Bo3 · PGL Astana 2026
· 2026-05-11
Falcons
✓
vs
Monte
78%
22%
Series win probability
FALC
2–0
41%
FALC
2–1
38%
MONT
2–0
13%
MONT
2–1
9%
Actual result
Dust2
13–11
FALC
Ancient
13–10
FALC
Model Insights
Falcons is strongly favored at 78%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.08 vs 1.04), a strong ancient (81% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
37%
Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 2
34%
Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 3
28%
Mirage · Dust2 · Anubis
Mirage
FALC
13
–
8
MONT
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Overall Rating
FALC
MONT
Round Win Rate
FALC
MONT
Schedule Strength
FALC
MONT
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
13-9
vs 9z
May 10
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
4-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
13-10
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-5
vs Spirit
Apr 14
Monte
8-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
10-13
vs M80
Apr 2
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-10
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
7-13
vs fnatic
Feb 21
Dust2
FALC
13
–
11
MONT
60%
40%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
MONT
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Round Win Rate
FALC
MONT
Schedule Strength
FALC
MONT
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-11
vs Monte
May 11
1-13
vs 9z
May 10
13-5
vs K27
May 9
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
7-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
Monte
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-7
vs magic
May 10
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
13-9
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
16-14
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
Ancient
FALC
13
–
5
MONT
81%
19%
Win prob
OT 3%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
MONT
After First Death
FALC
MONT
Map ADR
FALC
MONT
Round Win Rate
FALC
MONT
Overall Rating
FALC
MONT
Recent on Ancient
Falcons
13-10
vs Monte
May 11
13-11
vs K27
May 9
13-1
vs 3DMAX
Apr 13
10-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 27
13-1
vs TYLOO
Mar 22
Monte
10-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-11
vs magic
May 10
13-10
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-4
vs M80
Apr 1
6-13
vs Legacy
Mar 7
Mirage
FALC
13
–
8
MONT
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Overall Rating
FALC
MONT
Round Win Rate
FALC
MONT
Schedule Strength
FALC
MONT
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
13-9
vs 9z
May 10
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
4-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
13-10
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-5
vs Spirit
Apr 14
Monte
8-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
10-13
vs M80
Apr 2
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-10
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
7-13
vs fnatic
Feb 21
Dust2
FALC
13
–
11
MONT
60%
40%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
MONT
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Round Win Rate
FALC
MONT
Schedule Strength
FALC
MONT
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-11
vs Monte
May 11
1-13
vs 9z
May 10
13-5
vs K27
May 9
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
7-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
Monte
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-7
vs magic
May 10
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
13-9
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
16-14
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
Nuke
FALC
13
–
6
MONT
78%
22%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
After First Death
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Schedule Strength
FALC
MONT
Map ADR
FALC
MONT
Recent on Nuke
Falcons
8-13
vs 9z
May 10
16-14
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-10
vs FURIA
Mar 23
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Feb 14
Monte
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
14-16
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
13-0
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
10-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
Mirage
FALC
13
–
8
MONT
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Overall Rating
FALC
MONT
Round Win Rate
FALC
MONT
Schedule Strength
FALC
MONT
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
13-9
vs 9z
May 10
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
4-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
13-10
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-5
vs Spirit
Apr 14
Monte
8-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
10-13
vs M80
Apr 2
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-10
