Bo3 · XP Game Fest 2026
· 2026-04-26
ence
vs
lilmix
95%
5%
Series win probability
ENCE
2–0
92%
LILM
2–1
5%
ENCE
2–1
3%
LILM
2–0
0%
Model Insights
ence is strongly favored at 95%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.18 vs 0.98), a significant ranking advantage (#100 vs #187), a strong overpass (96% win probability). lilmix's best shot is inferno where they hold a 61% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
39%
Mirage · Overpass · Inferno
Scenario 2
31%
Mirage · Overpass · Dust2
Scenario 3
30%
Mirage · Overpass · Ancient
Mirage
ENCE
13
–
4
LILM
96%
4%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Mirage
ence
13-9
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
13-6
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 12
13-0
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 11
13-6
vs KUUSAMO
Apr 10
13-7
vs STATE
Apr 6
lilmix
13-9
vs The Suspect
Apr 24
19-16
vs BET-M
Apr 23
9-13
vs ENCE
Apr 23
13-6
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 23
5-13
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 2
Overpass
ENCE
13
–
5
LILM
96%
4%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Overpass
ence
11-13
vs JiJieHao
Apr 24
13-4
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
0-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 6
10-13
vs STATE
Apr 6
3-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 5
lilmix
4-13
vs ENCE
Apr 23
9-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 23
9-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 21
13-8
vs yngods
Apr 1
6-13
vs AaB
Mar 29
Inferno
ENCE
10
–
13
LILM
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Inferno
ence
4-13
vs rottweilers
Mar 28
13-16
vs Ursa
Mar 9
8-13
vs eternal fire
Feb 27
13-8
vs CSDIILIT
Feb 15
lilmix
13-10
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 2
6-13
vs HEROIC Academy
Mar 30
9-13
vs MANA
Mar 27
6-13
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 19
9-13
vs Bushido Wildcats
Mar 18
Mirage
ENCE
13
–
4
LILM
96%
4%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Mirage
ence
13-9
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
13-6
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 12
13-0
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 11
13-6
vs KUUSAMO
Apr 10
13-7
vs STATE
Apr 6
lilmix
13-9
vs The Suspect
Apr 24
19-16
vs BET-M
Apr 23
9-13
vs ENCE
Apr 23
13-6
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 23
5-13
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 2
Overpass
ENCE
13
–
5
LILM
96%
4%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Overpass
ence
11-13
vs JiJieHao
Apr 24
13-4
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
0-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 6
10-13
vs STATE
Apr 6
3-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 5
lilmix
4-13
vs ENCE
Apr 23
9-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 23
9-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 21
13-8
vs yngods
Apr 1
6-13
vs AaB
Mar 29
Dust2
ENCE
13
–
10
LILM
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Dust2
ence
5-13
vs JiJieHao
Apr 24
5-13
vs ASTRAL
Mar 29
8-13
vs Bebop
Mar 26
8-13
vs Dziuseppe
Mar 16
11-13
vs Bebop
Mar 13
lilmix
1-13
vs GenOne
Apr 25
7-13
vs BET-M
Apr 23
15-19
vs DONSTU
Apr 21
8-13
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 2
8-13
vs HEROIC Academy
Mar 30
Mirage
ENCE
13
–
4
LILM
96%
4%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Mirage
ence
13-9
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
13-6
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 12
13-0
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 11
13-6
vs KUUSAMO
Apr 10
13-7
vs STATE
Apr 6
lilmix
13-9
vs The Suspect
Apr 24
19-16
vs BET-M
Apr 23
9-13
vs ENCE
Apr 23
13-6
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 23
5-13
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 2
