Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 North America Cup 4
· 2026-04-26
regain
vs
fisher college
58%
42%
Series win probability
REGA
2–0
41%
FC
2–1
31%
REGA
2–1
17%
FC
2–0
11%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — regain is slightly favored at 58% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#173 vs #105), a strong inferno (75% win probability). fisher college's best shot is mirage where they hold a 65% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
56%
Inferno · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 2
30%
Inferno · Ancient · Anubis
Scenario 3
14%
Inferno · Ancient · Overpass
Inferno
REGA
13
–
7
FC
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REGA
FC
After First Death
REGA
FC
Ranking
REGA
FC
Round Win Rate
REGA
FC
Pick Rate
REGA
FC
Recent on Inferno
regain
16-13
vs EMPIRE
Apr 15
10-13
vs incontrol
Apr 8
16-19
vs farmville
Apr 8
13-5
vs Zomblers
Apr 5
13-3
vs TSG
Apr 3
fisher college
13-10
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
5-13
vs LAG
Apr 3
11-13
vs FarmVille
Apr 3
13-8
vs BOSS
Apr 2
6-13
vs FarmVille
Apr 1
Ancient
REGA
13
–
11
FC
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REGA
FC
Ranking
REGA
FC
After First Kill
REGA
FC
After First Death
REGA
FC
Sniper Score
REGA
FC
Recent on Ancient
regain
13-10
vs ClayMakers
Apr 19
17-19
vs Akimbo
Apr 18
8-13
vs voca
Apr 13
13-10
vs farmville
Apr 8
13-6
vs FlyQuest RED
Apr 2
fisher college
13-3
vs NuTorious
Apr 25
10-13
vs LAG
Apr 3
13-11
vs FarmVille
Apr 3
11-13
vs FarmVille
Apr 1
4-13
vs Voca
Mar 29
Mirage
REGA
9
–
13
FC
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
REGA
FC
After First Death
REGA
FC
Round Win Rate
REGA
FC
Map Player Rating
REGA
FC
Sniper Score
REGA
FC
Recent on Mirage
regain
12-16
vs Akimbo
Apr 18
13-6
vs Zomblers
Apr 12
7-13
vs incontrol
Apr 8
13-4
vs Zomblers
Apr 5
13-8
vs TSG
Apr 3
fisher college
16-13
vs LAG
Apr 3
13-11
vs FarmVille
Apr 3
13-0
vs BA 2
Apr 2
7-13
vs Voca
Mar 29
13-11
vs InControl
Mar 28
Inferno
REGA
13
–
7
FC
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REGA
FC
After First Death
REGA
FC
Ranking
REGA
FC
Round Win Rate
REGA
FC
Pick Rate
REGA
FC
Recent on Inferno
regain
16-13
vs EMPIRE
Apr 15
10-13
vs incontrol
Apr 8
16-19
vs farmville
Apr 8
13-5
vs Zomblers
Apr 5
13-3
vs TSG
Apr 3
fisher college
13-10
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
5-13
vs LAG
Apr 3
11-13
vs FarmVille
Apr 3
13-8
vs BOSS
Apr 2
6-13
vs FarmVille
Apr 1
Ancient
REGA
13
–
11
FC
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REGA
FC
Ranking
REGA
FC
After First Kill
REGA
FC
After First Death
REGA
FC
Sniper Score
REGA
FC
Recent on Ancient
regain
13-10
vs ClayMakers
Apr 19
17-19
vs Akimbo
Apr 18
8-13
vs voca
Apr 13
13-10
vs farmville
Apr 8
13-6
vs FlyQuest RED
Apr 2
fisher college
13-3
vs NuTorious
Apr 25
10-13
vs LAG
Apr 3
13-11
vs FarmVille
Apr 3
11-13
vs FarmVille
Apr 1
4-13
vs Voca
Mar 29
Anubis
REGA
10
–
13
FC
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
REGA
FC
Ranking
REGA
FC
Round Win Rate
REGA
FC
Schedule Strength
REGA
FC
Opening Score
REGA
FC
Recent on Anubis
regain
13-9
vs ClayMakers
Apr 19
13-10
vs farmville
Apr 8
9-13
vs Aether
Apr 3
13-2
vs Outfit 49
Feb 12
13-8
vs Blitzkrieg
Feb 2
fisher college
13-11
vs LAG
Apr 3
13-10
vs Aura
Mar 28
13-10
vs FarmVille
Mar 27
10-13
vs 1WIN NA
Feb 8
Inferno
REGA
13
–
7
FC
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REGA
FC
After First Death
REGA
FC
Ranking
REGA
FC
Round Win Rate
REGA
FC
Pick Rate
REGA
FC
Recent on Inferno
regain
16-13
vs EMPIRE
Apr 15
10-13
vs incontrol
Apr 8
16-19
vs farmville
