Bo3 · Stake Ranked Episode 2 Closed Qualifier
· 2026-04-30
magic
vs
Tricked
58%
42%
Series win probability
MAGI
2–1
32%
MAGI
2–0
26%
TRIC
2–0
24%
TRIC
2–1
18%
Model Insights
magic has a moderate edge at 58%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 1.03), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#55 vs #44), a strong mirage (64% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Ancient · Overpass · Mirage
Scenario 2
30%
Ancient · Overpass · Anubis
Scenario 3
28%
Ancient · Overpass · Inferno
Ancient
MAGI
16
–
14
TRIC
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MAGI
TRIC
After First Kill
MAGI
TRIC
Clutch Score
MAGI
TRIC
Round Win Rate
MAGI
TRIC
Elo Diff
MAGI
TRIC
Recent on Ancient
magic
6-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
13-2
vs Drama
Apr 5
9-13
vs k27
Apr 3
13-9
vs k27
Apr 2
13-3
vs ACROBATS
Apr 1
Tricked
13-10
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 20
5-13
vs alliance
Apr 13
4-13
vs ESC
Apr 9
13-5
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
5-13
vs hotu
Mar 25
Overpass
MAGI
16
–
14
TRIC
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Clutch Score
MAGI
TRIC
After First Death
MAGI
TRIC
After First Kill
MAGI
TRIC
T Side
MAGI
TRIC
Elo Opp
MAGI
TRIC
Recent on Overpass
magic
11-13
vs big
Apr 5
13-11
vs k27
Apr 3
13-9
vs Inner Circle Academy
Mar 23
8-13
vs ECSTATIC
Mar 5
4-13
vs TDK
Mar 3
Tricked
13-11
vs fnatic
Apr 23
9-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 20
13-6
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 8
13-5
vs bestia
Apr 3
13-11
vs heroic
Mar 25
Mirage
MAGI
13
–
8
TRIC
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Clutch Score
MAGI
TRIC
Elo Opp
MAGI
TRIC
Side Balance
MAGI
TRIC
Elo Diff
MAGI
TRIC
After First Death
MAGI
TRIC
Recent on Mirage
magic
13-11
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
7-13
vs big
Apr 5
13-10
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-4
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 4
9-13
vs k27
Apr 3
Tricked
16-13
vs sinners
Apr 24
13-10
vs fnatic
Apr 23
13-9
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 20
14-16
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 14
13-1
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 8
Ancient
MAGI
16
–
14
TRIC
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MAGI
TRIC
After First Kill
MAGI
TRIC
Clutch Score
MAGI
TRIC
Round Win Rate
MAGI
TRIC
Elo Diff
MAGI
TRIC
Recent on Ancient
magic
6-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
13-2
vs Drama
Apr 5
9-13
vs k27
Apr 3
13-9
vs k27
Apr 2
13-3
vs ACROBATS
Apr 1
Tricked
13-10
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 20
5-13
vs alliance
Apr 13
4-13
vs ESC
Apr 9
13-5
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
5-13
vs hotu
Mar 25
Overpass
MAGI
16
–
14
TRIC
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Clutch Score
MAGI
TRIC
After First Death
MAGI
TRIC
After First Kill
MAGI
TRIC
T Side
MAGI
TRIC
Elo Opp
MAGI
TRIC
Recent on Overpass
magic
11-13
vs big
Apr 5
13-11
vs k27
Apr 3
13-9
vs Inner Circle Academy
Mar 23
8-13
vs ECSTATIC
Mar 5
4-13
vs TDK
Mar 3
Tricked
13-11
vs fnatic
Apr 23
9-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 20
13-6
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 8
13-5
vs bestia
Apr 3
13-11
vs heroic
Mar 25
Anubis
MAGI
13
–
7
TRIC
73%
27%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
TRIC
After First Death
MAGI
TRIC
Round Win Rate
MAGI
TRIC
Clutch Score
MAGI
TRIC
Elo Opp
MAGI
TRIC
Recent on Anubis
magic
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
10-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-3
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-1
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
13-6
vs k27
Apr 3
Tricked
13-3
vs Passion UA
Mar 24
8-13
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Mar 24
13-9
vs ECSTATIC
Mar 15
8-13
vs Inner Circle
Feb 28
13-5
vs MOUZ NXT
Feb 27
Ancient
MAGI
16
–
14
TRIC
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MAGI
TRIC
After First Kill
MAGI
TRIC
Clutch Score
MAGI
TRIC
Round Win Rate
MAGI
TRIC
Elo Diff
MAGI
TRIC
Recent on Ancient
magic
6-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
13-2
vs Drama
Apr 5
9-13
vs k27
Apr 3
13-9
vs k27
Apr 2
13-3
vs ACROBATS
Apr 1
Tricked
13-10
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 20
5-13
vs alliance
Apr 13
4-13
vs ESC
Apr 9
