Bo3 · IEM Atlanta 2026
· 2026-05-15
Natus Vincere
vs
Vitality
28%
72%
Series win probability
VIT
2–0
40%
VIT
2–1
33%
NAVI
2–1
15%
NAVI
2–0
13%
Model Insights
Vitality is strongly favored at 72%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.17 vs 1.08), a strong dust2 (72% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
44%
Mirage · Dust2 · Inferno
Scenario 2
34%
Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 3
23%
Mirage · Dust2 · Anubis
Mirage
NAVI
11
–
13
VIT
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Overall Rating
NAVI
VIT
Ranking
NAVI
VIT
Map Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Mirage
Natus Vincere
13-11
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-4
vs Passion UA
May 11
13-10
vs GamerLegion
Apr 30
4-13
vs Vitality
Apr 17
11-13
vs Aurora
Apr 15
Vitality
13-5
vs B8
May 13
13-7
vs BC.Game
May 11
13-1
vs GamerLegion
May 2
16-13
vs G2
Apr 30
13-6
vs FUT
Apr 29
Dust2
NAVI
6
–
13
VIT
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
Round Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
Map ADR
NAVI
VIT
Ranking
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Dust2
Natus Vincere
6-13
vs Legacy
May 13
3-13
vs Vitality
May 3
13-5
vs FaZe
May 2
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 17
13-7
vs HOTU
Apr 15
Vitality
13-5
vs FaZe
May 13
13-8
vs B8
May 13
13-10
vs BC.Game
May 11
13-3
vs Natus Vincere
May 3
13-3
vs G2
Apr 30
Inferno
NAVI
8
–
13
VIT
31%
69%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
Ranking
NAVI
VIT
Overall Rating
NAVI
VIT
Map ADR
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Inferno
Natus Vincere
11-13
vs Legacy
May 13
13-4
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-4
vs Aurora
Apr 15
4-13
vs B8
Apr 13
7-13
vs Vitality
Mar 29
Vitality
16-13
vs G2
Apr 14
13-7
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 29
13-5
vs Aurora
Mar 28
16-12
vs PARIVISION
Mar 23
16-13
vs PARIVISION
Feb 22
Mirage
NAVI
11
–
13
VIT
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Overall Rating
NAVI
VIT
Ranking
NAVI
VIT
Map Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Mirage
Natus Vincere
13-11
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-4
vs Passion UA
May 11
13-10
vs GamerLegion
Apr 30
4-13
vs Vitality
Apr 17
11-13
vs Aurora
Apr 15
Vitality
13-5
vs B8
May 13
13-7
vs BC.Game
May 11
13-1
vs GamerLegion
May 2
16-13
vs G2
Apr 30
13-6
vs FUT
Apr 29
Dust2
NAVI
6
–
13
VIT
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
Round Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
Map ADR
NAVI
VIT
Ranking
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Dust2
Natus Vincere
6-13
vs Legacy
May 13
3-13
vs Vitality
May 3
13-5
vs FaZe
May 2
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 17
13-7
vs HOTU
Apr 15
Vitality
13-5
vs FaZe
May 13
13-8
vs B8
May 13
13-10
vs BC.Game
May 11
13-3
vs Natus Vincere
May 3
13-3
vs G2
Apr 30
Nuke
NAVI
5
–
13
VIT
20%
80%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
Map ADR
NAVI
VIT
Round Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Ranking
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Nuke
Natus Vincere
12-16
vs Vitality
May 3
13-16
vs FURIA
Apr 14
13-10
vs Aurora
Mar 23
13-8
vs Aurora
Mar 15
7-13
vs The MongolZ
Feb 17
Vitality
16-14
vs FaZe
May 13
8-13
vs BetBoom
May 12
16-12
vs Natus Vincere
May 3
13-11
vs FUT
Apr 29
13-10
vs Spirit
Apr 19
Mirage
NAVI
11
–
13
VIT
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Overall Rating
NAVI
VIT
Ranking
NAVI
VIT
Map Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Mirage
Natus Vincere
13-11
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-4
vs Passion UA
May 11
13-10
vs GamerLegion
Apr 30
4-13
vs Vitality
Apr 17
11-13
vs Aurora
Apr 15
Vitality
13-5
vs B8
May 13
13-7
vs BC.Game
May 11
13-1
vs GamerLegion
May 2
16-13
vs G2
Apr 30
13-6
vs FUT
Apr 29
Dust2
NAVI
6
–
13
VIT
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
Round Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
Map ADR
NAVI
VIT
Ranking
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Dust2
Natus Vincere
6-13
vs Legacy
May 13
3-13
vs Vitality
May 3
13-5
vs FaZe
May 2
