GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere at IEM Atlanta 2026 — Project Leggy

Bo5 · IEM Atlanta 2026 18:15 UTC · 2026-05-17

GamerLegion

vs

Natus Vincere ✓

32%

68%

Series win probability

NAVI 3–0 30%

NAVI 3–1 22%

GAME 3–2 18%

NAVI 3–2 16%

GAME 3–1 11%

Actual result

Mirage 13–3 NAVI

Anubis 13–9 NAVI

Nuke 16–13 NAVI

Model Insights

Natus Vincere has a moderate edge at 68%, favored on 3 of 5 maps. Key factors: a strong mirage (73% win probability).

Predicted Maps 5 maps

Scenario 1 100% Inferno · Mirage · Ancient · Anubis · Nuke

Inferno

GAME 9 – 13 NAVI

40%

60%

Win prob OT 10%

Key factors

Ranking

GAME

NAVI

After First Kill

GAME

NAVI

CT 4v5

GAME

NAVI

Map Firepower

GAME

NAVI

Map ADR

GAME

NAVI

Recent on Inferno

GamerLegion

13-6 vs Legacy May 16

13-8 vs paiN May 15

4-13 vs Natus Vincere May 12

13-9 vs SINNERS May 11

16-14 vs Astralis May 1

Natus Vincere

13-3 vs Vitality May 15

11-13 vs Legacy May 13

13-4 vs GamerLegion May 12

13-4 vs Aurora Apr 15

4-13 vs B8 Apr 13

Mirage

GAME 7 – 13 NAVI

27%

73%

Win prob OT 6% ✓

Key factors

Ranking

GAME

NAVI

After First Kill

GAME

NAVI

Map ADR

GAME

NAVI

Map Firepower

GAME

NAVI

Schedule Strength

GAME

NAVI

Recent on Mirage

GamerLegion

3-13 vs Legacy May 16

13-9 vs Liquid May 13

13-3 vs Astralis May 13

11-13 vs Natus Vincere May 12

10-13 vs SINNERS May 11

Natus Vincere

13-11 vs GamerLegion May 12

13-4 vs Passion UA May 11

13-10 vs GamerLegion Apr 30

4-13 vs Vitality Apr 17

11-13 vs Aurora Apr 15

Ancient

GAME 7 – 13 NAVI

31%

69%

Win prob OT 7%

Key factors

Ranking

GAME

NAVI

After First Death

GAME

NAVI

Schedule Strength

GAME

NAVI

Round Win Rate

GAME

NAVI

T Side

GAME

NAVI

Recent on Ancient

GamerLegion

13-9 vs Legacy May 16

13-8 vs Astralis May 13

13-1 vs Natus Vincere May 12

4-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 30

7-13 vs G2 Apr 3

Natus Vincere

13-8 vs BetBoom May 16

13-8 vs Legacy May 13

1-13 vs GamerLegion May 12

13-11 vs FaZe May 2

13-4 vs GamerLegion Apr 30

Anubis

GAME 16 – 14 NAVI

52%

48%

Win prob OT 12% ✗

Key factors

Ranking

GAME

NAVI

Map Win Rate

GAME

NAVI

After First Kill

GAME

NAVI

Ban Rate

GAME

NAVI

CT 4v5

GAME

NAVI

Recent on Anubis

GamerLegion

8-13 vs BetBoom Apr 4

14-16 vs Alliance Mar 27

13-10 vs illwill Feb 23

Natus Vincere

13-11 vs Vitality May 15

16-13 vs Passion UA May 11

11-13 vs Vitality May 3

13-7 vs FaZe Apr 29

10-13 vs Vitality Mar 29

Nuke

GAME 13 – 10 NAVI

54%

46%

Win prob OT 11% ✗

Key factors

Ranking

GAME

NAVI

After First Kill

GAME

NAVI

Map Firepower

GAME

NAVI

Map ADR

GAME

NAVI

Overall Rating

