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Bo3  ·  Stake Ranked Episode 2 Closed Qualifier · 2026-05-03
Gentle Mates
vs
magic
74%
26%
Series win probability
GM 2–1 39%
GM 2–0 34%
MAGI 2–0 17%
MAGI 2–1 9%
Model Insights
Gentle Mates is strongly favored at 74%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong mirage (81% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 50% Inferno · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 2 25% Inferno · Ancient · Overpass
Scenario 3 25% Inferno · Ancient · Anubis
Inferno
GM 13 9 MAGI
63%
37%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
GM
MAGI
Map Player Rating
GM
MAGI
CT Side
GM
MAGI
Map Win Rate
GM
MAGI
Recent on Inferno
Gentle Mates
13-2 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-5 vs 9INE Apr 26
19-17 vs SINNERS Apr 26
13-11 vs ASTRAL Apr 25
13-8 vs G2 Apr 13
magic
13-5 vs Drama Apr 5
8-13 vs 100 Thieves Mar 31
13-10 vs TDK Mar 3
6-13 vs Gentle Mates Feb 14
13-11 vs FAVBET Feb 6
Ancient
GM 13 11 MAGI
55%
45%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
MAGI
After First Kill
GM
MAGI
Days With Lineup Diff
GM
MAGI
Ranking
GM
MAGI
Schedule Strength
GM
MAGI
Recent on Ancient
Gentle Mates
13-11 vs FOKUS May 2
16-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-6 vs 9INE Apr 26
13-4 vs RED Canids Apr 14
5-13 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
magic
6-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 25
13-2 vs Drama Apr 5
9-13 vs k27 Apr 3
13-9 vs k27 Apr 2
13-3 vs ACROBATS Apr 1
Mirage
GM 13 7 MAGI
81%
19%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
GM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
GM
MAGI
Ranking
GM
MAGI
Schedule Strength
GM
MAGI
Map Player Rating
GM
MAGI
Recent on Mirage
Gentle Mates
11-13 vs SINNERS Apr 26
13-7 vs ASTRAL Apr 25
9-13 vs RED Canids Apr 14
8-13 vs G2 Apr 13
13-10 vs betboom Feb 22
magic
13-2 vs Eternal Fire May 2
13-11 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 25
7-13 vs big Apr 5
13-10 vs illwill Apr 5
13-4 vs CYBERSHOKE Apr 4
Inferno
GM 13 9 MAGI
63%
37%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
GM
MAGI
Map Player Rating
GM
MAGI
CT Side
GM
MAGI
Map Win Rate
GM
MAGI
Recent on Inferno
Gentle Mates
13-2 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-5 vs 9INE Apr 26
19-17 vs SINNERS Apr 26
13-11 vs ASTRAL Apr 25
13-8 vs G2 Apr 13
magic
13-5 vs Drama Apr 5
8-13 vs 100 Thieves Mar 31
13-10 vs TDK Mar 3
6-13 vs Gentle Mates Feb 14
13-11 vs FAVBET Feb 6
Ancient
GM 13 11 MAGI
55%
45%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
MAGI
After First Kill
GM
MAGI
Days With Lineup Diff
GM
MAGI
Ranking
GM
MAGI
Schedule Strength
GM
MAGI
Recent on Ancient
Gentle Mates
13-11 vs FOKUS May 2
16-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-6 vs 9INE Apr 26
13-4 vs RED Canids Apr 14
5-13 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
magic
6-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 25
13-2 vs Drama Apr 5
9-13 vs k27 Apr 3
13-9 vs k27 Apr 2
13-3 vs ACROBATS Apr 1
Overpass
GM 13 5 MAGI
88%
12%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
GM
MAGI
Map Player Rating
GM
MAGI
Ranking
GM
MAGI
Days With Lineup Diff
GM
MAGI
Recent on Overpass
Gentle Mates
10-13 vs RED Canids Apr 14
3-13 vs G2 Apr 13
9-13 vs 9INE Apr 2
11-13 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
13-10 vs betboom Feb 22
magic
11-13 vs big Apr 5
13-11 vs k27 Apr 3
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy Mar 23
8-13 vs ECSTATIC Mar 5
4-13 vs TDK Mar 3
Inferno
GM 13 9 MAGI
63%
37%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
GM
MAGI
Map Player Rating
GM
MAGI
CT Side
GM
MAGI
Map Win Rate
GM
MAGI
Recent on Inferno
Gentle Mates
13-2 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-5 vs 9INE Apr 26
19-17 vs SINNERS Apr 26
13-11 vs ASTRAL Apr 25
13-8 vs G2 Apr 13
magic
13-5 vs Drama Apr 5
8-13 vs 100 Thieves Mar 31
13-10 vs TDK Mar 3
6-13 vs Gentle Mates Feb 14
13-11 vs FAVBET Feb 6
Ancient
GM 13 11 MAGI
55%
45%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
MAGI
After First Kill
GM
MAGI
