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Bo3  ·  Gamebox Festival 2026 Semifinal · 2026-04-26
state
vs
Sashi Academy
58%
42%
Series win probability
STAT 2–1 35%
SA 2–0 27%
STAT 2–0 23%
SA 2–1 15%
Model Insights
state has a moderate edge at 58%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.03 vs 0.98), a significant ranking advantage (#120 vs #211), a strong nuke (70% win probability). Sashi Academy's best shot is ancient where they hold a 56% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 56% Inferno · Ancient · Nuke
Scenario 2 23% Inferno · Nuke · Anubis
Scenario 3 21% Inferno · Nuke · Overpass
Inferno
STAT 16 – 14 SA
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
STAT
SA
Map Player Rating
STAT
SA
Head-to-Head
STAT
SA
After First Death
STAT
SA
Opening Duels
STAT
SA
Recent on Inferno
state
13-4 vs ESC Apr 7
8-13 vs Nemesis Mar 31
20-22 vs Bebop Mar 30
13-4 vs Bebop Mar 30
13-4 vs OlyBet Mar 30
Sashi Academy
13-7 vs Invicta Apr 25
11-13 vs INFINITE Apr 19
14-16 vs Entropy Apr 12
13-8 vs SAW Apr 11
13-7 vs AaB Apr 11
Ancient
STAT 9 – 13 SA
44%
56%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
STAT
SA
After First Death
STAT
SA
Round Win Rate
STAT
SA
Ranking
STAT
SA
After First Kill
STAT
SA
Recent on Ancient
state
13-6 vs XI Apr 25
10-13 vs ESC Apr 7
13-8 vs ENCE Academy Apr 6
13-11 vs QWENTRY Apr 1
4-13 vs Nemesis Mar 31
Sashi Academy
16-13 vs XI Apr 19
13-8 vs Entropy Apr 12
13-6 vs Eclipse Apr 11
5-13 vs AaB Mar 31
Nuke
STAT 13 – 8 SA
70%
30%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
STAT
SA
After First Death
STAT
SA
Round Win Rate
STAT
SA
Ranking
STAT
SA
After First Kill
STAT
SA
Recent on Nuke
state
9-13 vs XI Apr 25
13-9 vs ex-RUBY Apr 11
9-13 vs ESC Apr 7
13-7 vs ex-RUBY Apr 5
9-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 3
Sashi Academy
7-13 vs XI Apr 19
13-8 vs SAW Apr 11
8-13 vs Eclipse Apr 11
2-13 vs 3DMAX Mar 31
Inferno
STAT 16 – 14 SA
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
STAT
SA
Map Player Rating
STAT
SA
Head-to-Head
STAT
SA
After First Death
STAT
SA
Opening Duels
STAT
SA
Recent on Inferno
state
13-4 vs ESC Apr 7
8-13 vs Nemesis Mar 31
20-22 vs Bebop Mar 30
13-4 vs Bebop Mar 30
13-4 vs OlyBet Mar 30
Sashi Academy
13-7 vs Invicta Apr 25
11-13 vs INFINITE Apr 19
14-16 vs Entropy Apr 12
13-8 vs SAW Apr 11
13-7 vs AaB Apr 11
Nuke
STAT 13 – 8 SA
70%
30%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
STAT
SA
After First Death
STAT
SA
Round Win Rate
STAT
SA
Ranking
STAT
SA
After First Kill
STAT
SA
Recent on Nuke
state
9-13 vs XI Apr 25
13-9 vs ex-RUBY Apr 11
9-13 vs ESC Apr 7
13-7 vs ex-RUBY Apr 5
9-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 3
Sashi Academy
7-13 vs XI Apr 19
13-8 vs SAW Apr 11
8-13 vs Eclipse Apr 11
2-13 vs 3DMAX Mar 31
Anubis
STAT 13 – 7 SA
81%
19%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
STAT
SA
After First Death
STAT
SA
Round Win Rate
STAT
SA
Ranking
STAT
SA
Head-to-Head
STAT
SA
Recent on Anubis
state
14-16 vs ex-RUBY Apr 11
10-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 5
7-13 vs BIG Academy Mar 26
8-13 vs Rune Eaters Mar 13
13-16 vs AaB Feb 7
Sashi Academy
5-13 vs XI Apr 19
3-13 vs SAW Apr 11
10-13 vs AaB Apr 11
Inferno
STAT 16 – 14 SA
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
STAT
SA
Map Player Rating
STAT
SA
Head-to-Head
STAT
SA
After First Death
STAT
SA
Opening Duels
STAT
SA
Recent on Inferno
state
13-4 vs ESC Apr 7
8-13 vs Nemesis Mar 31
20-22 vs Bebop Mar 30
13-4 vs Bebop Mar 30
13-4 vs OlyBet Mar 30
Sashi Academy
13-7 vs Invicta Apr 25
11-13 vs INFINITE Apr 19
14-16 vs Entropy Apr 12
13-8 vs SAW Apr 11
13-7 vs AaB Apr 11
Nuke
STAT 13 – 8 SA
