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Bo3  ·  Stake Ranked Episode 2 Closed Qualifier · 2026-05-02
Gentle Mates
vs
FOKUS
52%
48%
Series win probability
GM 2–1 36%
FOKU 2–0 33%
GM 2–0 16%
FOKU 2–1 15%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Gentle Mates is slightly favored at 52% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#36 vs #29), a strong nuke (71% win probability). FOKUS's best shot is inferno where they hold a 71% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 41% Inferno · Ancient · Nuke
Scenario 2 31% Inferno · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 3 28% Inferno · Ancient · Overpass
Inferno
GM 8 – 13 FOKU
29%
71%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
GM
FOKU
Map Player Rating
GM
FOKU
After First Death
GM
FOKU
Map Win Rate
GM
FOKU
Ranking
GM
FOKU
Recent on Inferno
Gentle Mates
13-2 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-5 vs 9INE Apr 26
19-17 vs SINNERS Apr 26
13-11 vs ASTRAL Apr 25
13-8 vs G2 Apr 13
FOKUS
13-16 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 8
14-16 vs Wildcard Apr 6
14-16 vs parivision Apr 5
13-7 vs 3dmax Apr 4
13-7 vs Wildcard Mar 24
Ancient
GM 16 – 14 FOKU
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
FOKU
Round Win Rate
GM
FOKU
After First Kill
GM
FOKU
Map Player Rating
GM
FOKU
Map Win Rate
GM
FOKU
Recent on Ancient
Gentle Mates
16-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-6 vs 9INE Apr 26
13-4 vs RED Canids Apr 14
5-13 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
13-9 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 25
FOKUS
13-8 vs KOLESIE Apr 25
13-3 vs BC.Game Apr 7
13-6 vs 3dmax Apr 4
13-6 vs OlyBet Mar 24
22-20 vs Phantom Mar 24
Nuke
GM 13 – 8 FOKU
71%
29%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
FOKU
CT Side
GM
FOKU
T Rating
GM
FOKU
Ranking
GM
FOKU
T Side
GM
FOKU
Recent on Nuke
Gentle Mates
10-13 vs SINNERS Apr 26
4-13 vs 9INE Apr 2
13-7 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
13-16 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 25
10-13 vs betboom Feb 22
FOKUS
9-13 vs KOLESIE Apr 25
13-5 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 8
13-2 vs Wildcard Apr 6
16-13 vs Phantom Mar 24
8-13 vs 100 Thieves Mar 9
Inferno
GM 8 – 13 FOKU
29%
71%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
GM
FOKU
Map Player Rating
GM
FOKU
After First Death
GM
FOKU
Map Win Rate
GM
FOKU
Ranking
GM
FOKU
Recent on Inferno
Gentle Mates
13-2 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-5 vs 9INE Apr 26
19-17 vs SINNERS Apr 26
13-11 vs ASTRAL Apr 25
13-8 vs G2 Apr 13
FOKUS
13-16 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 8
14-16 vs Wildcard Apr 6
14-16 vs parivision Apr 5
13-7 vs 3dmax Apr 4
13-7 vs Wildcard Mar 24
Ancient
GM 16 – 14 FOKU
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
FOKU
Round Win Rate
GM
FOKU
After First Kill
GM
FOKU
Map Player Rating
GM
FOKU
Map Win Rate
GM
FOKU
Recent on Ancient
Gentle Mates
16-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-6 vs 9INE Apr 26
13-4 vs RED Canids Apr 14
5-13 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
13-9 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 25
FOKUS
13-8 vs KOLESIE Apr 25
13-3 vs BC.Game Apr 7
13-6 vs 3dmax Apr 4
13-6 vs OlyBet Mar 24
22-20 vs Phantom Mar 24
Mirage
GM 13 – 9 FOKU
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
FOKU
Round Win Rate
GM
FOKU
After First Death
GM
FOKU
Map Win Rate
GM
FOKU
Map Player Rating
GM
FOKU
Recent on Mirage
Gentle Mates
11-13 vs SINNERS Apr 26
13-7 vs ASTRAL Apr 25
9-13 vs RED Canids Apr 14
8-13 vs G2 Apr 13
13-10 vs betboom Feb 22
FOKUS
7-13 vs Wildcard Apr 6
13-8 vs GAMEHARMONY Mar 23
8-13 vs Voca Mar 9
6-13 vs AM Mar 8
11-13 vs Voca Mar 8
Inferno
GM 8 – 13 FOKU
29%
71%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
GM
FOKU
Map Player Rating
GM
FOKU
After First Death
GM
FOKU
Map Win Rate
GM
FOKU
Ranking
GM
FOKU
Recent on Inferno
Gentle Mates
13-2 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-5 vs 9INE Apr 26
19-17 vs SINNERS Apr 26
13-11 vs ASTRAL Apr 25
13-8 vs G2 Apr 13