Days With Lineup Diff
GM
MAGI
Ranking
GM
MAGI
Schedule Strength
GM
MAGI
Recent on Ancient
Gentle Mates
13-11 vs FOKUS May 2
16-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 29
13-6 vs 9INE Apr 26
13-4 vs RED Canids Apr 14
5-13 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
magic
6-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 25
13-2 vs Drama Apr 5
9-13 vs k27 Apr 3
13-9 vs k27 Apr 2
13-3 vs ACROBATS Apr 1
Anubis
GM 13 8 MAGI
74%
26%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
MAGI
After First Kill
GM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
GM
MAGI
Ranking
GM
MAGI
Map Player Rating
GM
MAGI
Recent on Anubis
Gentle Mates
13-9 vs 9INE Apr 2
13-6 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 25
3-13 vs HOTU Feb 14
13-10 vs Bushido Wildcats Feb 13
13-6 vs gothboiclique Feb 12
magic
9-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 25
10-13 vs illwill Apr 5
13-3 vs Re Di Apr 4
13-1 vs PIVOSQUAD Apr 4
13-6 vs k27 Apr 3
Recent Results last 11 matches
Gentle Mates
magic
W 2-0 vs FOKUS AncientNuke May 2 1d ago
W 2-0 vs ASTRAL AncientInferno Apr 29 4d ago
W 2-0 vs 9INE AncientInferno Apr 26 7d ago
L 1-2 vs SINNERS InfernoMirageNuke Apr 26 7d ago
W 2-0 vs ASTRAL MirageInferno Apr 25 8d ago
L 1-2 vs RED Canids MirageAncientOverpass Apr 14 19d ago
L 1-2 vs G2 InfernoMirageOverpass Apr 13 20d ago
L 1-2 vs 9INE AnubisNukeOverpass Apr 2 31d ago
L 1-2 vs ninjas in pyjamas NukeOverpassAncient Apr 1 32d ago
W 2-1 vs HYPERSPIRIT AnubisNukeAncient Mar 25 39d ago
L 0-2 vs big AncientInferno Mar 25 39d ago
W 2-0 vs Eternal Fire MirageDust2 May 2 1d ago
L 1-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES AnubisMirageAncient Apr 25 8d ago
W 2-0 vs Drama InfernoAncient Apr 5 28d ago
L 0-2 vs big MirageOverpass Apr 5 28d ago
L 1-2 vs illwill Dust2MirageAnubis Apr 5 28d ago
W 2-0 vs Re Di Dust2Anubis Apr 4 29d ago
W 2-0 vs PIVOSQUAD Dust2Anubis Apr 4 29d ago
W 2-0 vs CYBERSHOKE MirageDust2 Apr 4 29d ago
W 3-2 vs k27 AncientMirageDust2OverpassAnubis Apr 3 30d ago
W 2-0 vs k27 Dust2Ancient Apr 2 31d ago
W 2-0 vs ACROBATS Dust2Ancient Apr 1 32d ago
Player Matchups
Gentle Mates
Ratings
magic
MA
MartinezSa
AWPADR 76.2KAST 74%
1.16 vs 1.21
TE
tenzy
EntryADR 79.7KAST 74%
MO
mopoz
RiflerADR 76.9KAST 72%
1.10 vs 1.20
MA
MaSvAl
RiflerADR 76.4KAST 74%
SA
sausol
EntryADR 76.2KAST 75%
1.09 vs 1.16
MO
mo0N
AWPADR 81.7KAST 73%
AL
alex
RiflerADR 72.2KAST 72%
1.05 vs 1.06
AW
AW
RiflerADR 76.3KAST 74%
DA
dav1g
RiflerADR 70.9KAST 72%
1.03 vs 0.96
SF
sFade8
RiflerADR 74.8KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Overpass
GM 13 5 MAGI
88%
12%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
GM
MAGI
Map Player Rating
GM
MAGI
Ranking
GM
MAGI
Days With Lineup Diff
GM
MAGI
Recent on Overpass
Gentle Mates
10-13 vs RED Canids Apr 14
3-13 vs G2 Apr 13
9-13 vs 9INE Apr 2
11-13 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
13-10 vs betboom Feb 22
magic
11-13 vs big Apr 5
13-11 vs k27 Apr 3
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy Mar 23
8-13 vs ECSTATIC Mar 5
4-13 vs TDK Mar 3
Nuke
GM 13 7 MAGI
75%
25%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
MAGI
After First Kill
GM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
GM
MAGI
Opening Kills
GM
MAGI
CT 4v5
GM
MAGI
Recent on Nuke
Gentle Mates
13-8 vs FOKUS May 2
10-13 vs SINNERS Apr 26
4-13 vs 9INE Apr 2
13-7 vs ninjas in pyjamas Apr 1
13-16 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 25
magic
no data
Anubis
GM 13 8 MAGI
74%
26%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
GM
MAGI
After First Kill
GM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
GM
MAGI
Ranking
GM
MAGI
Map Player Rating
GM
MAGI
Recent on Anubis
Gentle Mates
13-9 vs 9INE Apr 2
13-6 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 25
3-13 vs HOTU Feb 14
13-10 vs Bushido Wildcats Feb 13
13-6 vs gothboiclique Feb 12
magic
9-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 25
10-13 vs illwill Apr 5
13-3 vs Re Di Apr 4
13-1 vs PIVOSQUAD Apr 4
13-6 vs k27 Apr 3
More from Stake Ranked Episode 2 Closed Qualifier 1 match