70%
30%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
STAT
SA
After First Death
STAT
SA
Round Win Rate
STAT
SA
Ranking
STAT
SA
After First Kill
STAT
SA
Recent on Nuke
state
9-13 vs XI Apr 25
13-9 vs ex-RUBY Apr 11
9-13 vs ESC Apr 7
13-7 vs ex-RUBY Apr 5
9-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 3
Sashi Academy
7-13 vs XI Apr 19
13-8 vs SAW Apr 11
8-13 vs Eclipse Apr 11
2-13 vs 3DMAX Mar 31
Overpass
STAT 13 – 5 SA
92%
8%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
STAT
SA
After First Death
STAT
SA
After First Kill
STAT
SA
Ranking
STAT
SA
Round Win Rate
STAT
SA
Recent on Overpass
state
13-0 vs XI Apr 25
13-10 vs ENCE Academy Apr 6
11-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 3
13-3 vs QWENTRY Apr 1
13-9 vs TNC Mar 25
Sashi Academy
4-13 vs AaB Apr 11
Recent Results last 11 matches
state
Sashi Academy
W 2-1 vs XI AncientNukeOverpass Apr 25 1d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-RUBY NukeMirageAnubis Apr 11 15d ago
L 1-2 vs ESC InfernoAncientNuke Apr 7 19d ago
W 2-1 vs ENCE Academy OverpassMirageAncient Apr 6 20d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-RUBY NukeMirageAnubis Apr 5 21d ago
L 0-2 vs RUSTEC NukeOverpass Apr 3 23d ago
W 2-1 vs QWENTRY AncientNukeOverpass Apr 1 25d ago
L 0-2 vs Nemesis InfernoAncient Mar 31 26d ago
W 2-1 vs Bebop MirageInfernoNuke Mar 30 27d ago
W 2-0 vs Bebop MirageInferno Mar 30 27d ago
W 2-0 vs OlyBet InfernoMirage Mar 30 27d ago
W 2-1 vs Invicta MirageInfernoDust2 Apr 25 1d ago
L 1-2 vs XI AncientAnubisNuke Apr 19 7d ago
L 0-2 vs INFINITE InfernoDust2 Apr 19 7d ago
L 1-2 vs Entropy AncientInfernoDust2 Apr 12 14d ago
W 2-1 vs SAW InfernoAnubisNuke Apr 11 15d ago
L 1-2 vs AaB OverpassInfernoAnubis Apr 11 15d ago
W 2-1 vs Eclipse NukeInfernoAncient Apr 11 15d ago
L 0-1 vs BESTIA Mirage Mar 31 26d ago
L 0-1 vs AaB Ancient Mar 31 26d ago
L 0-1 vs Falcons Force Inferno Mar 31 26d ago
L 0-1 vs 3DMAX Nuke Mar 31 26d ago
Player Matchups
state
Rating 3.0
Sashi Academy
ZA
Zanto
AWPADR 71.6KAST 72%
1.06 vs 1.09
MI
Mizi
AWPADR 76.2KAST 73%
SL
sL1m3
AWPADR 73.5KAST 69%
1.06 vs 1.08
BL
Bl4zE
AWPADR 77.7KAST 74%
KW
kwezz
RiflerADR 76.3KAST 71%
1.05 vs 0.99
DA
Damsi
RiflerADR 71.2KAST 70%
TH
thamlike
AWPADR 70.8KAST 74%
1.03 vs 0.94
MO
Mol011
AWPADR 69.9KAST 69%
PA
Patti
AWPADR 68.4KAST 70%
0.94 vs 0.74
RO
rosen
RiflerADR 59.9KAST 66%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Overpass
STAT 13 – 5 SA
92%
8%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
STAT
SA
After First Death
STAT
SA
After First Kill
STAT
SA
Ranking
STAT
SA
Round Win Rate
STAT
SA
Recent on Overpass
state
13-0 vs XI Apr 25
13-10 vs ENCE Academy Apr 6
11-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 3
13-3 vs QWENTRY Apr 1
13-9 vs TNC Mar 25
Sashi Academy
4-13 vs AaB Apr 11
Anubis
STAT 13 – 7 SA
81%
19%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
STAT
SA
After First Death
STAT
SA
Round Win Rate
STAT
SA
Ranking
STAT
SA
Head-to-Head
STAT
SA
Recent on Anubis
state
14-16 vs ex-RUBY Apr 11
10-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 5
7-13 vs BIG Academy Mar 26
8-13 vs Rune Eaters Mar 13
13-16 vs AaB Feb 7
Sashi Academy
5-13 vs XI Apr 19
3-13 vs SAW Apr 11
10-13 vs AaB Apr 11
Mirage
STAT 14 – 16 SA
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
STAT
SA
After First Death
STAT
SA
Ranking
STAT
SA
After First Kill
STAT
SA
Map Win Rate
STAT
SA
Recent on Mirage
state
7-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 11
7-13 vs ENCE Academy Apr 6
4-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 5
13-10 vs Bebop Mar 30
13-10 vs Bebop Mar 30
Sashi Academy
10-13 vs Invicta Apr 25
2-13 vs BESTIA Mar 31