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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 North America Cup 4 · 2026-04-26
f5
vs
chicken coop
5%
95%
Series win probability
CC 2–0 79%
CC 2–1 16%
F5 2–1 4%
F5 2–0 1%
Model Insights
chicken coop is strongly favored at 95%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.05 vs 0.97), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#194 vs #175), a strong nuke (90% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 46% Overpass · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 2 40% Overpass · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 3 15% Overpass · Nuke · Dust2
Overpass
F5 5 – 13 CC
12%
88%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
F5
CC
Head-to-Head
F5
CC
After First Death
F5
CC
After First Kill
F5
CC
Round Win Rate
F5
CC
Recent on Overpass
f5
8-13 vs incontrol Apr 9
13-5 vs incontrol Apr 5
16-13 vs Outfit 49 Apr 3
19-17 vs FarmVille Apr 2
5-13 vs Fisher College Mar 28
chicken coop
13-3 vs It's a Secret Apr 25
13-7 vs Aether Mar 23
9-13 vs Fisher College Mar 18
13-6 vs FarmVille Feb 15
16-13 vs InControl Feb 6
Nuke
F5 7 – 13 CC
10%
90%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
F5
CC
Head-to-Head
F5
CC
Rest Days Diff
F5
CC
Ranking
F5
CC
Map Win Rate
F5
CC
Recent on Nuke
f5
6-13 vs incontrol Apr 9
13-4 vs Outfit 49 Apr 3
7-13 vs Fisher College Mar 28
11-13 vs Fisher College Mar 16
12-16 vs Chicken Coop Feb 12
chicken coop
13-7 vs It's a Secret Apr 25
7-13 vs InControl Apr 25
3-13 vs incontrol Apr 25
13-10 vs SportsBetExpert Mar 27
13-11 vs Aether Mar 26
Ancient
F5 8 – 13 CC
18%
82%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
F5
CC
Map Player Rating
F5
CC
Rest Days Diff
F5
CC
Ranking
F5
CC
Opening Score
F5
CC
Recent on Ancient
f5
14-16 vs Voca Mar 28
13-4 vs FRZ Mar 28
13-10 vs FRZ Mar 28
13-6 vs Wanted Goons Mar 23
7-13 vs Fisher College Feb 17
chicken coop
6-13 vs SportsBetExpert Mar 25
13-6 vs OverKnight Mar 21
13-11 vs Outfit 49 Mar 20
9-13 vs Fisher College Mar 18
Overpass
F5 5 – 13 CC
12%
88%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
F5
CC
Head-to-Head
F5
CC
After First Death
F5
CC
After First Kill
F5
CC
Round Win Rate
F5
CC
Recent on Overpass
f5
8-13 vs incontrol Apr 9
13-5 vs incontrol Apr 5
16-13 vs Outfit 49 Apr 3
19-17 vs FarmVille Apr 2
5-13 vs Fisher College Mar 28
chicken coop
13-3 vs It's a Secret Apr 25
13-7 vs Aether Mar 23
9-13 vs Fisher College Mar 18
13-6 vs FarmVille Feb 15
16-13 vs InControl Feb 6
Nuke
F5 7 – 13 CC
10%
90%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
F5
CC
Head-to-Head
F5
CC
Rest Days Diff
F5
CC
Ranking
F5
CC
Map Win Rate
F5
CC
Recent on Nuke
f5
6-13 vs incontrol Apr 9
13-4 vs Outfit 49 Apr 3
7-13 vs Fisher College Mar 28
11-13 vs Fisher College Mar 16
12-16 vs Chicken Coop Feb 12
chicken coop
13-7 vs It's a Secret Apr 25
7-13 vs InControl Apr 25
3-13 vs incontrol Apr 25
13-10 vs SportsBetExpert Mar 27
13-11 vs Aether Mar 26
Inferno
F5 6 – 13 CC
14%
86%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
F5
CC
Map Player Rating
F5
CC
After First Death
F5
CC
Round Win Rate
F5
CC
After First Kill
F5
CC
Recent on Inferno
f5
13-7 vs incontrol Apr 5
13-10 vs FRZ Mar 28
11-13 vs FRZ Mar 28
4-13 vs regain Mar 20
5-13 vs Chicken Coop Feb 12
chicken coop
13-6 vs incontrol Apr 25
13-10 vs Aether Mar 26
6-13 vs Aether Mar 23
5-13 vs LAG Mar 10
13-6 vs SportsBetExpert Mar 8
Overpass
F5 5 – 13 CC
12%
88%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
F5
CC
Head-to-Head
F5
CC
After First Death
F5
CC
After First Kill
F5
CC
Round Win Rate
F5
CC
Recent on Overpass
f5
8-13 vs incontrol Apr 9
13-5 vs incontrol Apr 5
16-13 vs Outfit 49 Apr 3
19-17 vs FarmVille Apr 2
5-13 vs Fisher College Mar 28
chicken coop
13-3 vs It's a Secret Apr 25
13-7 vs Aether Mar 23
9-13 vs Fisher College Mar 18
13-6 vs FarmVille Feb 15
