Project Leggy
‹ Back
Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 North America Cup 4 · 2026-04-26
empire
vs
aether
50%
50%
Series win probability
AETH 2–0 36%
EMPI 2–1 35%
EMPI 2–0 16%
AETH 2–1 13%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — empire is slightly favored at 50% but only leads on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#210 vs #189), a strong anubis (72% win probability). aether's best shot is nuke where they hold a 63% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 36% Nuke · Inferno · Anubis
Scenario 2 35% Nuke · Anubis · Overpass
Scenario 3 29% Nuke · Anubis · Mirage
Nuke
EMPI 9 – 13 AETH
37%
63%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EMPI
AETH
After First Death
EMPI
AETH
Round Win Rate
EMPI
AETH
Head-to-Head
EMPI
AETH
After First Kill
EMPI
AETH
Recent on Nuke
empire
10-13 vs Foxtrot Apr 25
6-13 vs Zomblers Apr 2
3-13 vs Wanted Goons Mar 28
13-10 vs Wanted Goons Mar 28
14-16 vs Zomblers Mar 18
aether
16-13 vs LAG Apr 11
13-11 vs InControl Mar 31
11-13 vs Chicken Coop Mar 26
11-13 vs Outfit 49 Mar 24
20-22 vs Chicken Coop Mar 23
Inferno
EMPI 10 – 13 AETH
42%
58%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
EMPI
AETH
Map Player Rating
EMPI
AETH
Round Win Rate
EMPI
AETH
Map Win Rate
EMPI
AETH
Ranking
EMPI
AETH
Recent on Inferno
empire
10-13 vs LAG Apr 25
13-16 vs regain Apr 15
19-16 vs farmville Apr 7
13-6 vs Zomblers Apr 2
9-13 vs LAG Apr 1
aether
6-13 vs regain Apr 3
10-13 vs Chicken Coop Mar 26
13-6 vs Chicken Coop Mar 23
13-5 vs Reign Above Mar 20
13-10 vs Sakura Feb 27
Anubis
EMPI 13 – 10 AETH
72%
28%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
EMPI
AETH
Head-to-Head
EMPI
AETH
After First Death
EMPI
AETH
Opening Score
EMPI
AETH
Map Win Rate
EMPI
AETH
Recent on Anubis
empire
13-9 vs aether Apr 12
2-13 vs farmville Apr 7
13-9 vs LAG Apr 1
13-11 vs SportsBetExpert Mar 14
aether
13-10 vs insane players Apr 14
11-13 vs Marsborne Apr 13
9-13 vs EMPIRE Apr 12
13-9 vs regain Apr 3
14-16 vs InControl Mar 31
Nuke
EMPI 9 – 13 AETH
37%
63%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EMPI
AETH
After First Death
EMPI
AETH
Round Win Rate
EMPI
AETH
Head-to-Head
EMPI
AETH
After First Kill
EMPI
AETH
Recent on Nuke
empire
10-13 vs Foxtrot Apr 25
6-13 vs Zomblers Apr 2
3-13 vs Wanted Goons Mar 28
13-10 vs Wanted Goons Mar 28
14-16 vs Zomblers Mar 18
aether
16-13 vs LAG Apr 11
13-11 vs InControl Mar 31
11-13 vs Chicken Coop Mar 26
11-13 vs Outfit 49 Mar 24
20-22 vs Chicken Coop Mar 23
Anubis
EMPI 13 – 10 AETH
72%
28%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
EMPI
AETH
Head-to-Head
EMPI
AETH
After First Death
