Project Leggy
Back
Bo3  ·  Thunderpick World Championship 2026 North America · 2026-05-04
Wildcard
vs
M80
21%
79%
Series win probability
M80 2–1 41%
M80 2–0 38%
WILD 2–1 17%
WILD 2–0 4%
Actual result
Dust2 16–14 M80
Inferno 13–10 M80
Model Insights
M80 is strongly favored at 79%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong dust2 (93% win probability). Wildcard's best shot is inferno where they hold a 59% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 50% Dust2 · Inferno · Mirage
Scenario 2 26% Dust2 · Inferno · Anubis
Scenario 3 24% Dust2 · Inferno · Overpass
Dust2
WILD 5 13 M80
7%
93%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
After First Death
WILD
M80
Round Win Rate
WILD
M80
After First Kill
WILD
M80
Ranking
WILD
M80
Days With Lineup Diff
WILD
M80
Recent on Dust2
Wildcard
14-16 vs M80 May 4
13-4 vs Voca May 1
13-2 vs FarmVille Apr 29
13-2 vs Passion UA Apr 26
13-4 vs FRZ Apr 25
M80
16-14 vs Wildcard May 4
13-1 vs It's a Secret Apr 25
13-3 vs monte Apr 2
10-13 vs monte Apr 1
13-3 vs BASEMENT BOYS Mar 30
Inferno
WILD 13 10 M80
59%
41%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
WILD
M80
Round Win Rate
WILD
M80
Map Player Rating
WILD
M80
Map Win Rate
WILD
M80
Days With Lineup Diff
WILD
M80
Recent on Inferno
Wildcard
10-13 vs M80 May 4
14-16 vs Passion UA Apr 26
13-4 vs Fisher College Apr 26
16-14 vs FOKUS Apr 6
10-13 vs bestia Mar 28
M80
13-10 vs Wildcard May 4
13-3 vs InControl Apr 25
13-2 vs alliance Apr 2
8-13 vs monte Apr 2
13-9 vs Liquid Mar 31
Mirage
WILD 8 13 M80
29%
71%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
WILD
M80
After First Kill
WILD
M80
Days With Lineup Diff
WILD
M80
Ranking
WILD
M80
1v1 Clutches
WILD
M80
Recent on Mirage
Wildcard
13-7 vs FarmVille Apr 29
13-8 vs Fisher College Apr 26
13-6 vs FRZ Apr 25
26-28 vs parivision Apr 8
13-7 vs FOKUS Apr 6
M80
13-8 vs It's a Secret Apr 25
13-5 vs InControl Apr 25
13-5 vs Marsborne Apr 25
13-10 vs monte Apr 2
10-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 27
Dust2
WILD 5 13 M80
7%
93%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
After First Death
WILD
M80
Round Win Rate
WILD
M80
After First Kill
WILD
M80
Ranking
WILD
M80
Days With Lineup Diff
WILD
M80
Recent on Dust2
Wildcard
14-16 vs M80 May 4
13-4 vs Voca May 1
13-2 vs FarmVille Apr 29
13-2 vs Passion UA Apr 26
13-4 vs FRZ Apr 25
M80
16-14 vs Wildcard May 4
13-1 vs It's a Secret Apr 25
13-3 vs monte Apr 2
10-13 vs monte Apr 1
13-3 vs BASEMENT BOYS Mar 30
Inferno
WILD 13 10 M80
59%
41%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
WILD
M80
Round Win Rate
WILD
M80
Map Player Rating
WILD
M80
Map Win Rate
WILD
M80
Days With Lineup Diff
WILD
M80
Recent on Inferno
Wildcard
10-13 vs M80 May 4
14-16 vs Passion UA Apr 26
13-4 vs Fisher College Apr 26
16-14 vs FOKUS Apr 6
10-13 vs bestia Mar 28
M80
13-10 vs Wildcard May 4
13-3 vs InControl Apr 25
13-2 vs alliance Apr 2
8-13 vs monte Apr 2
13-9 vs Liquid Mar 31
Anubis
WILD 9 13 M80
38%
62%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
WILD
M80
After First Kill
WILD
M80
Ranking
WILD
M80
Days With Lineup Diff
WILD
M80
1v1 Clutches
WILD
M80
Recent on Anubis
Wildcard
8-13 vs AaB Mar 23
M80
8-13 vs Marsborne Apr 25
11-13 vs alliance Apr 2
13-10 vs aurora Mar 31
3-13 vs Liquid Mar 4
13-3 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 2
Dust2
WILD 5 13 M80
7%
93%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
After First Death
WILD
M80
Round Win Rate
WILD
M80
After First Kill
WILD
M80
Ranking
