Bo3 · CCT 2026 Europe Series 1
· 2026-05-07
MOUZ NXT
vs
Lavked
73%
27%
Series win probability
MN
2–0
57%
LAVK
2–1
21%
MN
2–1
16%
LAVK
2–0
6%
Model Insights
MOUZ NXT is strongly favored at 73%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#101 vs #96), a strong mirage (77% win probability). Lavked's best shot is ancient where they hold a 57% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
55%
Mirage · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 2
32%
Mirage · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 3
13%
Mirage · Nuke · Anubis
Mirage
MN
13
–
7
LAVK
77%
23%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Map Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Map Player Rating
MN
LAVK
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ NXT
3-13
vs Ursa
May 4
14-16
vs UNiTY
Apr 27
10-13
vs acend
Apr 22
13-9
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 20
13-4
vs Ursa
Apr 19
Lavked
14-16
vs TNC
May 6
13-10
vs UNiTY
May 6
11-13
vs Walczaki
May 5
13-11
vs Phantom
May 4
13-11
vs Omega
May 3
Nuke
MN
13
–
9
LAVK
73%
27%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Opponent-Rating Diff
MN
LAVK
Map Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Map Player Rating
MN
LAVK
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ NXT
1-13
vs Ursa
May 4
23-25
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 20
5-13
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 17
Lavked
13-11
vs The Last Resort
May 6
12-16
vs Walczaki
May 5
3-13
vs Omega
May 3
13-10
vs GenOne
May 3
7-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 1
Ancient
MN
9
–
13
LAVK
43%
57%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Opponent-Rating Diff
MN
LAVK
After First Death
MN
LAVK
Map Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Recent on Ancient
MOUZ NXT
13-9
vs UNiTY
Apr 27
20-22
vs acend
Apr 22
7-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 20
7-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 19
Lavked
8-13
vs TNC
May 6
13-3
vs Phantom
May 4
13-10
vs GenOne
May 3
13-4
vs CYBERSHOKE
May 2
13-6
vs Leo
Apr 28
Mirage
MN
13
–
7
LAVK
77%
23%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Map Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Map Player Rating
MN
LAVK
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ NXT
3-13
vs Ursa
May 4
14-16
vs UNiTY
Apr 27
10-13
vs acend
Apr 22
13-9
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 20
13-4
vs Ursa
Apr 19
Lavked
14-16
vs TNC
May 6
13-10
vs UNiTY
May 6
11-13
vs Walczaki
May 5
13-11
vs Phantom
May 4
13-11
vs Omega
May 3
Nuke
MN
13
–
9
LAVK
73%
27%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Opponent-Rating Diff
MN
LAVK
Map Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Map Player Rating
MN
LAVK
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ NXT
1-13
vs Ursa
May 4
23-25
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 20
5-13
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 17
Lavked
13-11
vs The Last Resort
May 6
12-16
vs Walczaki
May 5
3-13
vs Omega
May 3
13-10
vs GenOne
May 3
7-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 1
Dust2
MN
7
–
13
LAVK
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MN
LAVK
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Sniper Score
MN
LAVK
T Side
MN
LAVK
1v1 Clutches
MN
LAVK
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ NXT
13-5
vs Ursa
May 4
7-13
vs UNiTY
Apr 27
16-14
vs Ursa
Apr 19
Lavked
13-7
vs UNiTY
May 6
13-5
vs The Last Resort
May 6
10-13
vs Phantom
May 4
13-10
vs Omega
May 3
7-13
vs GenOne
May 3
Mirage
MN
13
–
7
LAVK
77%
23%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Map Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Map Player Rating
MN
LAVK
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ NXT
3-13
vs Ursa
May 4
14-16
vs UNiTY
Apr 27
10-13
vs acend
Apr 22
13-9
