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Bo3  ·  XP Game Fest 2026 · 2026-04-25
megoshort
vs
basement boys
28%
72%
Series win probability
BB 2–0 41%
BB 2–1 32%
MEGO 2–1 15%
MEGO 2–0 13%
Model Insights
basement boys is strongly favored at 72%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#185 vs #158), a strong dust2 (74% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 43% Ancient · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 2 38% Ancient · Dust2 · Inferno
Scenario 3 19% Ancient · Dust2 · Anubis
Ancient
MEGO 10 – 13 BB
41%
59%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MEGO
BB
After First Kill
MEGO
BB
Utility Score
MEGO
BB
Ranking
MEGO
BB
T Side
MEGO
BB
Recent on Ancient
megoshort
3-13 vs Lavked Apr 9
13-11 vs TNC Apr 4
5-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 2
19-16 vs OlyBet Mar 29
13-7 vs CSDIILIT Mar 28
basement boys
10-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
13-3 vs Partizan Mar 29
5-13 vs bond1e Mar 26
14-16 vs Tricked Mar 24
7-13 vs BESTIA Mar 24
Dust2
MEGO 8 – 13 BB
31%
69%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MEGO
BB
Map Win Rate
MEGO
BB
After First Death
MEGO
BB
Utility Score
MEGO
BB
After First Kill
MEGO
BB
Recent on Dust2
megoshort
6-13 vs Ursa Apr 2
19-22 vs ASTRAL Apr 2
7-13 vs Ursa Mar 31
8-13 vs Leo Mar 30
10-13 vs OlyBet Mar 29
basement boys
13-16 vs aimclub Apr 24
6-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
3-13 vs M80 Mar 30
13-8 vs Qual4 Mar 28
7-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 5
Mirage
MEGO 10 – 13 BB
32%
68%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MEGO
BB
Utility Score
MEGO
BB
After First Death
MEGO
BB
Map Win Rate
MEGO
BB
T Side
MEGO
BB
Recent on Mirage
megoshort
6-13 vs Lavked Apr 9
13-10 vs TNC Apr 4
13-10 vs ASTRAL Apr 2
13-5 vs Omega Mar 26
7-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 24
basement boys
8-13 vs aimclub Apr 24
13-16 vs Atreides Apr 22
10-13 vs MASONIC Mar 4
13-8 vs CSDIILIT Feb 25
10-13 vs AM Feb 20
Ancient
MEGO 10 – 13 BB
41%
59%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MEGO
BB
After First Kill
MEGO
BB
Utility Score
MEGO
BB
Ranking
MEGO
BB
T Side
MEGO
BB
Recent on Ancient
megoshort
3-13 vs Lavked Apr 9
13-11 vs TNC Apr 4
5-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 2
19-16 vs OlyBet Mar 29
13-7 vs CSDIILIT Mar 28
basement boys
10-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
13-3 vs Partizan Mar 29
5-13 vs bond1e Mar 26
14-16 vs Tricked Mar 24
7-13 vs BESTIA Mar 24
Dust2
MEGO 8 – 13 BB
31%
69%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MEGO
BB
Map Win Rate
MEGO
BB
After First Death
MEGO
BB
Utility Score
MEGO
BB
After First Kill
MEGO
BB
Recent on Dust2
megoshort
6-13 vs Ursa Apr 2
19-22 vs ASTRAL Apr 2
7-13 vs Ursa Mar 31
8-13 vs Leo Mar 30
10-13 vs OlyBet Mar 29
basement boys
13-16 vs aimclub Apr 24
6-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
3-13 vs M80 Mar 30
13-8 vs Qual4 Mar 28
7-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 5
Inferno
MEGO 13 – 10 BB
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
MEGO
BB
Map Player Rating
MEGO
BB
Utility Score
MEGO
BB
After First Death
MEGO
BB
Round Win Rate
MEGO
BB
Recent on Inferno
megoshort
13-16 vs Ursa Apr 2
3-13 vs Leo Mar 30
13-10 vs OlyBet Mar 29
13-10 vs CSDIILIT Mar 28
13-10 vs WW Mar 28
basement boys
13-8 vs aimclub Apr 24
13-8 vs Atreides Apr 22
9-13 vs M80 Mar 30
4-13 vs UNiTY Mar 29
6-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 6
Ancient
MEGO 10 – 13 BB
41%
59%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MEGO
BB
After First Kill
MEGO
BB
Utility Score
MEGO
BB
Ranking
MEGO
BB
T Side
MEGO
BB
Recent on Ancient
megoshort
3-13 vs Lavked Apr 9
13-11 vs TNC Apr 4
5-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 2
19-16 vs OlyBet Mar 29
13-7 vs CSDIILIT Mar 28
basement boys
10-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
13-3 vs Partizan Mar 29
5-13 vs bond1e Mar 26
14-16 vs Tricked Mar 24
7-13 vs BESTIA Mar 24
Dust2
MEGO 8 – 13 BB
31%
