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Bo3  ·  FRAG 20
incontrol
vs
chicken coop ✓
15%
85%
Series win probability
CC 2–1 58%
CC 2–0 27%
INCO 2–1 11%
INCO 2–0 5%
Actual result
Nuke 13–3
Inferno 13–6
Model Insights
chicken coop is strongly favored at 85%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong overpass (94% win probability). incontrol's best shot is nuke where they hold a 72% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 47% Nuke · Overpass · Inferno
Scenario 2 33% Nuke · Overpass · Dust2
Scenario 3 20% Nuke · Overpass · Anubis
Nuke
INCO 13 – 9 CC
72%
28%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
INCO
CC
Round Win Rate
INCO
CC
Map Win Rate
INCO
CC
After First Kill
INCO
CC
Sniper Score
INCO
CC
Recent on Nuke
incontrol
6-13 vs zomblers Apr 11
13-6 vs F5 Apr 9
16-13 vs Shimmer Apr 2
13-1 vs girl kissers Apr 2
11-13 vs Aether Mar 31
chicken coop
13-10 vs None Mar 27
13-11 vs None Mar 26
22-20 vs None Mar 23
13-5 vs OverKnight Mar 21
13-9 vs Outfit 49 Mar 20
Overpass
INCO 4 – 13 CC
6%
94%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
INCO
CC
After First Death
INCO
CC
After First Kill
INCO
CC
Opening Kills
INCO
CC
Rest Days Diff
INCO
CC
Recent on Overpass
incontrol
13-8 vs F5 Apr 9
5-13 vs F5 Apr 5
13-4 vs None Mar 7
16-13 vs Sakura Feb 10
13-16 vs Chicken Coop Feb 6
chicken coop
13-7 vs None Mar 23
9-13 vs None Mar 18
13-6 vs FarmVille Feb 15
16-13 vs None Feb 6
11-13 vs None Feb 2
Inferno
INCO 6 – 13 CC
15%
85%
Win prob OT 5% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
INCO
CC
After First Death
INCO
CC
Map Player Rating
INCO
CC
Ranking
INCO
CC
Round Win Rate
INCO
CC
Recent on Inferno
incontrol
8-13 vs zomblers Apr 11
13-11 vs Akimbo Apr 9
13-10 vs regain Apr 8
13-11 vs None Apr 7
13-5 vs FarmVille Apr 6
chicken coop
13-10 vs None Mar 26
6-13 vs None Mar 23
5-13 vs None Mar 10
13-6 vs None Mar 8
9-13 vs FarmVille Feb 15
Nuke
INCO 13 – 9 CC
72%
28%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
INCO
CC
Round Win Rate
INCO
CC
Map Win Rate
INCO
CC
After First Kill
INCO
CC
Sniper Score
INCO
CC
Recent on Nuke
incontrol
6-13 vs zomblers Apr 11
13-6 vs F5 Apr 9
16-13 vs Shimmer Apr 2
13-1 vs girl kissers Apr 2
11-13 vs Aether Mar 31
chicken coop
13-10 vs None Mar 27
13-11 vs None Mar 26
22-20 vs None Mar 23
13-5 vs OverKnight Mar 21
13-9 vs Outfit 49 Mar 20
Overpass
INCO 4 – 13 CC
6%
94%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
INCO
CC
After First Death
INCO
CC
After First Kill
INCO
CC
Opening Kills
INCO
CC
Rest Days Diff
INCO
CC
Recent on Overpass
incontrol
13-8 vs F5 Apr 9
5-13 vs F5 Apr 5
13-4 vs None Mar 7
16-13 vs Sakura Feb 10
13-16 vs Chicken Coop Feb 6
chicken coop
13-7 vs None Mar 23
9-13 vs None Mar 18
13-6 vs FarmVille Feb 15
16-13 vs None Feb 6
11-13 vs None Feb 2
Dust2
INCO 13 – 8 CC
70%
30%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
INCO
CC
After First Death
INCO
CC
Ranking
INCO
CC
Days With Lineup Diff
INCO
CC
Round Win Rate
INCO
CC
Recent on Dust2
incontrol
19-17 vs Zomblers Mar 11
13-16 vs Zomblers Feb 20
2-13 vs Zomblers Feb 3
chicken coop
2-13 vs None Mar 25
9-13 vs OverKnight Mar 21
13-10 vs None Mar 8
11-13 vs FarmVille Feb 15
4-13 vs None Feb 10
Nuke
INCO 13 – 9 CC
72%
28%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
INCO
CC
Round Win Rate
INCO
CC
Map Win Rate
INCO
CC
After First Kill
INCO
CC
Sniper Score
INCO
CC
Recent on Nuke
incontrol
6-13 vs zomblers Apr 11
13-6 vs F5 Apr 9
16-13 vs Shimmer Apr 2
13-1 vs girl kissers Apr 2
11-13 vs Aether Mar 31
chicken coop
13-10 vs None Mar 27
13-11 vs None Mar 26
22-20 vs None Mar 23
13-5 vs OverKnight Mar 21
13-9 vs Outfit 49 Mar 20
Overpass
INCO 4 – 13 CC
6%
94%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
INCO
CC
After First Death
INCO
CC
After First Kill
INCO
CC
Opening Kills
INCO
CC
Rest Days Diff
INCO
CC
Recent on Overpass
incontrol
