Project Leggy
Back
Bo3  ·  NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · 2026-05-08
SPARTA
vs
ex-RUBY
34%
66%
Series win probability
EX-R 2–0 39%
EX-R 2–1 27%
SPAR 2–1 20%
SPAR 2–0 14%
Actual result
Mirage 13–7 EX-R
Overpass 13–8 SPAR
Dust2 13–9 EX-R
Model Insights
ex-RUBY has a moderate edge at 66%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#94 vs #68), a strong dust2 (63% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 43% Dust2 · Mirage · Overpass
Scenario 2 38% Dust2 · Mirage · Nuke
Scenario 3 18% Dust2 · Mirage · Ancient
Dust2
SPAR 10 13 EX-R
37%
63%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
EX-R
Ranking
SPAR
EX-R
After First Kill
SPAR
EX-R
Round Win Rate
SPAR
EX-R
Days With Lineup Team
SPAR
EX-R
Recent on Dust2
SPARTA
9-13 vs Nemesis May 3
13-6 vs HEROIC Academy May 3
13-6 vs fnatic May 2
13-10 vs megoshort Apr 28
13-16 vs TDK Apr 25
ex-RUBY
13-10 vs Oxuji May 6
13-7 vs HAVU May 3
13-8 vs Nemiga Apr 25
13-16 vs RUSTEC Apr 24
6-13 vs playersclub Apr 23
Mirage
SPAR 9 13 EX-R
38%
62%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
EX-R
Ranking
SPAR
EX-R
Round Win Rate
SPAR
EX-R
After First Death
SPAR
EX-R
Days With Lineup Team
SPAR
EX-R
Recent on Mirage
SPARTA
13-8 vs fnatic May 2
13-1 vs megoshort Apr 28
11-13 vs BIG Apr 26
13-10 vs TDK Apr 25
16-13 vs Lavked Apr 25
ex-RUBY
13-9 vs Oxuji May 6
13-10 vs RUSTEC Apr 24
13-10 vs Oxuji Apr 20
9-13 vs TDK Apr 18
16-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 17
Overpass
SPAR 11 13 EX-R
43%
57%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
EX-R
After First Kill
SPAR
EX-R
Ranking
SPAR
EX-R
Round Win Rate
SPAR
EX-R
T Side
SPAR
EX-R
Recent on Overpass
SPARTA
13-11 vs GenOne May 5
13-5 vs HEROIC Academy May 3
13-9 vs Rebels Apr 29
13-7 vs GenOne Apr 27
16-14 vs TDK Apr 25
ex-RUBY
13-16 vs RUSTEC Apr 24
3-13 vs TDK Apr 18
6-13 vs Tricked Apr 8
13-9 vs Omega Mar 19
13-6 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 15
Dust2
SPAR 10 13 EX-R
37%
63%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
EX-R
Ranking
SPAR
EX-R
After First Kill
SPAR
EX-R
Round Win Rate
SPAR
EX-R
Days With Lineup Team
SPAR
EX-R
Recent on Dust2
SPARTA
9-13 vs Nemesis May 3
13-6 vs HEROIC Academy May 3
13-6 vs fnatic May 2
13-10 vs megoshort Apr 28
13-16 vs TDK Apr 25
ex-RUBY
13-10 vs Oxuji May 6
13-7 vs HAVU May 3
13-8 vs Nemiga Apr 25
13-16 vs RUSTEC Apr 24
6-13 vs playersclub Apr 23
Mirage
SPAR 9 13 EX-R
38%
62%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
EX-R
Ranking
SPAR
EX-R
Round Win Rate
SPAR
EX-R
After First Death
SPAR
EX-R
Days With Lineup Team
SPAR
EX-R
Recent on Mirage
SPARTA