69%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MEGO
BB
Map Win Rate
MEGO
BB
After First Death
MEGO
BB
Utility Score
MEGO
BB
After First Kill
MEGO
BB
Recent on Dust2
megoshort
6-13 vs Ursa Apr 2
19-22 vs ASTRAL Apr 2
7-13 vs Ursa Mar 31
8-13 vs Leo Mar 30
10-13 vs OlyBet Mar 29
basement boys
13-16 vs aimclub Apr 24
6-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
3-13 vs M80 Mar 30
13-8 vs Qual4 Mar 28
7-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 5
Anubis
MEGO 7 – 13 BB
13%
87%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MEGO
BB
After First Kill
MEGO
BB
After First Death
MEGO
BB
Utility Score
MEGO
BB
Map Win Rate
MEGO
BB
Recent on Anubis
megoshort
8-13 vs MINLATE Mar 24
13-9 vs MOUZ NXT Mar 12
16-19 vs ex-GANK Mar 11
basement boys
13-11 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
11-13 vs UNiTY Mar 29
13-8 vs Nexus Mar 29
13-8 vs Tricked Mar 24
6-13 vs ASTRAL Feb 22
Recent Results last 11 matches
megoshort
basement boys
L 0-2 vs Lavked AncientMirage Apr 9 17d ago
W 2-0 vs TNC MirageAncient Apr 4 22d ago
L 0-2 vs Ursa InfernoDust2 Apr 2 24d ago
L 1-2 vs ASTRAL Dust2MirageAncient Apr 2 24d ago
L 0-2 vs Ursa Dust2Overpass Mar 31 26d ago
L 0-2 vs Leo Dust2Inferno Mar 30 27d ago
W 2-1 vs OlyBet Dust2AncientInferno Mar 29 28d ago
W 2-0 vs CSDIILIT InfernoAncient Mar 28 29d ago
W 2-1 vs WW InfernoDust2Overpass Mar 28 29d ago
W 2-1 vs Omega Dust2AncientMirage Mar 26 31d ago
L 0-2 vs QWENTRY MirageDust2 Mar 24 33d ago
L 1-2 vs aimclub InfernoDust2Mirage Apr 24 2d ago
L 1-2 vs Atreides InfernoNukeMirage Apr 22 4d ago
L 1-2 vs Inner Circle Dust2AnubisAncient Mar 30 27d ago
L 0-2 vs M80 InfernoDust2 Mar 30 27d ago
L 0-2 vs UNiTY AnubisInferno Mar 29 28d ago
W 1-0 vs Partizan Ancient Mar 29 28d ago
W 1-0 vs Nexus Anubis Mar 29 28d ago
W 2-0 vs Qual4 Dust2Nuke Mar 28 29d ago
L 1-2 vs bond1e OverpassNukeAncient Mar 26 31d ago
L 1-2 vs Tricked NukeAnubisAncient Mar 24 33d ago
L 0-1 vs BESTIA Ancient Mar 24 33d ago
Player Matchups
megoshort
Rating 3.0
basement boys
TI
titulus
AWPADR 79.1KAST 71%
1.09 vs 1.07
OW
OWNER
RiflerADR 79.5KAST 71%
B0
b0denmaster
AWPADR 75.6KAST 72%
1.06 vs 1.01
KR
kr1vda
AWPADR 67.1KAST 71%
MO
mogv
AWPADR 72.5KAST 68%
0.97 vs 1.00
TR
Tr0ublE
AWPADR 68.6KAST 67%
TW
Twinkey
AWPADR 67.7KAST 68%
0.91 vs 0.97
MA
maggent
RiflerADR 67.8KAST 74%
RO
robiin
RiflerADR 66.6KAST 69%
0.88 vs 0.95
FA
fakerealityy
RiflerADR 74.2KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Nuke
MEGO 7 – 13 BB
9%
91%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MEGO
BB
After First Death
MEGO
BB
After First Kill
MEGO
BB
Star Player
MEGO
BB
Ranking
MEGO
BB
Recent on Nuke
megoshort
no data
basement boys
16-19 vs Atreides Apr 22
13-6 vs Qual4 Mar 28
13-7 vs bond1e Mar 26
7-13 vs Tricked Mar 24
13-11 vs Passion UA Mar 24
Anubis
MEGO 7 – 13 BB
13%
87%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MEGO
BB
After First Kill
MEGO
BB
After First Death
MEGO
BB
Utility Score
MEGO
BB
Map Win Rate
MEGO
BB
Recent on Anubis
megoshort
8-13 vs MINLATE Mar 24
13-9 vs MOUZ NXT Mar 12
16-19 vs ex-GANK Mar 11
basement boys
13-11 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
11-13 vs UNiTY Mar 29
13-8 vs Nexus Mar 29
13-8 vs Tricked Mar 24
6-13 vs ASTRAL Feb 22
Overpass
MEGO 13 – 7 BB
84%
16%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
MEGO
BB
Map Player Rating
MEGO
BB
Utility Score
MEGO
BB
Ranking
MEGO
BB
After First Death
MEGO
BB
Recent on Overpass
megoshort
4-13 vs Ursa Mar 31
13-9 vs WW Mar 28
13-10 vs MINLATE Mar 24
13-9 vs ALGO Mar 17
14-16 vs Aurora Young Blud Mar 5
basement boys
17-19 vs bond1e Mar 26
Inferno
MEGO 13 – 10 BB
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
MEGO
BB
Map Player Rating
MEGO
BB
Utility Score
MEGO
BB
After First Death
MEGO
BB
Round Win Rate
MEGO
BB
Recent on Inferno
megoshort
13-16 vs Ursa Apr 2
3-13 vs Leo Mar 30
13-10 vs OlyBet Mar 29
13-10 vs CSDIILIT Mar 28
13-10 vs WW Mar 28
basement boys
13-8 vs aimclub Apr 24
13-8 vs Atreides Apr 22
9-13 vs M80 Mar 30
4-13 vs UNiTY Mar 29
6-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 6