Bo3 · NODWIN Clutch Series 8 Closed Qualifier
· 2026-05-06
Ursa
vs
Oxuji
26%
74%
Series win probability
OXUJ
2–1
59%
URSA
2–0
19%
OXUJ
2–0
15%
URSA
2–1
7%
Model Insights
Oxuji is strongly favored at 74%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#105 vs #77), a strong mirage (89% win probability). Ursa's best shot is nuke where they hold a 81% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
48%
Dust2 · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 2
28%
Dust2 · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 3
23%
Dust2 · Nuke · Anubis
Dust2
URSA
8
–
13
OXUJ
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
After First Death
URSA
OXUJ
Map Player Rating
URSA
OXUJ
Map Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
Experience
URSA
OXUJ
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
5-13
vs MOUZ NXT
May 4
13-7
vs HYPERSPIRIT
May 4
13-1
vs HAVU
May 3
13-5
vs PsychoFace
May 2
13-10
vs Lilmix
Apr 28
Oxuji
2-13
vs TDK
Apr 17
Nuke
URSA
13
–
7
OXUJ
81%
19%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
Map Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
Ranking
URSA
OXUJ
Map Player Rating
URSA
OXUJ
Sniper Score
URSA
OXUJ
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
13-1
vs MOUZ NXT
May 4
8-13
vs HAVU
May 3
16-13
vs PsychoFace
May 2
5-13
vs Walczaki
Apr 26
9-13
vs betboom
Apr 24
Oxuji
11-13
vs alliance
Apr 24
13-6
vs FAVBET
Apr 22
13-6
vs Lavked
Apr 18
Mirage
URSA
5
–
13
OXUJ
11%
89%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
After First Death
URSA
OXUJ
After First Kill
URSA
OXUJ
Map Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
Map Player Rating
URSA
OXUJ
Recent on Mirage
Ursa
13-3
vs MOUZ NXT
May 4
13-8
vs HAVU
May 3
10-13
vs Lilmix
Apr 28
4-13
vs MOUZ NXT
Apr 19
14-16
vs Phantom
Apr 10
Oxuji
10-13
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 20
5-13
vs Lavked
Apr 18
Dust2
URSA
8
–
13
OXUJ
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
After First Death
URSA
OXUJ
Map Player Rating
URSA
OXUJ
Map Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
Experience
URSA
OXUJ
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
5-13
vs MOUZ NXT
May 4
13-7
vs HYPERSPIRIT
May 4
13-1
vs HAVU
May 3
13-5
vs PsychoFace
May 2
13-10
vs Lilmix
Apr 28
Oxuji
2-13
vs TDK
Apr 17
Nuke
URSA
13
–
7
OXUJ
81%
19%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
Map Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
Ranking
URSA
OXUJ
Map Player Rating
URSA
OXUJ
Sniper Score
URSA
OXUJ
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
13-1
vs MOUZ NXT
May 4
8-13
vs HAVU
May 3
16-13
vs PsychoFace
May 2
5-13
vs Walczaki
Apr 26
9-13
vs betboom
Apr 24
Oxuji
11-13
vs alliance
Apr 24
13-6
vs FAVBET
Apr 22
13-6
vs Lavked
Apr 18
Inferno
URSA
10
–
13
OXUJ
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
OXUJ
Round Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
Map Player Rating
URSA
OXUJ
Schedule Strength
URSA
OXUJ
Sniper Score
URSA
OXUJ
Recent on Inferno
Ursa
5-13
vs Lilmix
Apr 28
13-3
vs BRUTE
Apr 27
5-13
vs Walczaki
Apr 26
13-7
vs GenOne
Apr 22
6-13
vs ESC
Apr 16
Oxuji
13-10
vs FAVBET
Apr 22
Dust2
URSA
8
–
13
OXUJ
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
After First Death
URSA
OXUJ
Map Player Rating
URSA
OXUJ
Map Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
Experience
URSA
OXUJ
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
5-13
vs MOUZ NXT
May 4
13-7
vs HYPERSPIRIT