WILD
M80
Days With Lineup Diff
WILD
M80
Recent on Dust2
Wildcard
14-16 vs M80 May 4
13-4 vs Voca May 1
13-2 vs FarmVille Apr 29
13-2 vs Passion UA Apr 26
13-4 vs FRZ Apr 25
M80
16-14 vs Wildcard May 4
13-1 vs It's a Secret Apr 25
13-3 vs monte Apr 2
10-13 vs monte Apr 1
13-3 vs BASEMENT BOYS Mar 30
Inferno
WILD 13 10 M80
59%
41%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
WILD
M80
Round Win Rate
WILD
M80
Map Player Rating
WILD
M80
Map Win Rate
WILD
M80
Days With Lineup Diff
WILD
M80
Recent on Inferno
Wildcard
10-13 vs M80 May 4
14-16 vs Passion UA Apr 26
13-4 vs Fisher College Apr 26
16-14 vs FOKUS Apr 6
10-13 vs bestia Mar 28
M80
13-10 vs Wildcard May 4
13-3 vs InControl Apr 25
13-2 vs alliance Apr 2
8-13 vs monte Apr 2
13-9 vs Liquid Mar 31
Overpass
WILD 6 13 M80
18%
82%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
WILD
M80
Round Win Rate
WILD
M80
After First Death
WILD
M80
Map Win Rate
WILD
M80
T Side
WILD
M80
Recent on Overpass
Wildcard
13-6 vs Voca May 1
13-6 vs Voca Apr 25
13-11 vs betboom Mar 28
M80
13-5 vs alliance Apr 2
13-11 vs aurora Mar 31
13-2 vs Johnny Speeds Mar 24
3-13 vs G2 Mar 3
13-11 vs Voca Feb 24
Recent Results last 11 matches
Wildcard
M80
W 2-0 vs Voca Dust2Overpass May 1 3d ago
W 2-0 vs FarmVille Dust2Mirage Apr 29 5d ago
W 2-1 vs Passion UA InfernoNukeDust2 Apr 26 8d ago
W 3-0 vs Fisher College NukeMirageInferno Apr 26 8d ago
W 2-0 vs FRZ Dust2Mirage Apr 25 9d ago
W 2-0 vs Voca Dust2Overpass Apr 25 9d ago
W 2-0 vs Chicken Coop NukeDust2 Apr 25 9d ago
L 0-2 vs parivision MirageDust2 Apr 8 26d ago
L 0-2 vs the mongolz Dust2Nuke Apr 7 27d ago
W 2-1 vs FOKUS NukeInfernoMirage Apr 6 28d ago
L 0-2 vs b8 NukeMirage Apr 4 30d ago
W 2-0 vs It's a Secret Dust2Mirage Apr 25 9d ago
W 2-0 vs InControl MirageInferno Apr 25 9d ago
L 1-2 vs Marsborne MirageAncientAnubis Apr 25 9d ago
W 2-1 vs alliance AnubisInfernoOverpass Apr 2 32d ago
W 2-1 vs monte InfernoDust2Mirage Apr 2 32d ago
L 0-2 vs monte AncientDust2 Apr 1 33d ago
W 2-0 vs Liquid AncientInferno Mar 31 34d ago
W 2-1 vs aurora InfernoAnubisOverpass Mar 31 34d ago
W 2-0 vs BASEMENT BOYS InfernoDust2 Mar 30 35d ago
L 0-2 vs HEROIC Academy Dust2Mirage Mar 27 38d ago
W 2-0 vs Johnny Speeds OverpassInferno Mar 24 41d ago
Player Matchups
Wildcard
Ratings
M80
HE
HexT
EntryADR 73.6KAST 75%
1.16 vs 1.16
SW
Swisher
RiflerADR 79.4KAST 74%
MH
mhL
AWPADR 79.4KAST 73%
1.13 vs 1.14
SL
slaxz-
AWPADR 70.3KAST 75%
NE
nEMANHA
RiflerADR 82.3KAST 72%
1.12 vs 1.13
LA
Lake
EntryADR 80.6KAST 73%
RE
reck
RiflerADR 69.9KAST 74%
1.07 vs 1.05
JB
JBa
RiflerADR 70.8KAST 75%
CX
Cxzi
RiflerADR 77.9KAST 72%
1.05 vs 1.02
S1
s1n
RiflerADR 65.8KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps 2 maps
Overpass
WILD 6 13 M80
18%
82%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
WILD
M80
Round Win Rate
WILD
M80
After First Death
WILD
M80
Map Win Rate
WILD
M80
T Side
WILD
M80
Recent on Overpass
Wildcard
13-6 vs Voca May 1
13-6 vs Voca Apr 25
13-11 vs betboom Mar 28
M80
13-5 vs alliance Apr 2
13-11 vs aurora Mar 31
13-2 vs Johnny Speeds Mar 24
3-13 vs G2 Mar 3
13-11 vs Voca Feb 24
Anubis
WILD 9 13 M80
38%
62%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
WILD
M80
After First Kill
WILD
M80
Ranking
WILD
M80
Days With Lineup Diff
WILD
M80
1v1 Clutches
WILD
M80
Recent on Anubis
Wildcard
8-13 vs AaB Mar 23
M80
8-13 vs Marsborne Apr 25
11-13 vs alliance Apr 2
13-10 vs aurora Mar 31
3-13 vs Liquid Mar 4
13-3 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 2