Just Swing vs Alter Ego at Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 Closed Qualifier

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Bo1 · Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 Closed Qualifier 10:00 UTC · 2026-04-30

Just Swing

Alter Ego ✗

41%

59%

Series win probability

Actual result

Model Insights

Alter Ego has a moderate edge at 59%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 1.04), a significant ranking advantage (#176 vs #209), a strong nuke (82% win probability). Just Swing's best shot is dust2 where they hold a 67% edge.

Predicted Maps 3 maps

Scenario 1 100% Dust2

Dust2

JS 13 – 10 AE

67%

33%

Win prob OT 11%

Key factors

After First Kill

Ranking

After First Death

Round Win Rate

Overall Rating

Recent on Dust2

Just Swing

9-13 vs Rare Atom Apr 26

13-10 vs boring players Apr 1

10-13 vs XDM Mar 29

13-7 vs Unitronics Mar 27

7-13 vs Alter Ego Mar 24

Alter Ego

13-7 vs The QUBE Apr 26

4-13 vs fengda Mar 26

13-6 vs The QUBE Mar 25

13-7 vs Just Swing Mar 24

13-6 vs Haunted House Mar 23

Recent Results last 11 matches

Just Swing

Alter Ego

W 2-0 vs BORING PLAYERS AncientNuke Apr 28 1d ago

W 2-1 vs Rare Atom Dust2AnubisInferno Apr 26 3d ago

L 1-2 vs The QUBE NukeMirageInferno Apr 5 24d ago

L 0-2 vs Rare Atom InfernoMirage Apr 2 27d ago

W 2-1 vs boring players AncientDust2Nuke Apr 1 28d ago

L 1-2 vs TYLOO InfernoNukeMirage Mar 30 30d ago

L 0-2 vs XDM AnubisDust2 Mar 29 31d ago

L 0-1 vs semperfi Ancient Mar 28 32d ago

W 1-0 vs Unitronics Dust2 Mar 27 33d ago

L 0-2 vs Alter Ego NukeDust2 Mar 24 36d ago

L 0-2 vs BMZ Dust2Ancient Mar 23 37d ago

L 0-2 vs TYLOO MirageNuke Apr 27 2d ago

W 2-0 vs The QUBE Dust2Mirage Apr 26 3d ago

L 1-2 vs fengda NukeMirageDust2 Mar 26 34d ago

W 2-1 vs The QUBE OverpassAncientDust2 Mar 25 35d ago

W 2-0 vs Just Swing NukeDust2 Mar 24 36d ago

W 2-0 vs Haunted House NukeDust2 Mar 23 37d ago

W 2-1 vs Last Bullet OverpassMirageDust2 Mar 22 38d ago

L 1-2 vs BORING PLAYERS NukeAnubisAncient Mar 21 39d ago

W 2-0 vs Rare Atom AncientOverpass Mar 20 40d ago

L 1-2 vs lynn vision OverpassDust2Nuke Mar 12 48d ago

W 2-1 vs flyquest OverpassAnubisDust2 Mar 11 49d ago

Player Matchups

Just Swing

Rating 3.0

Alter Ego

qqGOD

RiflerADR 84.8KAST 7220%

1.17 vs 1.18

BOROS

RiflerADR 93.0KAST 6870%

gas

EntryADR 76.9KAST 7410%

1.04 vs 1.16

Polbandana

EntryADR 78.2KAST 7590%

sATOR1

RiflerADR 68.2KAST 7080%

1.01 vs 1.13

PokemoN

RiflerADR 79.0KAST 7150%

Purely

AWPADR 65.2KAST 7120%

0.99 vs 1.05

BnTeT

RiflerADR 73.5KAST 7310%

skrr

RiflerADR 70.8KAST 6970%

0.94 vs 0.96

Gratisfaction

AWPADR 66.3KAST 7070%

Unpredicted Maps 5 maps

Overpass

JS 5 – 13 AE

13%

87%

Win prob OT 3%

Key factors

After First Kill

After First Death

Ranking

Opening Kills

T 5v4

Recent on Overpass

Just Swing

no data

Alter Ego

14-16 vs The QUBE Mar 25

10-13 vs Last Bullet Mar 22

13-6 vs Rare Atom Mar 20

13-6 vs lynn vision Mar 12

13-8 vs flyquest Mar 11

Anubis

JS 7 – 13 AE

16%

84%

Win prob OT 5%

Key factors

After First Death

Ranking

Round Win Rate

Opening Score

Schedule Strength

Recent on Anubis

Just Swing

16-14 vs Rare Atom Apr 26

5-13 vs XDM Mar 29

Alter Ego

8-13 vs BORING PLAYERS Mar 21

9-13 vs flyquest Mar 11

9-13 vs lynn vision Feb 6

Mirage

JS 8 – 13 AE

33%

67%

Win prob OT 9%

Key factors

After First Death

Round Win Rate

Ranking

After First Kill

Utility Score

Recent on Mirage

Just Swing

10-13 vs The QUBE Apr 5

9-13 vs Rare Atom Apr 2

3-13 vs TYLOO Mar 30

Alter Ego

5-13 vs TYLOO Apr 27

16-14 vs The QUBE Apr 26

13-16 vs fengda Mar 26

13-7 vs Last Bullet Mar 22

10-13 vs Chinggis Warriors Mar 10

Nuke

JS 7 – 13 AE

18%

82%

Win prob OT 7%

Key factors

After First Kill

After First Death

Ranking

Round Win Rate

Overall Rating

Recent on Nuke

Just Swing

13-6 vs BORING PLAYERS Apr 28

13-2 vs The QUBE Apr 5

13-8 vs boring players Apr 1

10-13 vs TYLOO Mar 30

9-13 vs Alter Ego Mar 24

Alter Ego

1-13 vs TYLOO Apr 27

13-10 vs fengda Mar 26

13-9 vs Just Swing Mar 24

13-2 vs Haunted House Mar 23

13-11 vs BORING PLAYERS Mar 21

Ancient

JS 7 – 13 AE

28%

72%

Win prob OT 8%

Key factors

After First Kill

Ranking

After First Death

Utility Score

Opening Score

Recent on Ancient

Just Swing

13-6 vs BORING PLAYERS Apr 28

11-13 vs boring players Apr 1

9-13 vs semperfi Mar 28

1-13 vs BMZ Mar 23

6-13 vs morningstar Mar 23

Alter Ego

13-9 vs The QUBE Mar 25

5-13 vs BORING PLAYERS Mar 21

13-11 vs Rare Atom Mar 20