Apr 8
13-5
vs Zomblers
Apr 5
13-3
vs TSG
Apr 3
fisher college
13-10
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
5-13
vs LAG
Apr 3
11-13
vs FarmVille
Apr 3
13-8
vs BOSS
Apr 2
6-13
vs FarmVille
Apr 1
Ancient
REGA
13
–
11
FC
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REGA
FC
Ranking
REGA
FC
After First Kill
REGA
FC
After First Death
REGA
FC
Sniper Score
REGA
FC
Recent on Ancient
regain
13-10
vs ClayMakers
Apr 19
17-19
vs Akimbo
Apr 18
8-13
vs voca
Apr 13
13-10
vs farmville
Apr 8
13-6
vs FlyQuest RED
Apr 2
fisher college
13-3
vs NuTorious
Apr 25
10-13
vs LAG
Apr 3
13-11
vs FarmVille
Apr 3
11-13
vs FarmVille
Apr 1
4-13
vs Voca
Mar 29
Overpass
REGA
11
–
13
FC
43%
57%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REGA
FC
After First Kill
REGA
FC
Round Win Rate
REGA
FC
Ranking
REGA
FC
After First Death
REGA
FC
Recent on Overpass
regain
13-3
vs F5
Mar 20
13-6
vs mouse
Feb 2
fisher college
13-4
vs LAG
Apr 3
8-13
vs Voca
Mar 29
13-5
vs F5
Mar 28
13-9
vs Chicken Coop
Mar 18
13-5
vs F5
Mar 16
Recent Results
last 11 matches
regain
fisher college
W
2-0
vs ClayMakers
AnubisAncient
Apr 19
7d ago
L
0-2
vs Akimbo
MirageAncient
Apr 18
8d ago
W
2-0
vs EMPIRE
InfernoDust2
Apr 15
11d ago
L
0-2
vs voca
AncientDust2
Apr 13
13d ago
W
2-0
vs Zomblers
Dust2Mirage
Apr 12
14d ago
L
0-2
vs incontrol
MirageInferno
Apr 8
18d ago
W
2-1
vs farmville
InfernoAncientAnubis
Apr 8
18d ago
W
2-1
vs Zomblers
InfernoDust2Mirage
Apr 5
21d ago
W
2-0
vs TSG
MirageInferno
Apr 3
23d ago
W
2-1
vs Aether
InfernoAnubisMirage
Apr 3
23d ago
L
0-2
vs BOSS
Dust2Inferno
Apr 2
24d ago
W
2-0
vs Passion UA
NukeInferno
Apr 25
1d ago
W
2-0
vs NuTorious
AncientNuke
Apr 25
1d ago
W
3-2
vs LAG
AncientInfernoAnubisMirageOverpass
Apr 3
23d ago
W
2-1
vs FarmVille
AncientInfernoMirage
Apr 3
23d ago
W
2-0
vs BA 2
NukeMirage
Apr 2
24d ago
W
2-0
vs BOSS
NukeInferno
Apr 2
24d ago
L
0-2
vs FarmVille
AncientInferno
Apr 1
25d ago
W
2-0
vs Zomblers
InfernoNuke
Mar 31
26d ago
L
1-3
vs Voca
NukeMirageAncientOverpass
Mar 29
28d ago
W
2-0
vs LAG
AncientInferno
Mar 29
28d ago
W
2-0
vs InControl
NukeMirage
Mar 28
29d ago
Player Matchups
regain
Rating 3.0
fisher college
FU
fuzenko
RiflerADR 79.9KAST 77%
AL
AlekS
RiflerADR 82.5KAST 74%
ZU
Zucar
AWPADR 84.0KAST 75%
CR
CrePoW
RiflerADR 91.0KAST 74%
DV
dvrk
AWPADR 77.8KAST 74%
TH
TH0R
AWPADR 72.4KAST 74%
SA
sasha
AWPADR 63.8KAST 72%
CO
corn
AWPADR 68.0KAST 75%
RE
ReFuZR
AWPADR 68.9KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Dust2
REGA
13
–
10
FC
73%
27%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REGA
FC
After First Death
REGA
FC
Ranking
REGA
FC
After First Kill
REGA
FC
Star Player
REGA
FC
Recent on Dust2
regain
16-13
vs EMPIRE
Apr 15
6-13
vs voca
Apr 13
13-8
vs Zomblers
Apr 12
21-25
vs Zomblers
Apr 5
2-13
vs BOSS
Apr 2
fisher college
no data
Anubis
REGA
10
–
13
FC
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
REGA
FC
Ranking
REGA
FC
Round Win Rate
REGA
FC
Schedule Strength
REGA
FC
Opening Score
REGA
FC
Recent on Anubis
regain
13-9
vs ClayMakers
Apr 19
13-10
vs farmville
Apr 8
9-13
vs Aether
Apr 3
13-2
vs Outfit 49
Feb 12
13-8
vs Blitzkrieg
Feb 2
fisher college
13-11
vs LAG
Apr 3
13-10
vs Aura
Mar 28
13-10
vs FarmVille
Mar 27
10-13
vs 1WIN NA
Feb 8
Overpass
REGA
11
–
13
FC
43%
57%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
REGA
FC
After First Kill
REGA
FC
Round Win Rate
REGA
FC
Ranking
REGA
FC
After First Death
REGA
FC
Recent on Overpass
regain
13-3
vs F5
Mar 20
13-6
vs mouse
Feb 2
fisher college
13-4
vs LAG
Apr 3
8-13
vs Voca
Mar 29
13-5
vs F5
Mar 28
13-9
vs Chicken Coop
Mar 18
13-5
vs F5
Mar 16