academy Apr 24
7-13 vs ShindeN Apr 9
13-8 vs Keyd Stars Apr 9
13-3 vs MIBR Academy Apr 8
lp
13-6 vs Fake do Biru Apr 5
7-13 vs Fluxo Apr 3
12-16 vs Fake do Biru Apr 2
13-11 vs METANOIA Wolves Apr 1
8-13 vs Fluxo Apr 1
Inferno
FDB 16 – 14 LP
52%
48%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
FDB
LP
Round Win Rate
FDB
LP
Head-to-Head
FDB
LP
Map Player Rating
FDB
LP
CT Side
FDB
LP
Recent on Inferno
fake do biru
13-9 vs lp Apr 5
7-13 vs ODDIK Apr 3
3-13 vs LP Apr 2
6-13 vs 9z Apr 1
13-4 vs players Mar 30
lp
6-13 vs ShindeN Apr 6
9-13 vs Fake do Biru Apr 5
13-10 vs Crashers Apr 3
4-13 vs Fluxo Apr 3
13-5 vs MAGICOS Apr 2
Overpass
FDB 6 – 13 LP
11%
89%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
FDB
LP
Map Player Rating
FDB
LP
After First Kill
FDB
LP
After First Death
FDB
LP
Round Win Rate
FDB
LP
Recent on Overpass
fake do biru
13-11 vs r2 Mar 22
16-14 vs 9z Mar 4
5-13 vs galorys Feb 17
13-4 vs Bad Luck Feb 10
14-16 vs 9z Feb 6
lp
13-8 vs Keyd Stars Mar 31
13-6 vs Back to Back Mar 25
13-4 vs Yawara Mar 3
0-13 vs paiN Academy Mar 2
13-11 vs Galorys Feb 15
Recent Results last 11 matches
fake do biru
lp
W 1-0 vs UNO MILLE Dust2 Apr 25 1d ago
L 0-1 vs Keyd Stars Mirage Apr 24 2d ago
W 1-0 vs paiN Academy Dust2 Apr 24 2d ago
L 0-2 vs ShindeN Dust2Nuke Apr 9 17d ago
W 2-1 vs Keyd Stars NukeDust2Mirage Apr 9 17d ago
W 2-0 vs MIBR Academy NukeDust2 Apr 8 18d ago
W 2-1 vs paiN Academy AnubisDust2Mirage Apr 7 19d ago
W 2-0 vs UNO MILLE Dust2Mirage Apr 7 19d ago
W 2-1 vs lp Dust2InfernoMirage Apr 5 21d ago
W 2-1 vs Keyd Stars MirageDust2Nuke Apr 3 23d ago
L 0-2 vs ODDIK InfernoAnubis Apr 3 23d ago
W 1-0 vs METANOIA Wolves Nuke Apr 25 1d ago
W 1-0 vs Crashers Ancient Apr 24 2d ago
L 0-1 vs Yawara Mirage Apr 24 2d ago
L 1-2 vs ShindeN AncientMirageInferno Apr 6 20d ago
L 1-2 vs Fake do Biru Dust2InfernoMirage Apr 5 21d ago
W 2-0 vs Crashers InfernoNuke Apr 3 23d ago
L 0-2 vs Fluxo InfernoDust2 Apr 3 23d ago
W 2-0 vs MAGICOS InfernoAncient Apr 2 24d ago
L 1-2 vs Fake do Biru InfernoDust2Mirage Apr 2 24d ago
W 2-0 vs METANOIA Wolves Dust2Ancient Apr 1 25d ago
L 1-2 vs Fluxo InfernoDust2Nuke Apr 1 25d ago
Player Matchups
fake do biru
Rating 3.0
lp
CK
ckzao
AWPADR 81.3KAST 74%
1.18 vs 1.15
AL
Alisson
AWPADR 79.2KAST 75%
TU
Tuurtle
RiflerADR 78.8KAST 76%
1.13 vs 1.11
ZM
zmb
RiflerADR 77.6KAST 74%
DE
detr0ittJ
AWPADR 74.9KAST 74%
1.13 vs 1.05
DI
divine
AWPADR 65.9KAST 76%
HA
hardzao
RiflerADR 73.0KAST 70%
1.00 vs 1.03
HA
happ
AWPADR 67.1KAST 75%
PK
PKL
AWPADR 69.1KAST 72%
0.94 vs 0.98
LE
Leomonster
AWPADR 73.3KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Overpass
FDB 6 – 13 LP
11%
89%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
FDB
LP
Map Player Rating
FDB
LP
After First Kill
FDB
LP
After First Death
FDB
LP
Round Win Rate
FDB
LP
Recent on Overpass
fake do biru
13-11 vs r2 Mar 22
16-14 vs 9z Mar 4
5-13 vs galorys Feb 17
13-4 vs Bad Luck Feb 10
14-16 vs 9z Feb 6
lp
13-8 vs Keyd Stars Mar 31
13-6 vs Back to Back Mar 25
13-4 vs Yawara Mar 3
0-13 vs paiN Academy Mar 2
13-11 vs Galorys Feb 15
Ancient
FDB 6 – 13 LP
14%
86%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FDB
LP
After First Kill
FDB
LP
Head-to-Head
FDB
LP
After First Death
FDB
LP
Round Win Rate
FDB
LP
Recent on Ancient
fake do biru
no data
lp
13-4 vs Crashers Apr 24
13-9 vs ShindeN Apr 6
13-8 vs MAGICOS Apr 2
13-7 vs METANOIA Wolves Apr 1
13-8 vs RED Canids Mar 28
Nuke
FDB 7 – 13 LP
19%
81%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FDB
LP
Head-to-Head
FDB
LP
Round Win Rate
FDB
LP
After First Kill
FDB
LP
After First Death
FDB
LP
Recent on Nuke
fake do biru
5-13 vs ShindeN Apr 9
9-13 vs Keyd Stars Apr 9
13-6 vs MIBR Academy Apr 8
13-8 vs Keyd Stars Apr 3
2-13 vs 9z Apr 1
lp
13-9 vs METANOIA Wolves Apr 25
13-7 vs Crashers Apr 3
9-13 vs Fluxo Apr 1
13-2 vs MIBR Academy Apr 1
7-13 vs Keyd Stars Mar 31
Anubis
FDB 13 – 10 LP
72%
28%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FDB
LP
After First Death
FDB
LP
After First Kill
FDB
LP
Round Win Rate
FDB
LP
Head-to-Head
FDB
LP
Recent on Anubis
fake do biru
9-13 vs paiN Academy Apr 7
8-13 vs ODDIK Apr 3
4-13 vs marsborne Feb 26
6-13 vs red canids Feb 25
10-13 vs Bad Luck Feb 10
lp
no data