FOKUS
13-16 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 8
14-16 vs Wildcard Apr 6
14-16 vs parivision Apr 5
13-7 vs 3dmax Apr 4
13-7 vs Wildcard Mar 24
Ancient
GM 16 – 14 FOKU
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
FOKU
Round Win Rate
GM
FOKU
After First Kill
GM
FOKU
Map Player Rating
GM
FOKU
Map Win Rate
GM
FOKU
Recent on Ancient
Gentle Mates
16-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-6 vs 9INE Apr 26
13-4 vs RED Canids Apr 14
5-13 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
13-9 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 25
FOKUS
13-8 vs KOLESIE Apr 25
13-3 vs BC.Game Apr 7
13-6 vs 3dmax Apr 4
13-6 vs OlyBet Mar 24
22-20 vs Phantom Mar 24
Overpass
GM 13 – 9 FOKU
68%
32%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
FOKU
Round Win Rate
GM
FOKU
After First Death
GM
FOKU
Map Player Rating
GM
FOKU
CT 4v5
GM
FOKU
Recent on Overpass
Gentle Mates
10-13 vs RED Canids Apr 14
3-13 vs G2 Apr 13
9-13 vs 9INE Apr 2
11-13 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
13-10 vs betboom Feb 22
FOKUS
13-10 vs BC.Game Apr 7
13-6 vs FOKUS REALITY Mar 23
7-13 vs 9INE Mar 8
13-2 vs Passion UA Mar 5
Recent Results last 11 matches
Gentle Mates
FOKUS
W 2-0 vs ASTRAL AncientInferno Apr 29 3d ago
W 2-0 vs 9INE AncientInferno Apr 26 6d ago
L 1-2 vs SINNERS InfernoMirageNuke Apr 26 6d ago
W 2-0 vs ASTRAL MirageInferno Apr 25 7d ago
L 1-2 vs RED Canids MirageAncientOverpass Apr 14 18d ago
L 1-2 vs G2 InfernoMirageOverpass Apr 13 19d ago
L 1-2 vs 9INE AnubisNukeOverpass Apr 2 30d ago
L 1-2 vs ninjas in pyjamas NukeOverpassAncient Apr 1 31d ago
W 2-1 vs HYPERSPIRIT AnubisNukeAncient Mar 25 38d ago
L 0-2 vs big AncientInferno Mar 25 38d ago
W 2-1 vs betboom NukeMirageOverpass Feb 22 69d ago
L 1-2 vs KOLESIE Dust2AncientNuke Apr 25 7d ago
L 1-2 vs EYEBALLERS InfernoNukeDust2 Apr 8 24d ago
W 2-0 vs BC.Game AncientOverpass Apr 7 25d ago
L 1-2 vs Wildcard NukeInfernoMirage Apr 6 26d ago
L 0-2 vs parivision Dust2Inferno Apr 5 27d ago
W 2-1 vs 3dmax AncientDust2Inferno Apr 4 28d ago
W 2-0 vs Wildcard InfernoDust2 Mar 24 39d ago
W 2-0 vs OlyBet AncientDust2 Mar 24 39d ago
W 2-0 vs Phantom AncientNuke Mar 24 39d ago
W 1-0 vs GAMEHARMONY Mirage Mar 23 40d ago
W 1-0 vs FOKUS REALITY Overpass Mar 23 40d ago
Player Matchups
Gentle Mates
Ratings
FOKUS
MA
MartinezSa
AWPADR 76.1KAST 74%
1.15 vs 1.17
BA
Banjo
RiflerADR 78.5KAST 77%
MO
mopoz
RiflerADR 76.6KAST 72%
1.10 vs 1.11
MA
Matheos
RiflerADR 77.6KAST 74%
SA
sausol
EntryADR 75.8KAST 75%
1.09 vs 1.06
JO
Jorko
AWPADR 70.7KAST 74%
AL
alex
RiflerADR 71.5KAST 72%
1.03 vs 1.04
ZT
ztr
RiflerADR 73.5KAST 72%
DA
dav1g
RiflerADR 70.6KAST 72%
1.03 vs 1.02
VO
volt
EntryADR 67.7KAST 76%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Overpass
GM 13 – 9 FOKU
68%
32%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
FOKU
Round Win Rate
GM
FOKU
After First Death
GM
FOKU
Map Player Rating
GM
FOKU
CT 4v5
GM
FOKU
Recent on Overpass
Gentle Mates
10-13 vs RED Canids Apr 14
3-13 vs G2 Apr 13
9-13 vs 9INE Apr 2
11-13 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
13-10 vs betboom Feb 22
FOKUS
13-10 vs BC.Game Apr 7
13-6 vs FOKUS REALITY Mar 23
7-13 vs 9INE Mar 8
13-2 vs Passion UA Mar 5
Mirage
GM 13 – 9 FOKU
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
FOKU
Round Win Rate
GM
FOKU
After First Death
GM
FOKU
Map Win Rate
GM
FOKU
Map Player Rating
GM
FOKU
Recent on Mirage
Gentle Mates
11-13 vs SINNERS Apr 26
13-7 vs ASTRAL Apr 25
9-13 vs RED Canids Apr 14
8-13 vs G2 Apr 13
13-10 vs betboom Feb 22
FOKUS
7-13 vs Wildcard Apr 6
13-8 vs GAMEHARMONY Mar 23
8-13 vs Voca Mar 9
6-13 vs AM Mar 8
11-13 vs Voca Mar 8
Anubis
GM 13 – 10 FOKU
58%
42%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
FOKU
After First Death
GM
FOKU
Round Win Rate
GM
FOKU
Ranking
GM
FOKU
CT 4v5
GM
FOKU
Recent on Anubis
Gentle Mates
13-9 vs 9INE Apr 2
13-6 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 25
3-13 vs HOTU Feb 14
13-10 vs Bushido Wildcats Feb 13
13-6 vs gothboiclique Feb 12
FOKUS
no data
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