Bo3 · PGL Astana 2026
· 2026-05-09
The MongolZ
✓
vs
magic
56%
44%
Series win probability
TM
2–0
30%
TM
2–1
26%
MAGI
2–1
24%
MAGI
2–0
20%
Actual result
Mirage
25–23
TM
Inferno
13–4
TM
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — The MongolZ is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#7 vs #46).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
45%
Mirage · Ancient · Dust2
Scenario 2
36%
Mirage · Ancient · Inferno
Scenario 3
19%
Mirage · Ancient · Overpass
Mirage
TM
13
–
10
MAGI
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
TM
MAGI
Overall Rating
TM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
TM
MAGI
Map ADR
TM
MAGI
After First Kill
TM
MAGI
Recent on Mirage
The MongolZ
14-16
vs FUT
Apr 10
13-8
vs PARIVISION
Apr 9
4-13
vs Astralis
Apr 6
13-7
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 5
9-13
vs Aurora
Mar 27
magic
19-16
vs Gentle Mates
May 3
13-2
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
13-11
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
7-13
vs big
Apr 5
13-10
vs illwill
Apr 5
Ancient
TM
16
–
14
MAGI
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
TM
MAGI
Overall Rating
TM
MAGI
Map ADR
TM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
TM
MAGI
After First Kill
TM
MAGI
Recent on Ancient
The MongolZ
13-2
vs 3DMAX
Apr 11
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Apr 9
9-13
vs Astralis
Apr 6
13-11
vs BC.Game
Apr 4
16-14
vs Liquid
Mar 22
magic
6-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
13-2
vs Drama
Apr 5
9-13
vs K27
Apr 3
13-9
vs K27
Apr 2
13-3
vs ACROBATS
Apr 1
Dust2
TM
16
–
14
MAGI
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
TM
MAGI
After First Death
TM
MAGI
After First Kill
TM
MAGI
Schedule Strength
TM
MAGI
Map ADR
TM
MAGI
Recent on Dust2
The MongolZ
6-13
vs PARIVISION
Apr 9
13-11
vs Wildcard
Apr 7
13-3
vs BC.Game
Apr 4
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Mar 9
13-9
vs Aurora
Mar 7
magic
13-4
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
6-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-1
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-0
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
13-6
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 4
Mirage
TM
13
–
10
MAGI
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
TM
MAGI
Overall Rating
TM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
TM
MAGI
Map ADR
TM
MAGI
After First Kill
TM
MAGI
Recent on Mirage
The MongolZ
14-16
vs FUT
Apr 10
13-8
vs PARIVISION
Apr 9
4-13
vs Astralis
Apr 6
13-7
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 5
9-13
vs Aurora
Mar 27
magic
19-16
vs Gentle Mates
May 3
13-2
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
13-11
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
7-13
vs big
Apr 5
13-10
vs illwill
Apr 5
Ancient
TM
16
–
14
MAGI
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
TM
MAGI
Overall Rating
TM
MAGI
Map ADR
TM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
TM
MAGI
After First Kill
TM
MAGI
Recent on Ancient
The MongolZ
13-2
vs 3DMAX
Apr 11
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Apr 9
9-13
vs Astralis
Apr 6
13-11
vs BC.Game
Apr 4
16-14
vs Liquid
Mar 22
magic
6-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
13-2
vs Drama
Apr 5
9-13
vs K27
Apr 3
13-9
vs K27
Apr 2
13-3
vs ACROBATS
Apr 1
Inferno
TM
13
–
10
MAGI
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
TM
MAGI
After First Kill
TM
MAGI
Overall Rating
TM
MAGI
After First Death
TM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
TM
MAGI
Recent on Inferno
The MongolZ
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Apr 11
6-13
vs Aurora
Mar 27
13-3
vs MOUZ
Mar 19
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Mar 9
10-13
vs MOUZ
Feb 22
magic
22-19
vs Gentle Mates
May 3
13-5
vs Drama
Apr 5
8-13
vs 100 Thieves
Mar 31
Mirage
TM
13
–
10
MAGI
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
TM
MAGI
Overall Rating
TM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
TM
MAGI
Map ADR
TM
MAGI
After First Kill
TM
MAGI
Recent on Mirage
The MongolZ
14-16
vs FUT
Apr 10
13-8
vs PARIVISION
Apr 9
4-13
vs Astralis
Apr 6
13-7