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
7-13
vs fnatic
Feb 21
Dust2
FALC
13
–
11
MONT
60%
40%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
MONT
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Round Win Rate
FALC
MONT
Schedule Strength
FALC
MONT
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-11
vs Monte
May 11
1-13
vs 9z
May 10
13-5
vs K27
May 9
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
7-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
Monte
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-7
vs magic
May 10
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
13-9
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
16-14
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
Anubis
FALC
13
–
9
MONT
61%
39%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
MONT
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Overall Rating
FALC
MONT
Map ADR
FALC
MONT
Recent on Anubis
Falcons
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
13-11
vs FURIA
Feb 16
13-9
vs FaZe
Feb 15
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Feb 3
7-13
vs Aurora
Feb 1
Monte
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-11
vs Alliance
Mar 31
13-8
vs Passion UA
Mar 31
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 25
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Falcons
Monte
L
1-2
vs 9z
NukeMirageDust2
May 10
1d ago
W
2-0
vs K27
Dust2Ancient
May 9
2d ago
W
2-0
vs FURIA
Dust2Mirage
Apr 19
22d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Mirage
Apr 18
23d ago
W
2-1
vs Vitality
MirageDust2Nuke
Apr 15
26d ago
W
2-0
vs Spirit
AnubisMirage
Apr 14
27d ago
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
InfernoAncient
Apr 13
28d ago
L
0-2
vs PARIVISION
MirageAncient
Mar 27
45d ago
W
2-1
vs FURIA
MirageDust2Nuke
Mar 23
49d ago
W
2-1
vs TYLOO
InfernoAncientMirage
Mar 22
50d ago
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
MirageInfernoDust2
Mar 20
52d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
AncientDust2
May 10
1d ago
L
0-2
vs FURIA
NukeOverpass
May 9
2d ago
W
2-1
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
NukeDust2Anubis
Apr 26
15d ago
W
3-1
vs HEROIC
NukeDust2InfernoAncient
Apr 26
15d ago
L
1-2
vs HEROIC
NukeDust2Mirage
Apr 25
16d ago
W
2-1
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
NukeDust2Anubis
Apr 24
17d ago
W
2-0
vs Betclic
NukeDust2
Apr 23
18d ago
L
1-2
vs M80
InfernoDust2Mirage
Apr 2
39d ago
W
2-0
vs M80
AncientDust2
Apr 1
40d ago
W
2-0
vs Alliance
AnubisNuke
Mar 31
41d ago
W
2-0
vs Passion UA
AnubisDust2
Mar 31
41d ago
Player Matchups
Falcons
Ratings
Monte
M0
m0NESY
AWPADR 81.2KAST 79%
AF
afro
AWPADR 78.6KAST 73%
KY
kyousuke
EntryADR 80.8KAST 73%
RA
Rainwaker
EntryADR 75.6KAST 73%
NI
NiKo
RiflerADR 75.3KAST 73%
BY
Bymas
RiflerADR 65.9KAST 73%
TE
TeSeS
RiflerADR 67.1KAST 74%
GI
Gizmy
RiflerADR 69.6KAST 69%
KA
karrigan
RiflerADR 64.7KAST 65%
AZ
AZUWU
RiflerADR 69.8KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Nuke
FALC
13
–
6
MONT
78%
22%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
After First Death
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Schedule Strength
FALC
MONT
Map ADR
FALC
MONT
Recent on Nuke
Falcons
8-13
vs 9z
May 10
16-14
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-10
vs FURIA
Mar 23
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Feb 14
Monte
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
14-16
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
13-0
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
10-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
Inferno
FALC
13
–
7
MONT
74%
26%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
MONT
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Map ADR
FALC
MONT
Overall Rating
FALC
MONT
Round Win Rate
FALC
MONT
Recent on Inferno
Falcons
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 13
14-16
vs TYLOO
Mar 22
9-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 20
13-4
vs FURIA
Feb 16
14-16
vs MOUZ
Feb 3
Monte
5-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-8
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs 9INE
Mar 25
1-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-7
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
Anubis
FALC
13
–
9
MONT
61%
39%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
MONT
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Overall Rating
FALC
MONT
Map ADR
FALC
MONT
Recent on Anubis
Falcons
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
13-11
vs FURIA
Feb 16
13-9
vs FaZe
Feb 15
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Feb 3
7-13
vs Aurora
Feb 1
Monte
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-11
vs Alliance
Mar 31
13-8
vs Passion UA
Mar 31
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 25