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 17
13-7
vs HOTU
Apr 15
Vitality
13-5
vs FaZe
May 13
13-8
vs B8
May 13
13-10
vs BC.Game
May 11
13-3
vs Natus Vincere
May 3
13-3
vs G2
Apr 30
Anubis
NAVI
7
–
13
VIT
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
Overall Rating
NAVI
VIT
Ranking
NAVI
VIT
Recent Form (1m)
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Anubis
Natus Vincere
16-13
vs Passion UA
May 11
11-13
vs Vitality
May 3
13-7
vs FaZe
Apr 29
10-13
vs Vitality
Mar 29
13-8
vs Aurora
Mar 23
Vitality
10-13
vs BetBoom
May 12
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
May 3
13-10
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 29
13-8
vs G2
Feb 14
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Natus Vincere
Vitality
L
1-2
vs Legacy
InfernoAncientDust2
May 13
1d ago
W
2-1
vs GamerLegion
InfernoAncientMirage
May 12
2d ago
W
2-0
vs Passion UA
AnubisMirage
May 11
3d ago
L
0-3
vs Vitality
NukeAnubisDust2
May 3
11d ago
W
2-0
vs FaZe
Dust2Ancient
May 2
12d ago
W
2-0
vs GamerLegion
MirageAncient
Apr 30
14d ago
W
2-0
vs FaZe
AnubisAncient
Apr 29
15d ago
L
0-2
vs Vitality
MirageDust2
Apr 17
27d ago
W
2-0
vs HOTU
Dust2Ancient
Apr 15
29d ago
W
2-1
vs Aurora
InfernoMirageDust2
Apr 15
29d ago
L
1-2
vs FURIA
MirageDust2Nuke
Apr 14
30d ago
W
2-0
vs FaZe
NukeDust2
May 13
1d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
MirageDust2
May 13
1d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
AnubisOverpassNuke
May 12
2d ago
W
2-0
vs BC.Game
MirageDust2
May 11
3d ago
W
3-0
vs Natus Vincere
NukeAnubisDust2
May 3
11d ago
W
2-0
vs GamerLegion
MirageOverpass
May 2
12d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
MirageOverpassDust2
Apr 30
14d ago
W
2-1
vs FUT
MirageDust2Nuke
Apr 29
15d ago
W
3-0
vs Spirit
MirageNukeDust2
Apr 19
25d ago
W
2-0
vs FURIA
OverpassAncient
Apr 18
26d ago
W
2-0
vs Natus Vincere
MirageDust2
Apr 17
27d ago
Player Matchups
Natus Vincere
Ratings
Vitality
MA
makazze
RiflerADR 84.2KAST 75%
ZY
ZywOo
AWPADR 86.9KAST 78%
W0
w0nderful
AWPADR 72.1KAST 75%
FL
flameZ
RiflerADR 79.5KAST 77%
B1
b1t
EntryADR 75.6KAST 74%
RO
ropz
EntryADR 77.3KAST 77%
IM
iM
RiflerADR 77.9KAST 74%
ME
mezii
RiflerADR 67.7KAST 77%
AL
Aleksib
RiflerADR 60.4KAST 73%
AP
apEX
RiflerADR 74.8KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Overpass
NAVI
5
–
13
VIT
16%
84%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
Map ADR
NAVI
VIT
Opening Kills
NAVI
VIT
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
Overall Rating
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Overpass
Natus Vincere
no data
Vitality
13-8
vs BetBoom
May 12
16-14
vs GamerLegion
May 2
11-13
vs G2
Apr 30
13-10
vs FURIA
Apr 18
13-6
vs RED Canids
Apr 13
Nuke
NAVI
5
–
13
VIT
20%
80%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
Map ADR
NAVI
VIT
Round Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Ranking
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Nuke
Natus Vincere
12-16
vs Vitality
May 3
13-16
vs FURIA
Apr 14
13-10
vs Aurora
Mar 23
13-8
vs Aurora
Mar 15
7-13
vs The MongolZ
Feb 17
Vitality
16-14
vs FaZe
May 13
8-13
vs BetBoom
May 12
16-12
vs Natus Vincere
May 3
13-11
vs FUT
Apr 29
13-10
vs Spirit
Apr 19
Anubis
NAVI
7
–
13
VIT
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
Overall Rating
NAVI
VIT
Ranking
NAVI
VIT
Recent Form (1m)
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Anubis
Natus Vincere
16-13
vs Passion UA
May 11
11-13
vs Vitality
May 3
13-7
vs FaZe
Apr 29
10-13
vs Vitality
Mar 29
13-8
vs Aurora
Mar 23
Vitality
10-13
vs BetBoom
May 12
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
May 3
13-10
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 29
13-8
vs G2
Feb 14
Ancient
NAVI
8
–
13
VIT
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
VIT
After First Kill
NAVI
VIT
Overall Rating
NAVI
VIT
Ranking
NAVI
VIT
Map Win Rate
NAVI
VIT
Recent on Ancient
Natus Vincere
13-8
vs Legacy
May 13
1-13
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-11
vs FaZe
May 2
13-4
vs GamerLegion
Apr 30
13-11
vs FaZe
Apr 29
Vitality
13-10
vs FURIA
Apr 18
25-22
vs Aurora
Feb 3
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