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 20
13-4
vs Ursa
Apr 19
Lavked
14-16
vs TNC
May 6
13-10
vs UNiTY
May 6
11-13
vs Walczaki
May 5
13-11
vs Phantom
May 4
13-11
vs Omega
May 3
Nuke
MN
13
–
9
LAVK
73%
27%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Opponent-Rating Diff
MN
LAVK
Map Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Map Player Rating
MN
LAVK
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ NXT
1-13
vs Ursa
May 4
23-25
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 20
5-13
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 17
Lavked
13-11
vs The Last Resort
May 6
12-16
vs Walczaki
May 5
3-13
vs Omega
May 3
13-10
vs GenOne
May 3
7-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 1
Anubis
MN
7
–
13
LAVK
25%
75%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
After First Death
MN
LAVK
Opponent-Rating Diff
MN
LAVK
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Map Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Recent on Anubis
MOUZ NXT
no data
Lavked
10-13
vs FAVBET
Apr 21
7-13
vs arcred
Apr 14
4-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 14
Recent Results
last 11 matches
MOUZ NXT
Lavked
L
1-2
vs Ursa
Dust2MirageNuke
May 4
3d ago
L
1-2
vs UNiTY
AncientMirageDust2
Apr 27
10d ago
L
0-2
vs acend
MirageAncient
Apr 22
15d ago
L
1-2
vs CYBERSHOKE
MirageAncientNuke
Apr 20
17d ago
W
2-0
vs Ursa
Dust2Mirage
Apr 19
18d ago
L
0-1
vs EYEBALLERS
Ancient
Apr 19
18d ago
L
0-2
vs ex-RUBY
NukeMirage
Apr 17
20d ago
L
0-2
vs TNC
MirageAncient
May 6
1d ago
W
2-1
vs UNiTY
InfernoMirageDust2
May 6
1d ago
W
2-1
vs The Last Resort
InfernoDust2Nuke
May 6
1d ago
L
0-2
vs Walczaki
MirageNuke
May 5
2d ago
W
2-1
vs Phantom
MirageDust2Ancient
May 4
3d ago
W
2-1
vs Omega
NukeMirageDust2
May 3
4d ago
W
2-1
vs GenOne
Dust2NukeAncient
May 3
4d ago
W
2-0
vs CYBERSHOKE
MirageAncient
May 2
5d ago
L
0-2
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Dust2Nuke
May 1
6d ago
W
2-0
vs Rebels
NukeOverpass
Apr 30
7d ago
W
2-0
vs Hashiras
InfernoNuke
Apr 29
8d ago
Player Matchups
MOUZ NXT
Ratings
Lavked
NI
Nikodeon
EntryADR 71.7KAST 71%
DJ
Djon8
EntryADR 82.4KAST 73%
OP
opdust
RiflerADR 68.0KAST 70%
XM
xm1nd
AWPADR 74.6KAST 74%
AY
ay0k
AWPADR 66.5KAST 70%
1N
1NVISIBLEE
RiflerADR 81.5KAST 70%
K4
k4nfuz
RiflerADR 67.1KAST 74%
SO
sol
RiflerADR 68.3KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Inferno
MN
5
–
13
LAVK
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MN
LAVK
After First Death
MN
LAVK
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Opening Kills
MN
LAVK
Recent on Inferno
MOUZ NXT
no data
Lavked
7-13
vs UNiTY
May 6
3-13
vs The Last Resort
May 6
13-9
vs Hashiras
Apr 29
13-5
vs G2 Ares
Apr 26
12-16
vs SPARTA
Apr 25
Overpass
MN
7
–
13
LAVK
21%
79%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MN
LAVK
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Ranking
MN
LAVK
Days With Lineup Diff
MN
LAVK
Recent on Overpass
MOUZ NXT
no data
Lavked
13-9
vs Rebels
Apr 30
13-9
vs Hashiras
Apr 9
13-16
vs G2 Ares
Apr 2
3-13
vs QUAZAR
Mar 30
9-13
vs Atreides
Mar 23
Dust2
MN
7
–
13
LAVK
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MN
LAVK
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Sniper Score
MN
LAVK
T Side
MN
LAVK
1v1 Clutches
MN
LAVK
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ NXT
13-5
vs Ursa
May 4
7-13
vs UNiTY
Apr 27
16-14
vs Ursa
Apr 19
Lavked
13-7
vs UNiTY
May 6
13-5
vs The Last Resort
May 6
10-13
vs Phantom
May 4
13-10
vs Omega
May 3
7-13
vs GenOne
May 3
Anubis
MN
7
–
13
LAVK
25%
75%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
MN
LAVK
After First Death
MN
LAVK
Opponent-Rating Diff
MN
LAVK
After First Kill
MN
LAVK
Map Win Rate
MN
LAVK
Recent on Anubis
MOUZ NXT
no data
Lavked
10-13
vs FAVBET
Apr 21
7-13
vs arcred
Apr 14
4-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 14
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3 matches