16-13 vs InControl Feb 6
Nuke
F5 7 – 13 CC
10%
90%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
F5
CC
Head-to-Head
F5
CC
Rest Days Diff
F5
CC
Ranking
F5
CC
Map Win Rate
F5
CC
Recent on Nuke
f5
6-13 vs incontrol Apr 9
13-4 vs Outfit 49 Apr 3
7-13 vs Fisher College Mar 28
11-13 vs Fisher College Mar 16
12-16 vs Chicken Coop Feb 12
chicken coop
13-7 vs It's a Secret Apr 25
7-13 vs InControl Apr 25
3-13 vs incontrol Apr 25
13-10 vs SportsBetExpert Mar 27
13-11 vs Aether Mar 26
Dust2
F5 13 – 10 CC
54%
46%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
F5
CC
After First Kill
F5
CC
T Side
F5
CC
Rest Days Diff
F5
CC
Map Win Rate
F5
CC
Recent on Dust2
f5
7-13 vs LAG Mar 24
6-13 vs OverKnight Mar 22
11-13 vs Outfit 49 Feb 5
chicken coop
1-13 vs It's a Secret Apr 25
10-13 vs InControl Apr 25
13-8 vs incontrol Apr 25
2-13 vs SportsBetExpert Mar 25
9-13 vs OverKnight Mar 21
Recent Results last 11 matches
f5
chicken coop
L 1-2 vs incontrol MirageOverpassNuke Apr 9 17d ago
W 2-0 vs incontrol OverpassInferno Apr 5 21d ago
W 2-0 vs Outfit 49 OverpassNuke Apr 3 23d ago
W 2-0 vs FarmVille MirageOverpass Apr 2 24d ago
L 0-2 vs Voca AncientMirage Mar 28 29d ago
W 2-0 vs FRZ InfernoAncient Mar 28 29d ago
L 0-2 vs Fisher College OverpassNuke Mar 28 29d ago
W 2-1 vs FRZ InfernoAncientMirage Mar 28 29d ago
L 0-2 vs LAG MirageDust2 Mar 24 33d ago
W 2-1 vs Wanted Goons AncientOverpassMirage Mar 23 34d ago
W 2-1 vs OverKnight OverpassDust2Mirage Mar 22 35d ago
W 2-1 vs It's a Secret Dust2NukeOverpass Apr 25 1d ago
L 0-2 vs InControl NukeDust2 Apr 25 1d ago
W 2-1 vs incontrol NukeInfernoDust2 Apr 25 1d ago
W 2-0 vs SportsBetExpert NukeMirage Mar 27 30d ago
W 2-0 vs Aether NukeInferno Mar 26 31d ago
L 0-2 vs SportsBetExpert AncientDust2 Mar 25 32d ago
W 2-1 vs Aether NukeInfernoOverpass Mar 23 34d ago
W 2-1 vs OverKnight NukeDust2Ancient Mar 21 36d ago
W 2-0 vs Outfit 49 AncientNuke Mar 20 37d ago
L 0-2 vs Fisher College OverpassAncient Mar 18 39d ago
L 0-2 vs LAG NukeInferno Mar 10 47d ago
Player Matchups
f5
Rating 3.0
chicken coop
CM
cmrn
AWPADR 78.3KAST 73%
1.12 vs 1.15
CR
Crisp
AWPADR 77.6KAST 75%
BO
bones
AWPADR 69.7KAST 69%
1.02 vs 1.14
RE
REKMEISTER
AWPADR 81.9KAST 74%
NE
neight
RiflerADR 74.8KAST 69%
1.01 vs 1.09
DR
Drop
RiflerADR 81.0KAST 71%
KE
Kermi
RiflerADR 73.5KAST 68%
0.98 vs 0.96
JA
jared
AWPADR 69.6KAST 69%
SI
Signal
AWPADR 63.0KAST 67%
0.88 vs 0.90
MD
mds
RiflerADR 64.1KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Mirage
F5 7 – 13 CC
8%
92%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
F5
CC
Map Player Rating
F5
CC
Ban Rate
F5
CC
Round Win Rate
F5
CC
After First Kill
F5
CC
Recent on Mirage
f5
13-11 vs incontrol Apr 9
13-7 vs FarmVille Apr 2
1-13 vs Voca Mar 28
13-10 vs FRZ Mar 28
7-13 vs LAG Mar 24
chicken coop
13-10 vs SportsBetExpert Mar 27
Inferno
F5 6 – 13 CC
14%
86%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
F5
CC
Map Player Rating
F5
CC
After First Death
F5
CC
Round Win Rate
F5
CC
After First Kill
F5
CC
Recent on Inferno
f5
13-7 vs incontrol Apr 5
13-10 vs FRZ Mar 28
11-13 vs FRZ Mar 28
4-13 vs regain Mar 20
5-13 vs Chicken Coop Feb 12
chicken coop
13-6 vs incontrol Apr 25
13-10 vs Aether Mar 26
6-13 vs Aether Mar 23
5-13 vs LAG Mar 10
13-6 vs SportsBetExpert Mar 8
Anubis
F5 9 – 13 CC
34%
66%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
F5
CC
Opening Score
F5
CC
Ranking
F5
CC
Rest Days Diff
F5
CC
Sniper Score
F5
CC
Recent on Anubis
f5
no data
chicken coop
no data
Dust2
F5 13 – 10 CC
54%
46%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
F5
CC
After First Kill
F5
CC
T Side
F5
CC
Rest Days Diff
F5
CC
Map Win Rate
F5
CC
Recent on Dust2
f5
7-13 vs LAG Mar 24
6-13 vs OverKnight Mar 22
11-13 vs Outfit 49 Feb 5
chicken coop
1-13 vs It's a Secret Apr 25
10-13 vs InControl Apr 25
13-8 vs incontrol Apr 25
2-13 vs SportsBetExpert Mar 25
9-13 vs OverKnight Mar 21