GAME

NAVI

Recent on Nuke

GamerLegion

13-6 vs paiN May 15

13-6 vs Liquid May 13

13-8 vs SINNERS May 11

13-5 vs FURIA Apr 29

6-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 2

Natus Vincere

13-6 vs BetBoom May 16

12-16 vs Vitality May 3

13-16 vs FURIA Apr 14

13-10 vs Aurora Mar 23

13-8 vs Aurora Mar 15

Recent Results last 11 matches

GamerLegion

Natus Vincere

W 2-1 vs Legacy AncientMirageInferno May 16 11d ago

W 2-1 vs paiN OverpassNukeInferno May 15 12d ago

W 2-0 vs Liquid MirageNuke May 13 14d ago

W 2-0 vs Astralis MirageAncient May 13 14d ago

L 1-2 vs Natus Vincere InfernoAncientMirage May 12 15d ago

W 2-1 vs SINNERS MirageInfernoNuke May 11 16d ago

L 0-2 vs Vitality MirageOverpass May 2 25d ago

W 2-0 vs Astralis OverpassInferno May 1 26d ago

L 0-2 vs Natus Vincere MirageAncient Apr 30 27d ago

W 2-1 vs FURIA InfernoNukeMirage Apr 29 28d ago

L 0-2 vs BetBoom AnubisMirage Apr 4 53d ago

W 2-0 vs BetBoom AncientNuke May 16 11d ago

W 2-1 vs Vitality Dust2AnubisInferno May 15 12d ago

L 1-2 vs Legacy InfernoAncientDust2 May 13 14d ago

W 2-1 vs GamerLegion InfernoAncientMirage May 12 15d ago

W 2-0 vs Passion UA AnubisMirage May 11 16d ago

L 0-3 vs Vitality NukeAnubisDust2 May 3 24d ago

W 2-0 vs FaZe Dust2Ancient May 2 25d ago

W 2-0 vs GamerLegion MirageAncient Apr 30 27d ago

W 2-0 vs FaZe AnubisAncient Apr 29 28d ago

L 0-2 vs Vitality MirageDust2 Apr 17 40d ago

W 2-0 vs HOTU Dust2Ancient Apr 15 42d ago

Player Matchups

GamerLegion

Ratings

Natus Vincere

RE

REZ

RiflerADR 82.5KAST 75%

1.20 vs 1.21

MA

makazze

RiflerADR 84.8KAST 76%

PR

PR

EntryADR 79.7KAST 74%

1.13 vs 1.14

W0

w0nderful

AWPADR 72.4KAST 76%

HY

hypex

AWPADR 66.3KAST 76%

1.10 vs 1.11

B1

b1t

EntryADR 75.7KAST 75%

TA

Tauson

RiflerADR 71.8KAST 72%

1.05 vs 1.07

IM

iM

RiflerADR 77.5KAST 74%

SN

Snax

RiflerADR 66.5KAST 69%

0.89 vs 0.91

AL

Aleksib

RiflerADR 60.9KAST 72%

Unpredicted Maps 2 maps

Dust2

GAME 4 – 13 NAVI

14%

86%

Win prob OT 1%

Key factors

Ranking

GAME

NAVI

Ban Rate

GAME

NAVI

After First Death

GAME

NAVI

After First Kill

GAME

NAVI

Map Firepower

GAME

NAVI

Recent on Dust2

GamerLegion

11-13 vs ex-RUBY Feb 6

Natus Vincere

11-13 vs Vitality May 15

6-13 vs Legacy May 13

3-13 vs Vitality May 3

13-5 vs FaZe May 2

6-13 vs Vitality Apr 17

Overpass

GAME 13 – 8 NAVI

65%

35%

Win prob OT 8%

Key factors

Ranking

GAME

NAVI

After First Kill

GAME

NAVI

Ban Rate

GAME

NAVI

Map Firepower

GAME

NAVI

CT 4v5

GAME

NAVI

Recent on Overpass

GamerLegion

6-13 vs paiN May 15

14-16 vs Vitality May 2

13-8 vs Astralis May 1

13-1 vs Sashi Feb 23

Natus Vincere

no data