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 5
9-13
vs Aurora
Mar 27
magic
19-16
vs Gentle Mates
May 3
13-2
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
13-11
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
7-13
vs big
Apr 5
13-10
vs illwill
Apr 5
Ancient
TM
16
–
14
MAGI
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
TM
MAGI
Overall Rating
TM
MAGI
Map ADR
TM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
TM
MAGI
After First Kill
TM
MAGI
Recent on Ancient
The MongolZ
13-2
vs 3DMAX
Apr 11
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Apr 9
9-13
vs Astralis
Apr 6
13-11
vs BC.Game
Apr 4
16-14
vs Liquid
Mar 22
magic
6-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
13-2
vs Drama
Apr 5
9-13
vs K27
Apr 3
13-9
vs K27
Apr 2
13-3
vs ACROBATS
Apr 1
Overpass
TM
14
–
16
MAGI
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
TM
MAGI
After First Death
TM
MAGI
After First Kill
TM
MAGI
Overall Rating
TM
MAGI
Map ADR
TM
MAGI
Recent on Overpass
The MongolZ
13-7
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 5
13-9
vs Spirit
Mar 23
13-16
vs Vitality
Mar 21
11-13
vs MOUZ
Mar 8
magic
11-13
vs big
Apr 5
13-11
vs K27
Apr 3
13-9
vs Inner Circle Academy
Mar 23
Recent Results
last 11 matches
The MongolZ
magic
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
InfernoAncient
Apr 11
46d ago
L
0-2
vs FUT
NukeMirage
Apr 10
47d ago
W
2-1
vs PARIVISION
Dust2MirageAncient
Apr 9
48d ago
W
2-0
vs Wildcard
Dust2Nuke
Apr 7
50d ago
L
0-2
vs Astralis
MirageAncient
Apr 6
51d ago
W
2-0
vs EYEBALLERS
OverpassMirage
Apr 5
52d ago
W
2-0
vs BC.Game
Dust2Ancient
Apr 4
53d ago
L
0-2
vs Aurora
InfernoMirage
Mar 27
61d ago
W
2-0
vs Spirit
NukeOverpass
Mar 23
65d ago
W
2-0
vs Liquid
AncientMirage
Mar 22
66d ago
L
0-2
vs Vitality
MirageOverpass
Mar 21
67d ago
W
2-0
vs Gentle Mates
MirageInferno
May 3
24d ago
W
2-0
vs Eternal Fire
MirageDust2
May 2
25d ago
L
1-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AnubisMirageAncient
Apr 25
32d ago
W
2-0
vs Drama
InfernoAncient
Apr 5
52d ago
L
0-2
vs big
MirageOverpass
Apr 5
52d ago
L
1-2
vs illwill
Dust2MirageAnubis
Apr 5
52d ago
W
2-0
vs Re Di
Dust2Anubis
Apr 4
53d ago
W
2-0
vs PIVOSQUAD
Dust2Anubis
Apr 4
53d ago
W
2-0
vs CYBERSHOKE
MirageDust2
Apr 4
53d ago
W
3-2
vs K27
AncientMirageDust2OverpassAnubis
Apr 3
54d ago
W
2-0
vs K27
Dust2Ancient
Apr 2
55d ago
Player Matchups
The MongolZ
Ratings
magic
91
910
AWPADR 74.3KAST 71%
TE
tenzy
RiflerADR 78.4KAST 73%
MZ
mzinho
RiflerADR 72.2KAST 72%
MA
MaSvAl
EntryADR 75.5KAST 73%
CO
cobrazera
EntryADR 75.8KAST 70%
MO
mo0N
AWPADR 80.4KAST 73%
TE
Techno
RiflerADR 67.4KAST 70%
AW
AW
RiflerADR 75.1KAST 73%
BL
bLitz
RiflerADR 72.3KAST 68%
SF
sFade8
RiflerADR 75.0KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Anubis
TM
8
–
13
MAGI
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
TM
MAGI
After First Kill
TM
MAGI
Schedule Strength
TM
MAGI
Map ADR
TM
MAGI
Opening Kills
TM
MAGI
Recent on Anubis
The MongolZ
no data
magic
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
10-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-3
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-1
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
13-6
vs K27
Apr 3
Inferno
TM
13
–
10
MAGI
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
TM
MAGI
After First Kill
TM
MAGI
Overall Rating
TM
MAGI
After First Death
TM
MAGI
Round Win Rate
TM
MAGI
Recent on Inferno
The MongolZ
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Apr 11
6-13
vs Aurora
Mar 27
13-3
vs MOUZ
Mar 19
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Mar 9
10-13
vs MOUZ
Feb 22
magic
22-19
vs Gentle Mates
May 3
13-5
vs Drama
Apr 5
8-13
vs 100 Thieves
Mar 31
Overpass
TM
14
–
16
MAGI
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
TM
MAGI
After First Death
TM
MAGI
After First Kill
TM
MAGI
Overall Rating
TM
MAGI
Map ADR
TM
MAGI
Recent on Overpass
The MongolZ
13-7
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 5
13-9
vs Spirit
Mar 23
13-16
vs Vitality
Mar 21
11-13
vs MOUZ
Mar 8
magic
11-13
vs big
Apr 5
13-11
vs K27
Apr 3
13-9
vs Inner Circle Academy
Mar 23
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