13-8 vs fnatic May 2
13-1 vs megoshort Apr 28
11-13 vs BIG Apr 26
13-10 vs TDK Apr 25
16-13 vs Lavked Apr 25
ex-RUBY
13-9 vs Oxuji May 6
13-10 vs RUSTEC Apr 24
13-10 vs Oxuji Apr 20
9-13 vs TDK Apr 18
16-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 17
Nuke
SPAR 10 13 EX-R
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
EX-R
After First Kill
SPAR
EX-R
Ranking
SPAR
EX-R
Map ADR
SPAR
EX-R
Round Win Rate
SPAR
EX-R
Recent on Nuke
SPARTA
16-12 vs Rebels Apr 29
8-13 vs Lavked Apr 25
7-13 vs ww Mar 25
ex-RUBY
13-1 vs HAVU May 3
5-13 vs playersclub Apr 23
13-5 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 17
13-4 vs Phantom Apr 14
10-13 vs Metizport Apr 13
Dust2
SPAR 10 13 EX-R
37%
63%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
EX-R
Ranking
SPAR
EX-R
After First Kill
SPAR
EX-R
Round Win Rate
SPAR
EX-R
Days With Lineup Team
SPAR
EX-R
Recent on Dust2
SPARTA
9-13 vs Nemesis May 3
13-6 vs HEROIC Academy May 3
13-6 vs fnatic May 2
13-10 vs megoshort Apr 28
13-16 vs TDK Apr 25
ex-RUBY
13-10 vs Oxuji May 6
13-7 vs HAVU May 3
13-8 vs Nemiga Apr 25
13-16 vs RUSTEC Apr 24
6-13 vs playersclub Apr 23
Mirage
SPAR 9 13 EX-R
38%
62%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
EX-R
Ranking
SPAR
EX-R
Round Win Rate
SPAR
EX-R
After First Death
SPAR
EX-R
Days With Lineup Team
SPAR
EX-R
Recent on Mirage
SPARTA
13-8 vs fnatic May 2
13-1 vs megoshort Apr 28
11-13 vs BIG Apr 26
13-10 vs TDK Apr 25
16-13 vs Lavked Apr 25
ex-RUBY
13-9 vs Oxuji May 6
13-10 vs RUSTEC Apr 24
13-10 vs Oxuji Apr 20
9-13 vs TDK Apr 18
16-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 17
Ancient
SPAR 8 13 EX-R
33%
67%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
SPAR
EX-R
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
EX-R
Ranking
SPAR
EX-R
After First Death
SPAR
EX-R
Map ADR
SPAR
EX-R
Recent on Ancient
SPARTA
13-6 vs GenOne May 5
5-13 vs Nemesis May 3
13-6 vs GenOne Apr 27
17-19 vs BIG Apr 26
11-13 vs DONSTU Apr 23
ex-RUBY
14-16 vs Oxuji May 6
13-8 vs playersclub Apr 23
13-10 vs Oxuji Apr 20
8-13 vs Metizport Apr 13
13-3 vs TNC Apr 3
Recent Results last 11 matches
SPARTA
ex-RUBY
W 2-0 vs GenOne AncientOverpass May 5 8d ago
L 0-2 vs Nemesis Dust2Ancient May 3 10d ago
W 2-0 vs HEROIC Academy OverpassDust2 May 3 10d ago
W 2-1 vs fnatic Dust2InfernoMirage May 2 11d ago
W 2-1 vs Rebels InfernoOverpassNuke Apr 29 14d ago
W 2-0 vs megoshort MirageDust2 Apr 28 15d ago
W 2-0 vs GenOne AncientOverpass Apr 27 16d ago
L 0-2 vs BIG MirageAncient Apr 26 17d ago
W 2-1 vs TDK OverpassDust2Mirage Apr 25 18d ago
W 2-1 vs Lavked InfernoNukeMirage Apr 25 18d ago
W 2-1 vs DONSTU AncientDust2Overpass Apr 23 20d ago