13-5
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
5-13
vs hotu
Mar 25
Overpass
MAGI
16
–
14
TRIC
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Clutch Score
MAGI
TRIC
After First Death
MAGI
TRIC
After First Kill
MAGI
TRIC
T Side
MAGI
TRIC
Elo Opp
MAGI
TRIC
Recent on Overpass
magic
11-13
vs big
Apr 5
13-11
vs k27
Apr 3
13-9
vs Inner Circle Academy
Mar 23
8-13
vs ECSTATIC
Mar 5
4-13
vs TDK
Mar 3
Tricked
13-11
vs fnatic
Apr 23
9-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 20
13-6
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 8
13-5
vs bestia
Apr 3
13-11
vs heroic
Mar 25
Inferno
MAGI
11
–
13
TRIC
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MAGI
TRIC
After First Kill
MAGI
TRIC
Clutch Score
MAGI
TRIC
T Side
MAGI
TRIC
CT Side
MAGI
TRIC
Recent on Inferno
magic
13-5
vs Drama
Apr 5
8-13
vs 100 Thieves
Mar 31
13-10
vs TDK
Mar 3
6-13
vs gentle mates
Feb 14
13-11
vs FAVBET
Feb 6
Tricked
13-9
vs ESC
Apr 9
10-13
vs Sangal
Apr 5
13-9
vs Sashi
Mar 15
Recent Results
last 11 matches
magic
Tricked
L
1-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AnubisMirageAncient
Apr 25
5d ago
W
2-0
vs Drama
InfernoAncient
Apr 5
25d ago
L
0-2
vs big
MirageOverpass
Apr 5
25d ago
L
1-2
vs illwill
Dust2MirageAnubis
Apr 5
25d ago
W
2-0
vs Re Di
Dust2Anubis
Apr 4
26d ago
W
2-0
vs PIVOSQUAD
Dust2Anubis
Apr 4
26d ago
W
2-0
vs CYBERSHOKE
MirageDust2
Apr 4
26d ago
W
3-2
vs k27
AncientMirageDust2OverpassAnubis
Apr 3
27d ago
W
2-0
vs k27
Dust2Ancient
Apr 2
28d ago
W
2-0
vs ACROBATS
Dust2Ancient
Apr 1
29d ago
W
2-1
vs 100 Thieves
InfernoMirageAncient
Mar 31
30d ago
W
2-0
vs sinners
NukeMirage
Apr 24
6d ago
W
2-0
vs fnatic
OverpassMirage
Apr 23
7d ago
W
2-1
vs Johnny Speeds
OverpassMirageAncient
Apr 20
10d ago
L
0-1
vs Young Ninjas
Mirage
Apr 14
16d ago
L
0-1
vs alliance
Ancient
Apr 13
17d ago
L
1-2
vs ESC
InfernoAncientNuke
Apr 9
21d ago
W
2-0
vs ex-RUBY
OverpassMirage
Apr 8
22d ago
L
0-2
vs Sangal
InfernoNuke
Apr 5
25d ago
W
2-0
vs HAVENs
AncientNuke
Apr 3
27d ago
W
2-0
vs bestia
OverpassMirage
Apr 3
27d ago
L
0-2
vs AM
MirageNuke
Mar 30
31d ago
Player Matchups
magic
Ratings
Tricked
TE
tenzy
EntryADR 79.5KAST 73%
LE
leakz
EntryADR 79.3KAST 73%
MA
MaSvAl
RiflerADR 75.7KAST 74%
NI
NickyB
RiflerADR 75.1KAST 72%
MO
mo0N
AWPADR 81.5KAST 72%
BO
Boye
RiflerADR 72.4KAST 72%
AW
AW
RiflerADR 75.8KAST 74%
SA
salazar
AWPADR 66.7KAST 70%
SF
sFade8
RiflerADR 74.2KAST 68%
IC
IceBerg
RiflerADR 69.6KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Nuke
MAGI
6
–
13
TRIC
18%
82%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
TRIC
After First Death
MAGI
TRIC
Opening Kills
MAGI
TRIC
Clutch Score
MAGI
TRIC
Experience
MAGI
TRIC
Recent on Nuke
magic
no data
Tricked
22-20
vs sinners
Apr 24
9-13
vs ESC
Apr 9
10-13
vs Sangal
Apr 5
13-3
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
11-13
vs AM
Mar 30
Dust2
MAGI
13
–
6
TRIC
79%
21%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
TRIC
After First Death
MAGI
TRIC
Map Player Rating
MAGI
TRIC
Clutch Score
MAGI
TRIC
Experience
MAGI
TRIC
Recent on Dust2
magic
6-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-1
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-0
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
13-6
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 4
16-12
vs k27
Apr 3
Tricked
no data
Anubis
MAGI
13
–
7
TRIC
73%
27%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
TRIC
After First Death
MAGI
TRIC
Round Win Rate
MAGI
TRIC
Clutch Score
MAGI
TRIC
Elo Opp
MAGI
TRIC
Recent on Anubis
magic
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
10-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-3
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-1
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
13-6
vs k27
Apr 3
Tricked
13-3
vs Passion UA
Mar 24
8-13
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Mar 24
13-9
vs ECSTATIC
Mar 15
8-13
vs Inner Circle
Feb 28
13-5
vs MOUZ NXT
Feb 27
Inferno
MAGI
11
–
13
TRIC
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MAGI
TRIC
After First Kill
MAGI
TRIC
Clutch Score
MAGI
TRIC
T Side
MAGI
TRIC
CT Side
MAGI
TRIC
Recent on Inferno
magic
13-5
vs Drama
Apr 5
8-13
vs 100 Thieves
Mar 31
13-10
vs TDK
Mar 3
6-13
vs gentle mates
Feb 14
13-11
vs FAVBET
Feb 6
Tricked
13-9
vs ESC
Apr 9
10-13
vs Sangal
Apr 5
13-9
vs Sashi
Mar 15
More from Stake Ranked Episode 2 Closed Qualifier
2 matches