EMPI
AETH
Opening Score
EMPI
AETH
Map Win Rate
EMPI
AETH
Recent on Anubis
empire
13-9 vs aether Apr 12
2-13 vs farmville Apr 7
13-9 vs LAG Apr 1
13-11 vs SportsBetExpert Mar 14
aether
13-10 vs insane players Apr 14
11-13 vs Marsborne Apr 13
9-13 vs EMPIRE Apr 12
13-9 vs regain Apr 3
14-16 vs InControl Mar 31
Overpass
EMPI 16 – 14 AETH
52%
48%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
EMPI
AETH
Head-to-Head
EMPI
AETH
Round Win Rate
EMPI
AETH
CT 4v5
EMPI
AETH
Opening Kills
EMPI
AETH
Recent on Overpass
empire
19-17 vs Foxtrot Apr 25
4-13 vs aether Apr 12
13-10 vs LAG Apr 1
8-13 vs LAG Mar 28
13-9 vs Zomblers Mar 18
aether
10-13 vs Marsborne Apr 13
13-4 vs EMPIRE Apr 12
7-13 vs Chicken Coop Mar 23
13-4 vs Reign Above Mar 20
13-11 vs FarmVille Feb 12
Nuke
EMPI 9 – 13 AETH
37%
63%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EMPI
AETH
After First Death
EMPI
AETH
Round Win Rate
EMPI
AETH
Head-to-Head
EMPI
AETH
After First Kill
EMPI
AETH
Recent on Nuke
empire
10-13 vs Foxtrot Apr 25
6-13 vs Zomblers Apr 2
3-13 vs Wanted Goons Mar 28
13-10 vs Wanted Goons Mar 28
14-16 vs Zomblers Mar 18
aether
16-13 vs LAG Apr 11
13-11 vs InControl Mar 31
11-13 vs Chicken Coop Mar 26
11-13 vs Outfit 49 Mar 24
20-22 vs Chicken Coop Mar 23
Anubis
EMPI 13 – 10 AETH
72%
28%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
EMPI
AETH
Head-to-Head
EMPI
AETH
After First Death
EMPI
AETH
Opening Score
EMPI
AETH
Map Win Rate
EMPI
AETH
Recent on Anubis
empire
13-9 vs aether Apr 12
2-13 vs farmville Apr 7
13-9 vs LAG Apr 1
13-11 vs SportsBetExpert Mar 14
aether
13-10 vs insane players Apr 14
11-13 vs Marsborne Apr 13
9-13 vs EMPIRE Apr 12
13-9 vs regain Apr 3
14-16 vs InControl Mar 31
Mirage
EMPI 16 – 14 AETH
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EMPI
AETH
Head-to-Head
EMPI
AETH
Round Win Rate
EMPI
AETH
Ranking
EMPI
AETH
Opening Duels
EMPI
AETH
Recent on Mirage
empire
13-6 vs LAG Apr 25
13-5 vs Wanted Goons Mar 28
13-11 vs Wanted Goons Mar 16
8-13 vs SportsBetExpert Mar 14
aether
10-13 vs insane players Apr 14
3-13 vs regain Apr 3
13-7 vs InControl Mar 31
13-9 vs Outfit 49 Mar 24
13-11 vs Zomblers Mar 21
Recent Results last 11 matches
empire
aether
W 2-1 vs Foxtrot Dust2NukeOverpass Apr 25 1d ago
L 1-2 vs LAG MirageInfernoDust2 Apr 25 1d ago
L 0-2 vs regain InfernoDust2 Apr 15 11d ago
W 2-1 vs aether OverpassAnubisDust2 Apr 12 14d ago
L 1-2 vs farmville Dust2InfernoAnubis Apr 7 19d ago
L 1-2 vs Zomblers NukeInfernoDust2 Apr 2 24d ago
W 2-1 vs LAG InfernoAnubisOverpass Apr 1 25d ago
L 0-2 vs Wanted Goons Dust2Nuke Mar 28 29d ago
L 0-2 vs LAG OverpassInferno Mar 28 29d ago