W 2-1 vs Oxuji MirageAncientDust2 May 6 7d ago
W 2-0 vs HAVU Dust2Nuke May 3 10d ago
L 1-2 vs Nemiga Dust2AnubisInferno Apr 25 18d ago
L 1-2 vs RUSTEC OverpassMirageDust2 Apr 24 19d ago
L 1-2 vs playersclub AncientNukeDust2 Apr 23 20d ago
W 2-0 vs Oxuji AncientMirage Apr 20 23d ago
L 0-2 vs TDK MirageOverpass Apr 18 25d ago
W 2-0 vs MOUZ NXT NukeMirage Apr 17 26d ago
W 2-1 vs Phantom NukeMirageDust2 Apr 14 29d ago
L 1-2 vs Metizport MirageNukeAncient Apr 13 30d ago
W 2-1 vs STATE NukeMirageAnubis Apr 11 32d ago
Player Matchups
SPARTA
Ratings
ex-RUBY
TR
TRAVIS
RiflerADR 76.5KAST 75%
1.17 vs 1.12
KA
Kaide
RiflerADR 83.2KAST 73%
FO
Forester
EntryADR 74.4KAST 73%
1.08 vs 1.08
YU
YumsaN
AWPADR 73.3KAST 72%
LA
Lack1
RiflerADR 77.9KAST 69%
1.07 vs 1.02
H4
H4SAN4TOR
RiflerADR 76.8KAST 73%
EL
El1an
AWPADR 69.0KAST 71%
1.00 vs 1.01
SH
sh1nejezzz
EntryADR 67.8KAST 73%
NI
NickelBack
RiflerADR 68.5KAST 71%
0.93 vs
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
SPAR 13 8 EX-R
70%
30%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
SPAR
EX-R
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
EX-R
Ranking
SPAR
EX-R
Map ADR
SPAR
EX-R
After First Death
SPAR
EX-R
Recent on Inferno
SPARTA
6-13 vs fnatic May 2
11-13 vs Rebels Apr 29
16-12 vs Lavked Apr 25
13-3 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Apr 2
ex-RUBY
6-13 vs Nemiga Apr 25
Anubis
SPAR 8 13 EX-R
32%
68%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
EX-R
Ranking
SPAR
EX-R
Map ADR
SPAR
EX-R
After First Kill
SPAR
EX-R
Ban Rate
SPAR
EX-R
Recent on Anubis
SPARTA
no data
ex-RUBY
6-13 vs Nemiga Apr 25
16-14 vs STATE Apr 11
13-10 vs STATE Apr 5
10-13 vs Friendly Campers Mar 17
13-7 vs CYBERSHOKE Mar 13
Ancient
SPAR 8 13 EX-R
33%
67%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
SPAR
EX-R
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
EX-R
Ranking
SPAR
EX-R
After First Death
SPAR
EX-R
Map ADR
SPAR
EX-R
Recent on Ancient
SPARTA
13-6 vs GenOne May 5
5-13 vs Nemesis May 3
13-6 vs GenOne Apr 27
17-19 vs BIG Apr 26
11-13 vs DONSTU Apr 23
ex-RUBY
14-16 vs Oxuji May 6
13-8 vs playersclub Apr 23
13-10 vs Oxuji Apr 20
8-13 vs Metizport Apr 13
13-3 vs TNC Apr 3
Nuke
SPAR 10 13 EX-R
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
EX-R
After First Kill
SPAR
EX-R
Ranking
SPAR
EX-R
Map ADR
SPAR
EX-R
Round Win Rate
SPAR
EX-R
Recent on Nuke
SPARTA
16-12 vs Rebels Apr 29
8-13 vs Lavked Apr 25
7-13 vs ww Mar 25
ex-RUBY
13-1 vs HAVU May 3
5-13 vs playersclub Apr 23
13-5 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 17
13-4 vs Phantom Apr 14
10-13 vs Metizport Apr 13
More from NODWIN Clutch Series 8 2 matches