Overpass
ENCE
13
–
5
LILM
96%
4%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Overpass
ence
11-13
vs JiJieHao
Apr 24
13-4
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
0-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 6
10-13
vs STATE
Apr 6
3-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 5
lilmix
4-13
vs ENCE
Apr 23
9-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 23
9-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 21
13-8
vs yngods
Apr 1
6-13
vs AaB
Mar 29
Ancient
ENCE
13
–
6
LILM
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Ancient
ence
13-9
vs KUUSAMO
Apr 10
8-13
vs STATE
Apr 6
13-5
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 4
13-11
vs UNiTY
Apr 3
5-13
vs Lilmix
Mar 12
lilmix
2-13
vs GenOne
Apr 25
13-9
vs The Suspect
Apr 24
13-7
vs BET-M
Apr 23
11-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 23
14-16
vs BIG Academy
Mar 20
Recent Results
last 11 matches
ence
lilmix
L
0-2
vs JiJieHao
OverpassDust2
Apr 24
2d ago
W
2-0
vs Lilmix
OverpassMirage
Apr 23
3d ago
W
2-0
vs CSDIILIT
NukeMirage
Apr 12
14d ago
W
2-0
vs CSDIILIT
NukeMirage
Apr 11
15d ago
W
2-0
vs KUUSAMO
AncientMirage
Apr 10
16d ago
L
0-2
vs eLITenergy
OverpassNuke
Apr 6
20d ago
L
1-2
vs STATE
OverpassMirageAncient
Apr 6
20d ago
L
0-2
vs Johnny Speeds
MirageOverpass
Apr 5
21d ago
W
2-0
vs Rune Eaters
NukeAncient
Apr 4
22d ago
W
2-0
vs UNiTY
MirageAncient
Apr 3
23d ago
W
2-1
vs QUAZAR
OverpassNukeMirage
Apr 1
25d ago
L
0-2
vs GenOne
AncientDust2
Apr 25
1d ago
W
2-0
vs The Suspect
AncientMirage
Apr 24
2d ago
W
2-1
vs BET-M
Dust2MirageAncient
Apr 23
3d ago
L
0-2
vs ENCE
OverpassMirage
Apr 23
3d ago
L
1-2
vs Young Ninjas
OverpassMirageAncient
Apr 23
3d ago
L
0-2
vs DONSTU
OverpassDust2
Apr 21
5d ago
L
1-2
vs Rune Eaters
InfernoDust2Mirage
Apr 2
24d ago
L
1-2
vs yngods
MirageOverpassAnubis
Apr 1
25d ago
L
0-2
vs HEROIC Academy
InfernoDust2
Mar 30
27d ago
L
0-2
vs AaB
MirageOverpass
Mar 29
28d ago
L
0-2
vs MANA
Dust2Inferno
Mar 27
30d ago
Player Matchups
ence
Rating 3.0
lilmix
TE
teme
AWPADR 74.4KAST 75%
WA
walleN
RiflerADR 72.6KAST 70%
HE
HENU
AWPADR 79.3KAST 72%
WO
Wonder
AWPADR 67.8KAST 71%
SC
Schwarz
AWPADR 79.2KAST 72%
BS
bsover
AWPADR 78.5KAST 67%
MI
millert
AWPADR 68.4KAST 72%
JA
Jackinho
RiflerADR 68.2KAST 69%
CL
Cliqq
RiflerADR 68.3KAST 72%
QU
quix
RiflerADR 62.8KAST 66%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Nuke
ENCE
13
–
4
LILM
97%
3%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Nuke
ence
13-5
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 12
13-10
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 11
11-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 6
13-6
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 4
13-11
vs QUAZAR
Apr 1
lilmix
no data
Ancient
ENCE
13
–
6
LILM
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Ancient
ence
13-9
vs KUUSAMO
Apr 10
8-13
vs STATE
Apr 6
13-5
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 4
13-11
vs UNiTY
Apr 3
5-13
vs Lilmix
Mar 12
lilmix
2-13
vs GenOne
Apr 25
13-9
vs The Suspect
Apr 24
13-7
vs BET-M
Apr 23
11-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 23
14-16
vs BIG Academy
Mar 20
Dust2
ENCE
13
–
10
LILM
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Dust2
ence
5-13
vs JiJieHao
Apr 24
5-13
vs ASTRAL
Mar 29
8-13
vs Bebop
Mar 26
8-13
vs Dziuseppe
Mar 16
11-13
vs Bebop
Mar 13
lilmix
1-13
vs GenOne
Apr 25
7-13
vs BET-M
Apr 23
15-19
vs DONSTU
Apr 21
8-13
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 2
8-13
vs HEROIC Academy
Mar 30
Anubis
ENCE
13
–
10
LILM
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Anubis
ence
10-13
vs Sashi
Mar 4
16-13
vs WW
Mar 1
9-13
vs cybershoke
Feb 26
13-8
vs 100 thieves
Feb 25
9-13
vs illwill
Feb 13
lilmix
7-13
vs yngods
Apr 1
8-13
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 26
13-9
vs Bushido Wildcats
Mar 18