W 2-0 vs Wanted Goons NukeMirage Mar 28 29d ago
W 2-1 vs Zomblers NukeDust2Overpass Mar 18 39d ago
L 1-2 vs insane players MirageAnubisAncient Apr 14 12d ago
L 0-2 vs Marsborne AnubisOverpass Apr 13 13d ago
L 1-2 vs EMPIRE OverpassAnubisDust2 Apr 12 14d ago
W 2-0 vs LAG AncientNuke Apr 11 15d ago
L 1-2 vs regain InfernoAnubisMirage Apr 3 23d ago
W 2-1 vs InControl AnubisMirageNuke Mar 31 26d ago
L 0-2 vs Chicken Coop NukeInferno Mar 26 31d ago
W 2-1 vs Outfit 49 NukeAnubisMirage Mar 24 33d ago
L 1-2 vs Chicken Coop NukeInfernoOverpass Mar 23 34d ago
W 2-0 vs Zomblers MirageNuke Mar 21 36d ago
W 2-0 vs Reign Above InfernoOverpass Mar 20 37d ago
Player Matchups
empire
Rating 3.0
aether
KM
KmZ
RiflerADR 91.4KAST 74%
1.28 vs 1.19
H0
H0NeST
AWPADR 93.7KAST 74%
C0
C0C0
AWPADR 77.0KAST 72%
1.18 vs 1.11
AN
Andrew
AWPADR 72.3KAST 74%
BA
BAGEL
AWPADR 75.9KAST 70%
1.01 vs 1.09
BR
brett
AWPADR 85.0KAST 71%
NO
no1nx
AWPADR 61.9KAST 69%
0.91 vs 1.01
XA
xaler
AWPADR 69.3KAST 72%
TW
twigs
AWPADR 58.5KAST 69%
0.87 vs —
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Dust2
EMPI 13 – 7 AETH
86%
14%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EMPI
AETH
After First Death
EMPI
AETH
Head-to-Head
EMPI
AETH
After First Kill
EMPI
AETH
Ranking
EMPI
AETH
Recent on Dust2
empire
13-3 vs Foxtrot Apr 25
4-13 vs LAG Apr 25
13-16 vs regain Apr 15
13-1 vs aether Apr 12
6-13 vs farmville Apr 7
aether
1-13 vs EMPIRE Apr 12
Ancient
EMPI 8 – 13 AETH
18%
82%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EMPI
AETH
Head-to-Head
EMPI
AETH
After First Kill
EMPI
AETH
After First Death
EMPI
AETH
Star Player
EMPI
AETH
Recent on Ancient
empire
no data
aether
10-13 vs insane players Apr 14
16-13 vs LAG Apr 11
6-13 vs Zomblers Feb 10
13-6 vs Outfit 49 Feb 2
Overpass
EMPI 16 – 14 AETH
52%
48%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
EMPI
AETH
Head-to-Head
EMPI
AETH
Round Win Rate
EMPI
AETH
CT 4v5
EMPI
AETH
Opening Kills
EMPI
AETH
Recent on Overpass
empire
19-17 vs Foxtrot Apr 25
4-13 vs aether Apr 12
13-10 vs LAG Apr 1
8-13 vs LAG Mar 28
13-9 vs Zomblers Mar 18
aether
10-13 vs Marsborne Apr 13
13-4 vs EMPIRE Apr 12
7-13 vs Chicken Coop Mar 23
13-4 vs Reign Above Mar 20
13-11 vs FarmVille Feb 12
Mirage
EMPI 16 – 14 AETH
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EMPI
AETH
Head-to-Head
EMPI
AETH
Round Win Rate
EMPI
AETH
Ranking
EMPI
AETH
Opening Duels
EMPI
AETH
Recent on Mirage
empire
13-6 vs LAG Apr 25
13-5 vs Wanted Goons Mar 28
13-11 vs Wanted Goons Mar 16
8-13 vs SportsBetExpert Mar 14
aether
10-13 vs insane players Apr 14
3-13 vs regain Apr 3
13-7 vs InControl Mar 31
13-9 vs Outfit 49 Mar 24
13-11 vs Zomblers Mar 21