13-8 vs F5 Apr 9
5-13 vs F5 Apr 5
13-4 vs None Mar 7
16-13 vs Sakura Feb 10
13-16 vs Chicken Coop Feb 6
chicken coop
13-7 vs None Mar 23
9-13 vs None Mar 18
13-6 vs FarmVille Feb 15
16-13 vs None Feb 6
11-13 vs None Feb 2
Anubis
INCO 13 – 11 CC
56%
44%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
INCO
CC
After First Death
INCO
CC
Ranking
INCO
CC
After First Kill
INCO
CC
Round Win Rate
INCO
CC
Recent on Anubis
incontrol
3-13 vs Akimbo Apr 9
16-14 vs Aether Mar 31
13-11 vs Beneath Reality Mar 27
10-13 vs None Feb 17
chicken coop
no data
Recent Results last 11 matches
incontrol
chicken coop
L 1-2 vs zomblers InfernoMirageNuke Apr 11 16d ago
W 2-1 vs F5 MirageOverpassNuke Apr 9 18d ago
L 1-2 vs Akimbo InfernoMirageAnubis Apr 9 18d ago
W 2-0 vs regain MirageInferno Apr 8 19d ago
W 2-0 vs None MirageInferno Apr 7 20d ago
W 2-0 vs FarmVille MirageInferno Apr 6 21d ago
L 0-2 vs F5 OverpassInferno Apr 5 22d ago
W 2-0 vs Shimmer InfernoNuke Apr 2 25d ago
W 2-0 vs girl kissers InfernoNuke Apr 2 25d ago
L 1-2 vs Aether AnubisMirageNuke Mar 31 27d ago
L 0-2 vs None NukeMirage Mar 28 30d ago
W 2-0 vs None NukeMirage Mar 27 31d ago
W 2-0 vs None NukeInferno Mar 26 32d ago
L 0-2 vs None AncientDust2 Mar 25 33d ago
W 2-1 vs None NukeInfernoOverpass Mar 23 35d ago
W 2-1 vs OverKnight NukeDust2Ancient Mar 21 37d ago
W 2-0 vs Outfit 49 AncientNuke Mar 20 38d ago
L 0-2 vs None OverpassAncient Mar 18 40d ago
L 0-2 vs None NukeInferno Mar 10 48d ago
W 2-1 vs None NukeDust2Inferno Mar 8 50d ago
L 1-2 vs FarmVille OverpassInfernoDust2 Feb 15 71d ago
W 2-0 vs None NukeInferno Feb 12 74d ago
Player Matchups
incontrol
Rating 3.0
chicken coop
AY
ayaneuu
RiflerADR 78.0KAST 72%
1.12 vs 1.15
CR
Crisp
EntryADR 77.6KAST 75%
SC
Scorchyy
EntryADR 69.8KAST 74%
1.07 vs 1.14
RE
REKMEISTER
AWPADR 81.9KAST 74%
TY
TyRa
RiflerADR 78.7KAST 67%
1.03 vs 1.09
DR
Drop
RiflerADR 81.0KAST 71%
JS
jsfeltner
AWPADR 75.3KAST 71%
1.01 vs 0.96
JA
jared
RiflerADR 69.6KAST 69%
AE
aelor
RiflerADR 67.5KAST 71%
0.97 vs 0.90
MD
mds
RiflerADR 64.1KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Ancient
INCO 4 – 13 CC
5%
95%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
INCO
CC
After First Kill
INCO
CC
After First Death
INCO
CC
Round Win Rate
INCO
CC
Recent Form (1m)
INCO
CC
Recent on Ancient
incontrol
5-13 vs Reign Above Feb 13
chicken coop
6-13 vs None Mar 25
13-6 vs OverKnight Mar 21
13-11 vs Outfit 49 Mar 20
9-13 vs None Mar 18
Mirage
INCO 5 – 13 CC
8%
92%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
INCO
CC
After First Kill
INCO
CC
Round Win Rate
INCO
CC
Ranking
INCO
CC
Days With Lineup Diff
INCO
CC
Recent on Mirage
incontrol
13-9 vs zomblers Apr 11
11-13 vs F5 Apr 9
2-13 vs Akimbo Apr 9
13-7 vs regain Apr 8
13-3 vs None Apr 7
chicken coop
13-10 vs None Mar 27
Dust2
INCO 13 – 8 CC
70%
30%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
INCO
CC
After First Death
INCO
CC
Ranking
INCO
CC
Days With Lineup Diff
INCO
CC
Round Win Rate
INCO
CC
Recent on Dust2
incontrol
19-17 vs Zomblers Mar 11
13-16 vs Zomblers Feb 20
2-13 vs Zomblers Feb 3
chicken coop
2-13 vs None Mar 25
9-13 vs OverKnight Mar 21
13-10 vs None Mar 8
11-13 vs FarmVille Feb 15
4-13 vs None Feb 10
Anubis
INCO 13 – 11 CC
56%
44%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
INCO
CC
After First Death
INCO
CC
Ranking
INCO
CC
After First Kill
INCO
CC
Round Win Rate
INCO
CC
Recent on Anubis
incontrol
3-13 vs Akimbo Apr 9
16-14 vs Aether Mar 31
13-11 vs Beneath Reality Mar 27
10-13 vs None Feb 17
chicken coop
no data
More from FRAG 20 13 matches
nrg over lag 87% nrg over passion ua 61% chicken coop over incontrol 85% m80 over incontrol 98% lag over empire 96% lag over empire 96% fisher college over lag 53% wildcard over voca 79% wildcard over chicken coop 83% marsborne over m80 80% fisher college over passion ua 60% marsborne over voca 59% marsborne over voca 59%