May 4
13-1
vs HAVU
May 3
13-5
vs PsychoFace
May 2
13-10
vs Lilmix
Apr 28
Oxuji
2-13
vs TDK
Apr 17
Nuke
URSA
13
–
7
OXUJ
81%
19%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
Map Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
Ranking
URSA
OXUJ
Map Player Rating
URSA
OXUJ
Sniper Score
URSA
OXUJ
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
13-1
vs MOUZ NXT
May 4
8-13
vs HAVU
May 3
16-13
vs PsychoFace
May 2
5-13
vs Walczaki
Apr 26
9-13
vs betboom
Apr 24
Oxuji
11-13
vs alliance
Apr 24
13-6
vs FAVBET
Apr 22
13-6
vs Lavked
Apr 18
Anubis
URSA
11
–
13
OXUJ
43%
57%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
After First Death
URSA
OXUJ
After First Kill
URSA
OXUJ
Map Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
Map Player Rating
URSA
OXUJ
Recent on Anubis
Ursa
13-10
vs HYPERSPIRIT
May 4
13-9
vs betboom
Apr 24
9-13
vs big
Apr 9
13-2
vs Persona Grata
Apr 3
13-11
vs ECSTATIC
Apr 2
Oxuji
11-13
vs Walczaki
May 1
7-13
vs alliance
Apr 24
6-13
vs TDK
Apr 17
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Ursa
Oxuji
W
2-1
vs MOUZ NXT
Dust2MirageNuke
May 4
2d ago
W
2-0
vs HYPERSPIRIT
AnubisDust2
May 4
2d ago
W
2-1
vs HAVU
NukeDust2Mirage
May 3
3d ago
W
2-1
vs PsychoFace
OverpassDust2Nuke
May 2
4d ago
L
1-2
vs Lilmix
Dust2MirageInferno
Apr 28
8d ago
W
2-1
vs BRUTE
Dust2OverpassInferno
Apr 27
9d ago
L
0-2
vs Walczaki
InfernoNuke
Apr 26
10d ago
W
2-1
vs betboom
Dust2NukeAnubis
Apr 24
12d ago
W
2-1
vs GenOne
Dust2OverpassInferno
Apr 22
14d ago
W
2-0
vs Bebop
NukeDust2
Apr 21
15d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ NXT
Dust2Mirage
Apr 19
17d ago
L
0-2
vs Walczaki
AncientAnubis
May 1
5d ago
L
0-2
vs alliance
NukeAnubis
Apr 24
12d ago
W
2-0
vs FAVBET
NukeInferno
Apr 22
14d ago
L
0-2
vs ex-RUBY
AncientMirage
Apr 20
16d ago
W
2-1
vs Lavked
MirageAncientNuke
Apr 18
18d ago
L
1-2
vs TDK
AncientAnubisDust2
Apr 17
19d ago
Player Matchups
Ursa
Ratings
Oxuji
AL
Alv
AWPADR 79.7KAST 74%
HE
HeCkBNk
EntryADR 71.1KAST 73%
KA
karnez
EntryADR 81.2KAST 73%
AY
ayano
RiflerADR 73.9KAST 72%
4X
4X1s
RiflerADR 78.1KAST 72%
KU
Kurama
AWPADR 80.4KAST 70%
SA
Salazar
RiflerADR 65.6KAST 73%
K1
k1ssly
RiflerADR 68.7KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Ancient
URSA
8
–
13
OXUJ
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
OXUJ
Ranking
URSA
OXUJ
Schedule Strength
URSA
OXUJ
Sniper Score
URSA
OXUJ
After First Death
URSA
OXUJ
Recent on Ancient
Ursa
11-13
vs ASTRAL
Mar 17
Oxuji
4-13
vs Walczaki
May 1
10-13
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 20
13-6
vs Lavked
Apr 18
13-9
vs TDK
Apr 17
Inferno
URSA
10
–
13
OXUJ
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
OXUJ
Round Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
Map Player Rating
URSA
OXUJ
Schedule Strength
URSA
OXUJ
Sniper Score
URSA
OXUJ
Recent on Inferno
Ursa
5-13
vs Lilmix
Apr 28
13-3
vs BRUTE
Apr 27
5-13
vs Walczaki
Apr 26
13-7
vs GenOne
Apr 22
6-13
vs ESC
Apr 16
Oxuji
13-10
vs FAVBET
Apr 22
Anubis
URSA
11
–
13
OXUJ
43%
57%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
After First Death
URSA
OXUJ
After First Kill
URSA
OXUJ
Map Win Rate
URSA
OXUJ
Map Player Rating
URSA
OXUJ
Recent on Anubis
Ursa
13-10
vs HYPERSPIRIT
May 4
13-9
vs betboom
Apr 24
9-13
vs big
Apr 9
13-2
vs Persona Grata
Apr 3
13-11
vs ECSTATIC
Apr 2
Oxuji
11-13
vs Walczaki
May 1
7-13
vs alliance
Apr 24
6-13
vs TDK
Apr 17
More from NODWIN Clutch Series 8 Closed Qualifier
3 matches